Falcons Beyond Global (FBYD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.4 | Market Cap: $465.4 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates
Falcons Beyond Global (FBYD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.4Market Cap: $465.4 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Conglomerates
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -183% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 48x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 397x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -249%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -250% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 114% | ||
| Key risksFBYD key risks include [1] a precarious financial position marked by high debt, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -183% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 48x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 397x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -249%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -250% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 114% |
| Key risksFBYD key risks include [1] a precarious financial position marked by high debt, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FBYD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain a significant upward movement in Falcons Beyond Global (FBYD) stock during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Inclusion in Russell 2000® Index.
Falcon's Beyond Global was included on the preliminary list for addition to the Russell 2000® Index, announced on December 2, 2025, with final membership expected to be effective after the market close on December 22, 2025. This inclusion typically enhances a company's visibility to institutional investors and can lead to increased demand for its stock.
2. Strategic Partnerships and Leadership Appointments.
The company announced a partnership with CD PROJEKT RED on November 3, 2025, to create Cyberpunk 2077 concepts for the themed experience market. Additionally, new leadership appointments, including a President for Falcon's Creative Group on November 6, 2025, and a Chief Content Officer on October 28, 2025, signal strategic growth and development within the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FBYD Return | � | � | � | � | -22% | 50% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | -22% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FBYD Win Rate | � | � | � | 0% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 50% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FBYD Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -41% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DIS, CMCSA, FUN, PRKS, HGV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
FBYD has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Falcons Beyond Global Earnings Notes | ||
| Is Falcons Beyond Global Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FBYD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Falcons Beyond Global
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 32.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| Rev LTM | 4,068 |
| Op Inc LTM | 468 |
| FCF LTM | 149 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 166 |
| CFO LTM | 373 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 407 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 5.5 |
| P/E | 15.9 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon’s Creative Group | 23 | 0 | 7 |
| Unallocated corporate revenue | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Falcon's Beyond Brands | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Destination Operations | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Producciones de Parques, S.L. (PDP) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sierra Parima | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Intersegment eliminations | -0 | -0 | -1 |
| Revenue Falcon’s Creative Group (FCG) | -8 | ||
| Total | 18 | 0 | 6 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Producciones de Parques, S.L. (PDP) | 1 | 0 | -2 |
| Destination Operations | -2 | -0 | -2 |
| Intersegment eliminations | -2 | -0 | -0 |
| Falcon's Beyond Brands | -4 | -0 | |
| Sierra Parima | -6 | -0 | -1 |
| Falcon’s Creative Group | -11 | 0 | -0 |
| Unallocated corporate revenue | -16 | -0 | -3 |
| Total | -40 | -0 | -8 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon’s Creative Group | 31 | 0 | 23 |
| Producciones de Parques, S.L. (PDP) | 23 | 0 | 22 |
| Destination Operations | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| Unallocated and corporate revenue | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Falcon's Beyond Brands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sierra Parima | 0 | 24 | |
| Total | 63 | 0 | 75 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/14/2025 | -3.4% | 4.0% | |
| 8/14/2025 | 6.3% | -1.9% | 54.2% |
| 4/3/2025 | -7.1% | -2.8% | -20.9% |
| 11/14/2024 | -2.4% | 0.1% | 12.1% |
| 8/13/2024 | 3.5% | 7.1% | -15.8% |
| 5/16/2024 | -3.4% | 0.0% | 14.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 2.1% | 14.6% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -2.3% | -18.3% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 7.1% | 54.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.1% | -2.8% | -20.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 3312023 | 8142023 | S-4/A 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 9152023 | 424B3 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 2142023 | S-4 9/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |