Tearsheet

Exodus Movement (EXOD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.45 | Market Cap: $421.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Exodus Movement (EXOD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.45
Market Cap: $421.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 145%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
Key risks
EXOD key risks include [1] declining user engagement and [2] a heavy operational reliance on third-party API providers for its core revenue-generating swap service.
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 26%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 22%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Cryptocurrency Exchanges, Show more.
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 145%
7 Key risks
EXOD key risks include [1] declining user engagement and [2] a heavy operational reliance on third-party API providers for its core revenue-generating swap service.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EXOD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 18, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of Exodus Movement (EXOD) stock movement for this period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EXOD Return-89%12%1234%-53%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXOD Win Rate33%42%42%75%42% 
Peers Win Rate54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXOD Max Drawdown-95%-14%0%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COIN, HOOD, GLXY, BKKT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXODS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2650.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven705 days464 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Exodus Movement's stock fell -96.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -96.4% loss requires a 2650.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Exodus Movement (EXOD)

Better Bets than Exodus Movement (EXOD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EXOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Exodus Movement

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EXODCOINHOODGLXYBKKTMedian
NameExodus M.Coinbase.Robinhoo.Galaxy D.Bakkt  
Mkt Price14.54244.19115.8022.8110.0122.81
Mkt Cap0.462.3103.04.00.14.0
Rev LTM1387,0084,20418,8453,8904,204
Op Inc LTM161,8902,004697-76697
FCF LTM-221,8071,119--115549
FCF 3Y Avg-7971,219--91797
CFO LTM-211,8071,175--111577
CFO 3Y Avg-8281,260--83828

Growth & Margins

EXODCOINHOODGLXYBKKTMedian
NameExodus M.Coinbase.Robinhoo.Galaxy D.Bakkt  
Rev Chg LTM53.5%48.6%74.6%112.2%105.3%74.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-23.3%47.5%-455.2%47.5%
Rev Chg Q50.8%3.3%100.0%219.7%27.1%50.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%0.7%17.9%2,896.8%2.3%8.0%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%27.0%47.7%3.7%-1.9%11.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.9%9.9%--10.5%2.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.4%-6.0%5.1%-0.2%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-15.5%25.8%27.9%--2.9%11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.6%47.4%--6.4%10.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-15.7%25.8%26.6%--3.0%11.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.6%45.9%--7.5%9.6%

Valuation

EXODCOINHOODGLXYBKKTMedian
NameExodus M.Coinbase.Robinhoo.Galaxy D.Bakkt  
Mkt Cap0.462.3103.04.00.14.0
P/S3.112.330.30.20.03.1
P/EBIT25.924.263.511.7-1.724.2
P/E3.930.158.013.6-3.213.6
P/CFO-19.747.7108.4--1.223.2
Total Yield25.6%3.3%1.7%7.8%-31.6%3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.5%5.2%--72.8%0.5%
D/E0.00.10.11.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.00.6-0.4-0.1

Returns

EXODCOINHOODGLXYBKKTMedian
NameExodus M.Coinbase.Robinhoo.Galaxy D.Bakkt  
1M Rtn-9.1%-7.5%-0.1%-8.9%-40.4%-8.9%
3M Rtn-48.5%-23.8%-2.4%-30.9%3.5%-23.8%
6M Rtn-51.8%-17.3%47.8%19.8%-21.1%-17.3%
12M Rtn-62.7%-21.6%178.2%--67.3%-42.2%
3Y Rtn609.3%567.2%1,244.9%--72.9%588.2%
1M Excs Rtn-9.8%-8.2%-0.9%-9.6%-41.1%-9.6%
3M Excs Rtn-51.7%-30.2%-5.6%-32.4%-2.3%-30.2%
6M Excs Rtn-64.1%-29.7%35.4%7.4%-33.5%-29.7%
12M Excs Rtn-71.5%-32.5%177.0%--76.3%-52.0%
3Y Excs Rtn317.9%404.8%1,040.3%--144.0%361.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024
Exchange aggregation53
Fiat onboarding2
Staking1
Consulting0
Other0
Staking and other income0
Total56


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity264,453
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-27.2%
Average Daily Volume172,637
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.53
Basic Shares Quantity29,177,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20251.1%-20.0%-27.2%
8/11/2025-7.5%-11.8%-8.7%
5/12/2025-22.6%-37.6%-42.8%
11/12/20247.1%7.0%29.4%
8/12/20248.9%-0.5%-6.8%
5/7/20240.0%137.5%62.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive422
# Negative244
Median Positive4.1%72.3%45.9%
Median Negative-15.0%-15.9%-18.0%
Max Positive8.9%137.5%62.5%
Max Negative-22.6%-37.6%-42.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024516202410-Q 3/31/2024