Evertec (EVTC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.05 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Evertec (EVTC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.05Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, and AI for Fraud Detection. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, and AI for Fraud Detection. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EVTC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Evertec (EVTC) experienced a notable decline of -15.20% from January 1st, 2025 to December 2nd, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several factors during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, including analyst rating adjustments and a significant discount on services with a major client.
1. Analyst Price Target Downgrades: Several analyst firms adjusted their price targets for Evertec downwards in November 2025. Morgan Stanley lowered its price target from $34 to $29 on November 12, 2025, and Deutsche Bank adjusted its price target from $35 to $30 on November 10, 2025. These downgrades by prominent financial institutions likely contributed to negative investor sentiment and put downward pressure on the stock.
2. Discount on Services with Banco Popular: A 10% discount on selected Master Services Agreement (MSA) services with Evertec's key client, Banco Popular, became effective in October 2025. This discount is expected to represent an estimated headwind of approximately $14 million, primarily impacting the Business Solutions segment. This long-term revenue impact could be a significant concern for investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EVTC Return | 16% | 28% | -35% | 27% | -15% | -15% | -11% |
| Peers Return | 15% | -9% | -17% | 22% | 37% | -15% | 22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EVTC Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 25% | 58% | 25% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 53% | 40% | 53% | 60% | 34% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EVTC Max Drawdown | -45% | -12% | -38% | -2% | -27% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -24% | -26% | -13% | -12% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FISV, GPN, JKHY, QTWO, CSGS. See EVTC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EVTC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 149 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 120 days |
Compare to FISV, GPN, JKHY, QTWO, CSGS
In The Past
Evertec's stock fell -39.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -39.5% loss requires a 65.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Evertec Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| EVTC Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Evertec Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -14.5% in 2024 and -10.5% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Evertec (EVTC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Evertec (EVTC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Evertec (EVTC) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Evertec (EVTC) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Evertec vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| Evertec Price Volatility | Volatility | ||
| Better Bet Than EVTC Stock: Pay Less Than Evertec To Get More From S&P 500 Stocks EOG, ALB | Better Bets | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| PYPL’s 8.7% One Day Dip Begs The Question: Is EVTC Better Instead? | July 30th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EVTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Evertec
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 75.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,818 |
| Op Inc LTM | 396 |
| FCF LTM | 288 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 219 |
| CFO LTM | 439 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 377 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.7 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 12.3 |
| P/E | 20.3 |
| P/CFO | 10.5 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -23.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -6.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -36.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -77.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business Solutions | 227 | 235 | 244 | 235 | 217 |
| Payment Services - Puerto Rico & Caribbean | 203 | 178 | 155 | 125 | 126 |
| Latin America Payments and Solutions | 187 | 128 | 106 | 85 | 84 |
| Merchant Acquiring, net | 162 | 151 | 144 | 110 | 106 |
| Intersegment revenues | -84 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | -75 | -59 | -44 | -46 | |
| Total | 695 | 618 | 590 | 511 | 487 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Polak Aldo J. | 6232025 | Sell | 35.72 | 2,243 | 80,119 | 426,704 | Form | |
| 1 | Pagan Ivan | 5272025 | Sell | 36.65 | 6,852 | 251,124 | 457,133 | Form | |
| 2 | Brignardello Daniel | Executive Vice President | 5152025 | Sell | 36.60 | 7,641 | 279,689 | 1,144,854 | Form |
| 3 | Vizcarrondo Miguel | Executive Vice President | 5132025 | Sell | 36.44 | 40,000 | 1,457,420 | 3,370,612 | Form |
| 4 | Rodriguez-Gonzalez Luis A | General Counsel & EVP | 5132025 | Sell | 35.69 | 18,898 | 674,466 | 1,256,388 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |