Embecta (EMBC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.97 | Market Cap: $700.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment
Embecta (EMBC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.97Market Cap: $700.1 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 6.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 224% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Diabetes Management. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 6.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 23% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Diabetes Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 224% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EMBC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Embecta's (EMBC) stock moved by -17.5% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Disappointing Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue Performance: Embecta reported a 7.7% year-over-year decrease in revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, totaling $264.0 million. This decline was primarily attributed to a 15.2% decrease in U.S. revenues due to prior year distributor order timing and unfavorable pricing, alongside a 4.0% decline in international revenue (on an adjusted constant currency basis) mainly due to headwinds in China.
2. Weak Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Guidance: The company's initial financial guidance for fiscal year 2026 projected revenues to be flat to down 2% and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $2.80 to $3.00. This outlook was perceived negatively by investors, suggesting limited near-term growth prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EMBC Return | - | - | - | -23% | 14% | -38% | -46% |
| Peers Return | 38% | 32% | -15% | 2% | 16% | 1% | 86% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EMBC Win Rate | - | - | 62% | 50% | 42% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 54% | 67% | 46% | 58% | 60% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EMBC Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -48% | -46% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -11% | -45% | -25% | -22% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, DAVI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EMBC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, DAVI
In The Past
Embecta's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2022. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| null | |||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Embecta Stock with 41% Return (vs. -31% YTD) [8/13/2025] | Notification | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Embecta Stock Moved: EMBC Stock Has Lost 46% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| EMBC Stock Up 41% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EMBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Embecta
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 83.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,102 |
| Op Inc LTM | 133 |
| FCF LTM | 132 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 72 |
| CFO LTM | 134 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 90 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 2.7 |
| P/E | 6.8 |
| P/CFO | 38.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -5.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -75.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12112024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12222022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3162022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 2032022 | 10-12B/A 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |