Embecta (EMBC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.795 | Market Cap: $690.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment
Embecta (EMBC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $11.795Market Cap: $690.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 26% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 175% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Key risksEMBC key risks include [1] a shrinking core market for its insulin delivery products due to new GLP-1 medications, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Diabetes Management. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 26% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Diabetes Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 175% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7% |
| Key risksEMBC key risks include [1] a shrinking core market for its insulin delivery products due to new GLP-1 medications, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EMBC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Embecta's (EMBC) stock movement of -17.6% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Embecta reported a significant decline in revenue for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025. The company's revenue for Q4 2025 was $264 million, marking a 7.7% year-over-year decrease as reported, and a 10.4% decline on an adjusted constant currency basis. This figure fell below analyst consensus estimates of $265.66 million.
2. U.S. revenue experienced a notable decrease in the fiscal fourth quarter. Embecta's U.S. revenue for fiscal Q4 2025 was $142 million, reflecting a 15.2% year-over-year decrease on an adjusted constant currency basis. This decline was partially attributed to the impact from prior-year distributor orders tied to U.S. port strike risk and milestone payments to a major U.S. pharmacy customer.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EMBC Return | � | � | � | -23% | 14% | -40% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EMBC Win Rate | � | � | 62% | 50% | 42% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EMBC Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -48% | -46% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, DAVI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EMBC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, DAVI
In The Past
Embecta's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2022. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.7% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Embecta Earnings Notes | |||
| null | |||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Embecta Stock with 41% Return (vs. -31% YTD) [8/13/2025] | Notification | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Embecta (EMBC) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| EMBC Stock Up 41% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EMBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Embecta
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 84.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,080 |
| Op Inc LTM | 133 |
| FCF LTM | 168 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 81 |
| CFO LTM | 192 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 98 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 2.8 |
| P/E | 7.2 |
| P/CFO | 38.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -1.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -72.9% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/25/2025 | -7.2% | -17.3% | |
| 8/8/2025 | 18.5% | 33.9% | 42.9% |
| 5/9/2025 | -10.0% | -12.3% | -24.5% |
| 2/6/2025 | -2.6% | -8.7% | -29.2% |
| 11/26/2024 | 29.8% | 41.8% | 45.7% |
| 8/9/2024 | 7.3% | 1.7% | 8.0% |
| 5/9/2024 | 37.9% | 33.9% | 22.5% |
| 2/9/2024 | -8.5% | -16.8% | -21.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 11.9% | 25.2% | 17.1% |
| Median Negative | -8.7% | -10.5% | -21.8% |
| Max Positive | 37.9% | 41.8% | 45.7% |
| Max Negative | -15.6% | -17.4% | -29.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11252025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12112024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12222022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3162022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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