Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 6.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 224%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Diabetes Management.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 6.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 23%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -52%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Diabetes Management.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 224%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EMBC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Embecta's (EMBC) stock moved by -17.5% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Disappointing Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue Performance: Embecta reported a 7.7% year-over-year decrease in revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, totaling $264.0 million. This decline was primarily attributed to a 15.2% decrease in U.S. revenues due to prior year distributor order timing and unfavorable pricing, alongside a 4.0% decline in international revenue (on an adjusted constant currency basis) mainly due to headwinds in China.

2. Weak Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Guidance: The company's initial financial guidance for fiscal year 2026 projected revenues to be flat to down 2% and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $2.80 to $3.00. This outlook was perceived negatively by investors, suggesting limited near-term growth prospects.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EMBC Return----23%14%-38%-46%
Peers Return38%32%-15%2%16%1%86%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EMBC Win Rate--62%50%42%20% 
Peers Win Rate54%67%46%58%60%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EMBC Max Drawdown----48%-46%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-11%-45%-25%-22%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, DAVI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEMBCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, DAVI


In The Past

Embecta's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2022. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Embecta (EMBC)

Better Bets than Embecta (EMBC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EMBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Embecta

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EMBCEWMASIUFPTATRCDAVIMedian
NameEmbecta Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Davion H. 
Mkt Price11.9583.98138.09219.6636.31-83.98
Mkt Cap0.749.17.51.71.7-1.7
Rev LTM1,1025,8842,182598518-1,102
Op Inc LTM2871,61913395-26-133
FCF LTM1328001688716-132
FCF 3Y Avg726889356-9-72
CFO LTM1341,0172089943-134
CFO 3Y Avg909551476718-90

Growth & Margins

EMBCEWMASIUFPTATRCDAVIMedian
NameEmbecta Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Davion H. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.5%10.6%38.5%29.5%15.8%-15.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.5%4.4%11.4%23.4%18.0%-11.4%
Rev Chg Q8.4%14.7%8.2%6.5%15.8%-8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%3.5%1.3%1.6%3.7%-2.1%
Op Mgn LTM26.0%27.5%6.1%16.0%-5.1%-16.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.8%28.9%8.9%15.8%-6.2%-15.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%-0.4%2.0%-0.6%1.7%-1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM12.2%17.3%9.5%16.6%8.3%-12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%18.7%8.1%13.5%3.6%-8.1%
FCF/Rev LTM12.0%13.6%7.7%14.6%3.1%-12.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%13.4%5.3%11.2%-2.8%-6.5%

Valuation

EMBCEWMASIUFPTATRCDAVIMedian
NameEmbecta Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Davion H. 
Mkt Cap0.749.17.51.71.7-1.7
P/S0.57.73.72.63.3-3.3
P/EBIT2.726.6-46.716.5-76.8-2.7
P/E6.833.3-14.022.9-58.7-6.8
P/CFO4.244.738.315.539.2-38.3
Total Yield20.9%3.0%-7.1%4.4%-1.7%-3.0%
Dividend Yield6.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.3%1.6%1.1%3.5%-0.4%-1.6%
D/E2.60.00.10.10.0-0.1
Net D/E2.2-0.10.00.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

EMBCEWMASIUFPTATRCDAVIMedian
NameEmbecta Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Davion H. 
1M Rtn-11.0%1.1%-4.7%10.4%6.7%-1.1%
3M Rtn-16.5%3.4%1.0%7.9%4.4%-3.4%
6M Rtn16.1%7.9%-15.3%-8.5%4.0%-4.0%
12M Rtn-39.0%19.6%-20.7%-26.6%0.5%--20.7%
3Y Rtn-60.6%9.7%-5.1%79.7%-20.3%--5.1%
1M Excs Rtn-10.9%1.1%-4.7%10.4%6.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-22.9%-1.6%-8.8%-0.2%-3.5%--3.5%
6M Excs Rtn1.4%-6.8%-30.0%-23.2%-10.7%--10.7%
12M Excs Rtn-53.7%4.2%-33.5%-45.5%-13.1%--33.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-131.2%-62.0%-75.5%15.5%-90.0%--75.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,884,127
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.3%
Average Daily Volume354,348
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.14
Basic Shares Quantity58,490,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241211202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231129202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221222202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-Q 12/31/2021
9302021203202210-12B/A 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Melcher David F5232025Buy10.6010,000105,995918,776Form
1Melcher David F2252025Buy13.6713,000177,6461,047,854Form