Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil
  Key risks
EMA key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet with a substantial refinancing challenge for debt maturing in 2026, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
9 Key risks
EMA key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet with a substantial refinancing challenge for debt maturing in 2026, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EMA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Emera (EMA) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Emera reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 7, 2025, with a 9% improvement in adjusted earnings per share. The company announced adjusted earnings per share of $0.88 for Q3 2025, compared to $0.81 in Q3 2024. This increase was primarily driven by higher earnings at Tampa Electric.

2. Emera unveiled a new $20 billion five-year capital plan extending through 2030. This plan, announced on November 7, 2025, emphasizes investments in Florida (approximately 80% of the capital) to strengthen and storm-harden systems, support growth, and maintain an 8-9% expected rate base growth for its Florida utilities. Over 90% of the plan is allocated to reliability and grid modernization projects, renewable asset integration, and technological innovation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EMA Return3%23%-19%3%6%36%53%
Peers Return4%16%-1%-11%20%16%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EMA Win Rate50%58%33%50%50%83% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%60%53%58%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EMA Max Drawdown-31%-6%-25%-12%-11%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-8%-16%-24%-6%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, DUK, SO, AEP, D.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEMAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven394 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-31.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven225 days1,480 days

Compare to FE, ES, HE, GNE, IMSR


In The Past

Emera's stock fell -37.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2022. A -37.3% loss requires a 59.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Emera (EMA)

Better Bets than Emera (EMA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Emera Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EMA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Emera

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EMANEEDUKSOAEPDMedian
NameEmera NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern American.Dominion. 
Mkt Price48.5480.29117.4387.03114.7160.1183.66
Mkt Cap14.6165.891.495.961.451.376.4
Rev LTM8,53326,29831,65928,91221,25715,22723,778
Op Inc LTM2,0187,4048,5837,4265,3004,5286,352
FCF LTM-1,2103,073-921-1,823-1,736-8,071-1,473
FCF 3Y Avg-1,0372,421-2,122-1,031-1,932-5,691-1,485
CFO LTM2,28411,96712,0499,3786,8584,6098,118
CFO 3Y Avg2,14511,84710,5398,6105,8345,6777,222

Growth & Margins

EMANEEDUKSOAEPDMedian
NameEmera NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern American.Dominion. 
Rev Chg LTM15.2%0.2%4.8%9.4%8.4%5.3%6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.8%11.4%5.2%1.3%4.2%7.5%6.0%
Rev Chg Q16.9%5.3%4.8%7.5%10.9%9.3%8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%1.5%1.2%1.9%2.9%2.2%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM23.6%28.2%27.1%25.7%24.9%29.7%26.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.7%31.5%25.1%23.7%21.6%27.0%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-1.4%0.3%0.3%0.1%1.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM26.8%45.5%38.1%32.4%32.3%30.3%32.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.1%44.6%34.6%31.6%29.0%38.4%33.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-14.2%11.7%-2.9%-6.3%-8.2%-53.0%-7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12.9%9.3%-7.1%-3.7%-9.7%-38.2%-8.4%

Valuation

EMANEEDUKSOAEPDMedian
NameEmera NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern American.Dominion. 
Mkt Cap14.6165.891.495.961.451.376.4
P/S1.75.93.03.62.83.43.2
P/EBIT6.820.710.412.510.610.110.5
P/E12.224.019.323.416.422.821.1
P/CFO6.313.08.011.18.811.310.0
Total Yield12.1%7.1%6.0%7.1%9.4%8.7%7.9%
Dividend Yield3.9%2.9%0.8%2.9%3.3%4.3%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.0%1.3%-2.9%-1.3%-4.3%-12.2%-3.6%
D/E1.40.60.90.70.80.90.8
Net D/E1.40.60.90.70.80.90.8

Returns

EMANEEDUKSOAEPDMedian
NameEmera NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern American.Dominion. 
1M Rtn-0.6%-5.7%-6.2%-3.9%-7.3%-1.2%-4.8%
3M Rtn6.0%15.0%-2.2%-4.2%7.5%2.0%4.0%
6M Rtn11.5%13.8%4.3%-0.2%15.2%13.5%12.5%
12M Rtn34.2%14.6%12.8%8.0%29.1%17.5%16.0%
3Y Rtn50.3%4.1%31.8%41.3%36.0%19.1%33.9%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%-6.5%-6.9%-4.7%-8.0%-1.9%-5.6%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%12.8%-3.0%-5.4%7.3%0.4%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-0.8%1.4%-8.1%-12.6%2.8%1.1%0.1%
12M Excs Rtn21.4%1.4%0.7%-3.0%17.0%5.5%3.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-21.3%-67.2%-39.2%-30.3%-38.0%-52.0%-38.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Florida Electric Utility21,11921,05317,90316,88916,214
Canadian Electric Utilities8,6348,2237,4186,7526,717
Gas Utilities and Infrastructure7,7357,7376,6666,0675,489
Other1,9382,8352,0341,2341,459
Other Electric Utilities1,3111,3371,4021,3653,069
Eliminations-1,257 -1,179-1,073-1,106
Inter-segment Eliminations -1,443   
Total39,48039,74234,24431,23431,842


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,567,896
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-25.7%
Average Daily Volume187,908
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.34
Basic Shares Quantity299,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580820256-K 6/30/2025
331202550920256-K 3/31/2025
12312024221202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481220246-K 6/30/2024
331202451520246-K 3/31/2024
12312023226202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202351720236-K 3/31/2023
12312022224202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022111620226-K 9/30/2022
630202281120226-K 6/30/2022
331202251720226-K 3/31/2022
12312021214202240-F 12/31/2021
9302021111520216-K 9/30/2021