Descartes Systems (DSGX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $89.02 | Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Descartes Systems (DSGX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $89.02Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% | Key risksDSGX key risks include [1] high revenue concentration in Europe and North America, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
| Key risksDSGX key risks include [1] high revenue concentration in Europe and North America, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DSGX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The available information does not indicate a -10.9% stock movement for Descartes Systems (DSGX) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. On the contrary, recent data suggests a positive trend for DSGX around this period. The stock price gained 1.47% on December 16, 2025, and was up by 9.87% over the two weeks leading up to that date. While there was a daily decline of -1.81% on December 17, 2025, the total change over the prior 10 days was a positive 7.29%. Furthermore, in early December 2025, Morgan Stanley raised its price target for Descartes stock, noting an approximately 12% stock price increase since Descartes' strong third-quarter 2025 earnings release.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DSGX Return | 37% | 41% | -16% | 21% | 35% | -20% | 112% |
| Peers Return | 113% | 9% | -29% | 34% | -8% | -35% | 32% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DSGX Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 81% | 50% | 40% | 60% | 48% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DSGX Max Drawdown | -32% | -2% | -31% | -3% | -5% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -17% | -45% | -16% | -30% | -48% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MANH, SPSC, BL, FIVN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DSGX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 665 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 189 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC
In The Past
Descartes Systems's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DSGX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Descartes Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 89.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| Rev LTM | 730 |
| Op Inc LTM | 108 |
| FCF LTM | 152 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 133 |
| CFO LTM | 192 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 162 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| P/S | 5.4 |
| P/EBIT | 38.8 |
| P/E | 49.2 |
| P/CFO | 22.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -40.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -52.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9042025 | 6-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6052025 | 6-K 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4222025 | 40-F 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12042024 | 6-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 6-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5302024 | 6-K 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4222024 | 40-F 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12062023 | 6-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 6-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 6-K 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3012023 | 6-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 6-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 6-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 6-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 4142022 | 40-F 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 6-K 10/31/2021 |
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