CapsoVision (CV)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $5.005 | Market Cap: $231.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
CapsoVision (CV)
Market Price (2/4/2026): $5.005Market Cap: $231.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -173% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -157%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -158% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% | ||
| Key risksCV key risks include [1] significant financial strain and a heightened bankruptcy risk, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -173% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -157%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -158% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
| Key risksCV key risks include [1] significant financial strain and a heightened bankruptcy risk, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Q3 2025 Financial Results and Continued Unprofitability.
CapsoVision's stock performance was influenced by its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reported on November 13, 2025. While the company achieved a 19% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $3.5 million, it also reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.17, missing analyst consensus estimates of -$0.14. Furthermore, CapsoVision posted a net loss of $7.9 million for the quarter, indicating that despite revenue growth, the company remains unprofitable. This mixed financial picture, particularly the ongoing losses, likely tempered sustained bullish sentiment and contributed to the stock's eventual return to earlier levels after a temporary rise.
2. Post-IPO Volatility and Correction Towards Analyst Expectations.
Since its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2025 at $5.00 per share, CapsoVision's stock has experienced notable volatility, including a surge to an all-time high of $14.42 on December 11, 2025. This spike was followed by a market correction, bringing the stock price back to approximately $5.29 by January 27, 2026. This stabilization around its initial IPO price range reflects the market adjusting from speculative highs, aligning with current analyst sentiment. The average twelve-month stock price forecast from analysts is $6.00, with individual targets ranging from $5.00 to $7.00, indicating that the stock settled near the lower end of these more conservative valuations after its December peak.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.5% change in CV stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.88 | 5.00 | 2.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 41 | 41 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CV | 2.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 13.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.8% | 31.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 29.4% change in CV stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.87 | 5.00 | 29.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 41 | 41 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CV | 29.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 13.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 18.7% | 18.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CV | -85.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 9.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.3% | 13.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CV | -85.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 9.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.9% | 13.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CV Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -70% | -49% | -84% |
| Peers Return | 4% | -15% | -8% | -24% | 35% | -4% | -19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 86% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CV Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 53% | 47% | 42% | 54% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CV Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -90% | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -41% | -42% | -35% | -19% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 159.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN
In The Past
CapsoVision's stock fell -61.5% during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis from a high on 7/12/2007. A -61.5% loss requires a 159.7% gain to breakeven.
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About CapsoVision (CV)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- CapsoVision is the camera pill version of Medtronic's digestive diagnostics.
- CapsoVision is like a doctor-prescribed GoPro for your intestines, designed for medical diagnosis.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- CapsoCam Plus: A capsule endoscope system used for visualizing the small bowel.
- CapsoView: Proprietary software designed to review and analyze the images captured by the CapsoCam Plus capsule.
- CapsoRetrieve: A magnetic retriever used to non-invasively retrieve the CapsoCam Plus capsule from the colon.
AI Analysis | Feedback
CapsoVision (symbol: CV) primarily sells its capsule endoscopy systems, such as the CapsoCam SV3, to healthcare providers and medical institutions. Therefore, its business model is primarily business-to-business (B2B).
While CapsoVision does not publicly disclose specific names of individual major customer companies that account for a disproportionate share of its revenue, its customer base generally consists of various entities within the healthcare sector that purchase and utilize medical diagnostic equipment for patient care. These typically include:
- Hospitals and Hospital Systems: Large medical facilities, often part of broader networks, that incorporate advanced diagnostic tools into their gastroenterology departments. Examples of large public hospital systems in the U.S. that could potentially be customers (though not explicitly named by CapsoVision as such) include HCA Healthcare (HCA), Universal Health Services (UHS), and Tenet Healthcare (THC). However, CapsoVision does not name these specific systems as direct major customers.
- Gastroenterology Clinics and Private Practices: Specialized medical practices focused on diagnosing and treating digestive system disorders are key purchasers and users of capsule endoscopy technology. These are often smaller, privately owned entities.
- Ambulatory Surgery Centers (ASCs) and Diagnostic Centers: Outpatient facilities that perform a range of diagnostic and minor surgical procedures, where capsule endoscopy can be utilized.
In summary, CapsoVision's major customers are a broad array of healthcare institutions and providers rather than a few specific, publicly named corporate entities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Kang-Huai (Johnny) Wang, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Wang is a co-founder of CapsoVision and has served as President and Chief Executive Officer since November 2024. He previously held the roles of President and Chief Technology Officer from October 2006 to October 2024. Prior to co-founding CapsoVision, Mr. Wang was the Vice President of Engineering for ESS Technology, and co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Divio, Inc., a video processing chip design company. He also served as Design Manager for C-Cube Microsystem and held various other engineering roles in the semiconductor industry.
David Michael Garcia, Senior Vice President of Finance and Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Garcia was appointed Senior Vice President of Finance and Principal Accounting Officer, effective November 3, 2025. He brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience in corporate finance, capital markets, and strategic transactions. Before joining CapsoVision, Mr. Garcia served as Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis at Matterport, Inc., where he played a key role in leading its initial public offering and supported a recent acquisition. His career also includes senior finance positions at View, Inc., Intelepeer Cloud Communications, and Align Technology, as well as earlier experience with Oracle and Deloitte.
Douglas Atkinson, Head of Global Sales
Mr. Atkinson joined CapsoVision as Head of Global Sales in October 2016. Prior to this, he was the Director of Sales for MedTech Micro-Fixation, a distributor of Zimmer-Biomet, from May 2015 to October 2016. From January 2005 to April 2015, he served as Regional Sales Director at Medtronic PLC. Mr. Atkinson also held positions as Regional Director of Sales and National Accounts at Stryker Corporation from May 1995 to December 2004, where he received multiple sales leadership and revenue growth awards.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to CapsoVision (CV) are primarily centered around its financial stability, regulatory challenges, and intense competition within the medical technology industry.
- Financial Strain and Liquidity Concerns: CapsoVision faces significant financial strain, evident from its reported net losses and limited cash reserves. The company's negative cash flow and shrinking cash reserves raise concerns about its ability to fund future growth, potentially necessitating further dilution through equity offerings or increased debt financing. An Altman Z-Score of -19.13 further signals a heightened risk of bankruptcy if the company cannot secure additional funding or rapidly increase its revenue.
- Regulatory Hurdles and Delays: As a medical technology company, CapsoVision's success is heavily dependent on obtaining regulatory approvals, particularly from the FDA, for its AI diagnostics and new product pipeline, such as CapsoCam Colon and CapsoCam UGI for pancreatic cancer screening. Regulatory scrutiny, especially regarding the validation of AI diagnostics and reliance on specific subgroup data, could lead to delays in approvals, thereby impacting market entry and resulting in lost revenue opportunities. There is also a specific risk that the company's proposed capsule endoscopy solutions may not meet the eligibility criteria for Breakthrough Device Designation or receive the necessary FDA authorization.
- Competitive Landscape: CapsoVision operates in a highly competitive industry, with established players such as GE Healthcare and Olympus already dominating the endoscopy markets. To succeed, CapsoVision must continually demonstrate and prove the superior edge of its AI-driven technology over traditional diagnostic tools to effectively compete for market share.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
CapsoVision's main products and services are centered around capsule endoscopy solutions, primarily featuring the CapsoCam Plus single-use capsule and associated software like CapsoCloud and CapsoView. These technologies are designed for visualizing the small-bowel mucosa to detect abnormalities such as obscure gastrointestinal bleeding and Crohn's disease. The company also offers CapsoCam Colon for colon polyp detection and is developing CapsoColon 3D.
The addressable markets for CapsoVision's products and services are within the broader capsule endoscopy market and the larger gastrointestinal (GI) diagnostics market. The market sizes are as follows:
-
Global Capsule Endoscopy Market:
- In 2024, the global capsule endoscopy market was estimated at approximately USD 443.8 million or USD 557.1 million or USD 569.41 million or USD 553.8 million.
- This market is projected to reach between USD 695.4 million by 2030 and USD 1.6 billion in 2032, with some projections suggesting it could reach USD 1217 million by 2030 or USD 1409.29 million by 2034.
- The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the global capsule endoscopy market is expected to range from 7.9% (2025-2030) to 18.6% (2025-2030).
-
U.S. Capsule Endoscopy Market:
- The U.S. capsule endoscopy market was valued at USD 124.28 million in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 272.33 million by 2034, with an expected CAGR of 8.16% from 2025 to 2034.
-
Global Gastrointestinal (GI) Diagnostics Market:
- This broader market is projected to surpass USD 8.5 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.58%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
CapsoVision (CV) is anticipated to experience significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
- Continued Growth and Expanded Indications for CapsoCam Plus: The company's flagship product, CapsoCam Plus, a wire-free capsule endoscopy platform for small bowel visualization, continues to demonstrate strong performance. Revenue for CapsoCam Plus increased by 17% year-over-year in Q2 2025, with new accounts growing by 75% in the same period. Analysts project small bowel revenue growth to be 19% in 2025, accelerating to 25% in 2026. Furthermore, label expansions in December 2024 to include pediatric patients as young as two and permit remote ingestions are expected to further accelerate its adoption.
- Launch and Commercialization of CapsoCam Colon: A major future revenue driver is the planned introduction of CapsoCam Colon, a non-invasive capsule for colon imaging and polyp detection. CapsoVision submitted a 510(k) notification to the FDA for this product in June 2025. Analysts anticipate FDA approval by the end of 2025, paving the way for a commercial launch in the second half of 2026. This product is poised to enter the substantial $10 billion colon screening market, with Roth Capital estimating significant revenue contributions starting from 2026.
- Integration and Advancement of AI Technology: CapsoVision is leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance its diagnostic solutions. The company expects a substantial boost from FDA 510(k) clearance for the integration of AI technology into CapsoCam Plus by the end of 2025. AI is projected to improve clinical outcomes, streamline workflow efficiency, and increase cost-effectiveness, thereby overcoming barriers to broader adoption of capsule endoscopy.
- Expansion into New Gastrointestinal Indications: The company's proprietary technology platform is designed for broader application across various gastrointestinal (GI) indications. CapsoVision plans to expand into new areas such as esophageal disorders and pancreatic cancer. Breakthrough designation for pancreatic imaging is anticipated later in 2025, with trials for both pancreatic and esophageal indications expected to commence by early 2026.
- International Market Expansion: CapsoVision is also focusing on growing its international presence. International sales for the small bowel market are forecast to grow by 28% year-over-year in 2025. Additionally, international sales for CapsoCam Colon are projected to begin in 2027, with significant growth expected in subsequent years.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- CapsoVision, Inc. completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on July 3, 2025, with shares beginning to trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market on July 2, 2025, under the ticker symbol "CV".
- The company offered 5,500,000 shares of common stock at a public offering price of $5.00 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $27.5 million.
- Net proceeds from the IPO totaled approximately $23.4 million, after deducting underwriting discounts, commissions, and offering expenses.
Inbound Investments
- Prior to its IPO, CapsoVision had raised a total of $118 million in funding over 14 rounds since October 2006.
- The company's Initial Public Offering in July 2025 raised gross proceeds of $27.5 million from public investors.
Capital Expenditures
- For the last 12 months ending November 4, 2025, CapsoVision reported capital expenditures of approximately -$74,000.
- The company's focus for development is on advanced imaging and AI technologies for its capsule endoscopy solutions, including updating CapsoCam Plus with AI-assisted reading technology and developing CapsoCam Colon for non-invasive colon imaging.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.2 |
| Rev LTM | 464 |
| Op Inc LTM | -16 |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -15 |
| CFO LTM | 19 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -12 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.2 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | -14.8 |
| P/E | -12.3 |
| P/CFO | 43.6 |
| Total Yield | -5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -24.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -9.7% | -6.0% | 111.6% |
| 8/14/2025 | -4.2% | -1.0% | 7.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 59.7% | ||
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -3.5% | |
| Max Positive | 111.6% | ||
| Max Negative | -9.7% | -6.0% | |
External Quote Links
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