Constellium (CSTM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.06 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Aluminum
Constellium (CSTM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.06Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Aluminum
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4% |
| Key risksCSTM key risks include [1] its high debt level and low interest coverage ratio compared to industry peers, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4% |
| Key risksCSTM key risks include [1] its high debt level and low interest coverage ratio compared to industry peers, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CSTM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 24.6% stock movement for Constellium (CSTM) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: **1. Strategic Investment in Battery Applications and Inauguration of New Lines:** The inauguration of new finishing lines at Constellium's Singen plant in Germany on December 3, 2025, marked the completion of a €30 million investment aimed at supplying aluminum foilstock for battery applications in Europe. This strategic move into high-growth markets was viewed positively, with the news contributing to a 6.45% gain on the day of publication. **2. Ongoing Share Repurchase Programs Demonstrating Confidence:** Constellium continued its share repurchase activities, having repurchased approximately $79 million of its stock throughout the full year 2024 and previously announcing a $300 million share repurchase program expiring in December 2026. These significant repurchases, exceeding the $5 million threshold, signal management's confidence in the company's valuation and commitment to returning value to shareholders. **3. Positive Analyst Price Targets and Bullish Outlook for 2025:** Despite some market uncertainties, at least one analyst from JP Morgan on October 30, 2025, set a price target for CSTM at $22.00, anticipating a 23.80% upside within 12 months. Furthermore, a "bull" perspective highlighted Constellium's potential for strong financial performance, reaffirming an Adjusted EBITDA target of over €800 million by 2025, driven by a recycling facility, aerospace contracts, and cost-saving initiatives. **4. Strong Positioning in Global Electrification and Sustainability Trends:** Constellium is well-positioned to capitalize on significant global trends such as electrification and sustainability, which are expanding aluminum markets. This strategic alignment is expected to enhance volumes, pricing power, and profitability through increased demand for advanced aluminum products in various applications. **5. Resilient Demand in Key End Markets:** While 2024 presented various market headwinds, demand in certain key end markets demonstrated resilience. Aerospace demand was anticipated to remain strong, continuing its post-pandemic recovery, and packaging demand showed signs of improvement during parts of 2024. This steady demand in crucial sectors provided a foundation against broader market weakness.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CSTM Return | 4% | 28% | -34% | 69% | -49% | 80% | 38% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 58% | -13% | 22% | 8% | 41% | 184% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CSTM Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 67% | 33% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 60% | 45% | 50% | 47% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CSTM Max Drawdown | -69% | -12% | -45% | 0% | -50% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -56% | -10% | -36% | -21% | -18% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AA, KALU, RS, CENX, MTRN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CSTM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 116.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 546 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -71.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 249.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 291 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 120 days |
Compare to AA, CENX, CSTM, KALU
In The Past
Constellium's stock fell -53.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -53.7% loss requires a 116.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CSTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Constellium
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 78.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| Rev LTM | 5,589 |
| Op Inc LTM | 259 |
| FCF LTM | 47 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -5 |
| CFO LTM | 254 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 266 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 10.7 |
| P/E | 19.2 |
| P/CFO | 11.2 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 55.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 38.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 57.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 43.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 25.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -16.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packaging and Automotive Rolled Products (P&ARP) | 4,193 | 5,002 | 3,516 | ||
| Aerospace and Transportation (A&T) | 1,853 | 1,823 | 1,591 | ||
| Automotive Structures and Industry (AS&I) | 1,759 | 1,996 | 1,510 | ||
| Holdings and Corporate (H&C) | 21 | 0 | |||
| Inter-segment elimination | -113 | ||||
| Total | 7,826 | 8,708 | 6,617 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packaging and Automotive Rolled Products (P&ARP) | 2,045 | 2,345 | 2,387 | 2,132 | 2,185 |
| Aerospace and Transportation (A&T) | 1,201 | 1,159 | 1,073 | 941 | 959 |
| Automotive Structures and Industry (AS&I) | 736 | 780 | 836 | 822 | 787 |
| Holdings and Corporate (H&C) | 347 | 489 | 511 | 337 | 309 |
| Deferred income tax assets | 337 | 291 | 183 | 237 | 207 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 223 | 178 | 166 | 540 | 206 |
| Fair value of derivatives instruments and other financial assets | 44 | 42 | 79 | 70 | 32 |
| Assets of disposal group classified as held for sale | 15 | ||||
| Total | 4,933 | 5,299 | 5,235 | 5,078 | 4,687 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10232024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7232024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4242024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3182024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3142023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3142022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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