Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%
2   Key risks
CSTM key risks include [1] its high debt level and low interest coverage ratio compared to industry peers, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%
6 Key risks
CSTM key risks include [1] its high debt level and low interest coverage ratio compared to industry peers, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CSTM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 24.6% stock movement for Constellium (CSTM) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: **1. Strategic Investment in Battery Applications and Inauguration of New Lines:** The inauguration of new finishing lines at Constellium's Singen plant in Germany on December 3, 2025, marked the completion of a €30 million investment aimed at supplying aluminum foilstock for battery applications in Europe. This strategic move into high-growth markets was viewed positively, with the news contributing to a 6.45% gain on the day of publication. **2. Ongoing Share Repurchase Programs Demonstrating Confidence:** Constellium continued its share repurchase activities, having repurchased approximately $79 million of its stock throughout the full year 2024 and previously announcing a $300 million share repurchase program expiring in December 2026. These significant repurchases, exceeding the $5 million threshold, signal management's confidence in the company's valuation and commitment to returning value to shareholders. **3. Positive Analyst Price Targets and Bullish Outlook for 2025:** Despite some market uncertainties, at least one analyst from JP Morgan on October 30, 2025, set a price target for CSTM at $22.00, anticipating a 23.80% upside within 12 months. Furthermore, a "bull" perspective highlighted Constellium's potential for strong financial performance, reaffirming an Adjusted EBITDA target of over €800 million by 2025, driven by a recycling facility, aerospace contracts, and cost-saving initiatives. **4. Strong Positioning in Global Electrification and Sustainability Trends:** Constellium is well-positioned to capitalize on significant global trends such as electrification and sustainability, which are expanding aluminum markets. This strategic alignment is expected to enhance volumes, pricing power, and profitability through increased demand for advanced aluminum products in various applications. **5. Resilient Demand in Key End Markets:** While 2024 presented various market headwinds, demand in certain key end markets demonstrated resilience. Aerospace demand was anticipated to remain strong, continuing its post-pandemic recovery, and packaging demand showed signs of improvement during parts of 2024. This steady demand in crucial sectors provided a foundation against broader market weakness.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CSTM Return4%28%-34%69%-49%80%38%
Peers Return11%58%-13%22%8%41%184%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CSTM Win Rate58%58%42%67%33%83% 
Peers Win Rate57%60%45%50%47%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CSTM Max Drawdown-69%-12%-45%0%-50%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-10%-36%-21%-18%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AA, KALU, RS, CENX, MTRN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCSTMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven546 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven249.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven291 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days120 days

Compare to AA, CENX, CSTM, KALU


In The Past

Constellium's stock fell -53.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -53.7% loss requires a 116.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Constellium (CSTM)

Better Bets than Constellium (CSTM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CSTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Constellium

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CSTMAAKALURSCENXMTRNMedian
NameConstell.Alcoa Kaiser A.Reliance Century .Materion  
Mkt Price18.0646.84111.08297.7132.12124.2178.96
Mkt Cap2.512.11.815.63.02.62.8
Rev LTM7,96912,8683,20913,9222,5251,7345,589
Op Inc LTM3441,337144982174145259
FCF LTM-4051913662-388247
FCF 3Y Avg-16-5951,073-4238-5
CFO LTM3321,0631751,02941160254
CFO 3Y Avg3624931691,48844133266

Growth & Margins

CSTMAAKALURSCENXMTRNMedian
NameConstell.Alcoa Kaiser A.Reliance Century .Materion  
Rev Chg LTM6.5%16.9%7.7%-0.9%20.1%3.9%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.4%0.5%-2.2%-7.0%-2.9%0.3%-1.8%
Rev Chg Q20.2%3.1%12.8%6.8%17.3%1.9%9.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%0.7%3.1%1.7%3.8%0.5%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM4.3%10.4%4.5%7.1%6.9%8.4%7.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.4%3.2%3.5%9.6%3.5%8.1%4.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-1.8%1.0%-0.2%-0.5%0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.2%8.3%5.5%7.4%1.6%9.2%6.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%4.0%5.4%10.3%2.0%7.8%5.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.5%4.0%0.4%4.8%-1.5%4.7%2.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.2%-0.8%0.2%7.4%-1.9%2.2%-0.0%

Valuation

CSTMAAKALURSCENXMTRNMedian
NameConstell.Alcoa Kaiser A.Reliance Century .Materion  
Mkt Cap2.512.11.815.63.02.62.8
P/S0.30.70.41.11.11.40.9
P/EBIT6.75.68.013.423.839.710.7
P/E18.37.414.720.232.2129.119.2
P/CFO6.28.07.114.367.115.711.2
Total Yield5.5%14.7%7.8%6.7%3.1%1.0%6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.2%1.0%1.7%0.0%0.2%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%-1.9%0.5%7.0%-4.4%1.6%-0.2%
D/E1.00.30.90.10.20.20.3
Net D/E1.00.10.80.10.20.20.2

Returns

CSTMAAKALURSCENXMTRNMedian
NameConstell.Alcoa Kaiser A.Reliance Century .Materion  
1M Rtn21.1%30.9%21.4%11.8%14.6%10.0%17.8%
3M Rtn18.5%42.9%45.7%3.6%21.7%6.0%20.1%
6M Rtn39.1%66.2%50.2%-2.8%86.1%61.4%55.8%
12M Rtn65.5%23.4%53.8%8.1%63.8%17.2%38.6%
3Y Rtn60.1%13.7%63.6%55.1%339.4%48.3%57.6%
1M Excs Rtn20.4%30.2%20.7%11.1%13.8%9.3%17.1%
3M Excs Rtn9.0%42.2%40.7%2.6%18.1%0.5%13.5%
6M Excs Rtn26.8%53.9%37.8%-15.2%73.7%49.0%43.4%
12M Excs Rtn50.7%10.2%40.5%-7.4%42.8%1.9%25.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.7%-62.4%-16.4%-16.0%230.1%-19.0%-16.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Packaging and Automotive Rolled Products (P&ARP)4,1935,002  3,516
Aerospace and Transportation (A&T)1,8531,823  1,591
Automotive Structures and Industry (AS&I)1,7591,996  1,510
Holdings and Corporate (H&C)210   
Inter-segment elimination -113   
Total7,8268,708  6,617


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Packaging and Automotive Rolled Products (P&ARP)2,0452,3452,3872,1322,185
Aerospace and Transportation (A&T)1,2011,1591,073941959
Automotive Structures and Industry (AS&I)736780836822787
Holdings and Corporate (H&C)347489511337309
Deferred income tax assets337291183237207
Cash and cash equivalents223178166540206
Fair value of derivatives instruments and other financial assets4442797032
Assets of disposal group classified as held for sale 15   
Total4,9335,2995,2355,0784,687


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,461,203
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.3%
Average Daily Volume1,162,148
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.98
Basic Shares Quantity138,668,972
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-3.8%-5.8%-1.8%
7/29/20255.4%-5.1%4.5%
2/20/202514.2%28.1%29.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive212
# Negative121
Median Positive9.8%28.1%17.1%
Median Negative-3.8%-5.4%-1.8%
Max Positive14.2%28.1%29.7%
Max Negative-3.8%-5.8%-1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024102320246-K 9/30/2024
630202472320246-K 6/30/2024
331202442420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023318202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023102520236-K 9/30/2023
630202372720236-K 6/30/2023
331202342620236-K 3/31/2023
12312022314202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022102620226-K 9/30/2022
630202272820226-K 6/30/2022
331202242720226-K 3/31/2022
12312021314202220-F 12/31/2021