Cricut (CRCT)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $4.63 | Market Cap: $982.8 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Cricut (CRCT)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $4.63Market Cap: $982.8 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.53 | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 20% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.53 |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CRCT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the movement of Cricut (CRCT) stock from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:
1. Analyst Downgrades and Negative Sentiment: The stock faced a negative outlook from analysts, notably with Goldman Sachs lowering its rating from "neutral" to "sell" and decreasing its price target in mid-October 2025. This contributed to a broader "Strong Sell" consensus among analysts, with an average price target forecasting a further decrease in the stock price.
2. Concerns Over Future Tariff Impacts: Management highlighted anticipated higher tariff costs that are expected to negatively impact margins, beginning in the fourth quarter of 2025 and accelerating into 2026. These tariffs pose a risk to future revenue streams and consumer discretionary spending.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRCT Return | - | - | -58% | -20% | -5% | -6% | -70% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 1% | -29% | 114% | 4% | -14% | 73% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRCT Win Rate | - | 44% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 37% | 15% | 38% | 48% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRCT Max Drawdown | - | - | -72% | -20% | -30% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -20% | -32% | -2% | -16% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EBON, VELO, YIBO, AAPL, DELL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRCT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 593.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to EBON, VELO, YIBO, AAPL, DELL
In The Past
Cricut's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 593.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Cricut Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Cricut Stock Moved: CRCT Stock Has Lost 69% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Revenues | |||
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Cricut Stock with -19% Return (vs. 3.8% YTD) [7/15/2025] | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| CRCT Stock Down -19% after 7-Day Loss Streak | July 16th, 2025 | ||
| CRCT Stock Down -18% after 6-Day Loss Streak | July 15th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -10.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -10.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cricut
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.63 |
| Mkt Cap | 90.7 |
| Rev LTM | 51,083 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,504 |
| FCF LTM | 2,530 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,368 |
| CFO LTM | 3,849 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,739 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 90.7 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 12.1 |
| P/E | 18.5 |
| P/CFO | 12.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -42.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -5.2% | -4.2% | |
| 8/5/2025 | 16.9% | 14.6% | 20.8% |
| 3/4/2025 | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| 11/5/2024 | -15.2% | -15.2% | -15.1% |
| 8/6/2024 | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| 3/5/2024 | -3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 11/7/2023 | -8.6% | -9.0% | -18.0% |
| 8/8/2023 | 6.4% | -3.7% | -5.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 7.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% |
| Median Negative | -15.2% | -10.1% | -15.1% |
| Max Positive | 22.7% | 42.0% | 69.6% |
| Max Negative | -18.2% | -22.9% | -18.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Ashish Arora | Chief Executive Officer | 9252025 | Sell | 6.77 | 21,250 | 143,828 | 19,114,374 | Form |
| 1 | Ashish Arora | Chief Executive Officer | 9112025 | Sell | 6.16 | 21,250 | 130,864 | 17,784,006 | Form |
| 2 | Ashish Arora | Chief Executive Officer | 8272025 | Sell | 5.94 | 21,250 | 126,161 | 17,523,418 | Form |
| 3 | Harmer Ryan | Principal Accounting Officer | 8252025 | Sell | 6.00 | 3,580 | 21,462 | 1,857,515 | Form |
| 4 | Harmer Ryan | Principal Accounting Officer | 8192025 | Sell | 5.70 | 18,771 | 106,995 | 1,909,221 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |