Cricut (CRCT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.02 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Cricut (CRCT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.02Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 15% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRCT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for Cricut (CRCT) stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Cricut reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 4th and 5th, which, despite showing strong financial performance with a 2% increase in sales, a 114% rise in operating income, and doubled EPS year-on-year, led to a stock decline of 6.73% on November 4th. This indicates that while the company had positive financial results, investor concerns about future challenges overshadowed the good news.
2. Investor concerns were significantly influenced by anticipated margin pressures due to higher tariff costs expected in Q4 2025 and accelerating into 2026. These tariffs pose a challenge to consumer spending and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments by the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRCT Return | - | - | -58% | -20% | -5% | -1% | -69% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 35% | -21% | 43% | 18% | 50% | 241% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRCT Win Rate | - | 44% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 42% | 18% | 45% | 38% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRCT Max Drawdown | - | - | -72% | -20% | -30% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -4% | -25% | -3% | -5% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRCT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 593.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX
In The Past
Cricut's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 593.8% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Cricut Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cricut (CRCT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Cricut Stock Moved: CRCT Stock Has Lost 69% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Revenues | |||
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Cricut Stock with -19% Return (vs. 3.8% YTD) [7/15/2025] | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| CRCT Stock Down -19% after 7-Day Loss Streak | July 16th, 2025 | ||
| CRCT Stock Down -18% after 6-Day Loss Streak | July 15th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cricut
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 69.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 73.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9,097 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,915 |
| FCF LTM | 818 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 703 |
| CFO LTM | 1,083 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 981 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 73.1 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.0 |
| P/E | 25.7 |
| P/CFO | 23.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 157.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 90.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |