Tearsheet

Cricut (CRCT)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $4.63 | Market Cap: $982.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Cricut (CRCT)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $4.63
Market Cap: $982.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 20%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.53
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 20%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Creator Economy Monetization, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.53
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CRCT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Cricut (CRCT) stock from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025:

1. Analyst Downgrades and Negative Sentiment: The stock faced a negative outlook from analysts, notably with Goldman Sachs lowering its rating from "neutral" to "sell" and decreasing its price target in mid-October 2025. This contributed to a broader "Strong Sell" consensus among analysts, with an average price target forecasting a further decrease in the stock price.

2. Concerns Over Future Tariff Impacts: Management highlighted anticipated higher tariff costs that are expected to negatively impact margins, beginning in the fourth quarter of 2025 and accelerating into 2026. These tariffs pose a risk to future revenue streams and consumer discretionary spending.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CRCT Return---58%-20%-5%-6%-70%
Peers Return25%1%-29%114%4%-14%73%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRCT Win Rate-44%25%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate37%37%15%38%48%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRCT Max Drawdown---72%-20%-30%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-20%-32%-2%-16%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EBON, VELO, YIBO, AAPL, DELL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCRCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven593.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to EBON, VELO, YIBO, AAPL, DELL


In The Past

Cricut's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 593.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cricut (CRCT)

Better Bets than Cricut (CRCT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CRCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cricut

Financials

CRCTEBONVELOYIBOAAPLDELLMedian
NameCricut Ebang In.Velo3D Planet I.Apple Dell Tec. 
Mkt Price4.603.774.661.16272.41133.764.63
Mkt Cap1.0---4,059.790.790.7
Rev LTM714-44-408,625101,45151,083
Op Inc LTM96--64-130,2146,9133,504
FCF LTM200--18-96,1844,8602,530
FCF 3Y Avg241--73-100,5034,4962,368
CFO LTM221--18-108,5657,4773,849
CFO 3Y Avg263--69-111,5597,2153,739

Growth & Margins

CRCTEBONVELOYIBOAAPLDELLMedian
NameCricut Ebang In.Velo3D Planet I.Apple Dell Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.7%--4.3%-6.0%10.5%1.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.2%-11.9%-1.8%-1.3%0.3%
Rev Chg Q1.5%-31.2%-9.6%19.0%14.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%-8.0%-2.1%4.9%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM13.4%--147.1%-31.9%6.8%10.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.7%--174.7%-30.8%6.1%8.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%-32.5%-0.1%0.1%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM30.9%--40.6%-26.6%7.4%17.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.6%--106.9%-28.4%7.5%18.0%
FCF/Rev LTM28.0%--40.6%-23.5%4.8%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.7%--111.2%-25.6%4.7%15.2%

Valuation

CRCTEBONVELOYIBOAAPLDELLMedian
NameCricut Ebang In.Velo3D Planet I.Apple Dell Tec. 
Mkt Cap1.0---4,059.790.790.7
P/S1.4---9.90.91.4
P/EBIT8.9---31.212.112.1
P/E12.1---40.918.518.5
P/CFO4.4---37.412.112.1
Total Yield8.3%---2.8%6.9%6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%---0.4%1.5%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.0%---3.1%7.6%7.6%
D/E0.0---0.00.30.0
Net D/E-0.2---0.00.20.0

Returns

CRCTEBONVELOYIBOAAPLDELLMedian
NameCricut Ebang In.Velo3D Planet I.Apple Dell Tec. 
1M Rtn-16.5%-25.5%-29.5%-10.8%9.4%-13.0%-14.7%
3M Rtn-16.7%-7.8%-19.1%-7.2%17.7%-2.9%-7.5%
6M Rtn-17.2%-5.8%--30.1%29.2%18.0%-5.8%
12M Rtn2.4%-56.9%--68.6%19.9%1.3%1.3%
3Y Rtn-28.9%-56.6%--84.3%236.3%27.7%
1M Excs Rtn-13.3%-20.2%-21.1%-8.8%8.6%-13.2%-13.2%
3M Excs Rtn-21.7%-11.3%-25.4%-10.9%13.7%-7.2%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-30.2%-18.8%--43.1%16.2%5.0%-18.8%
12M Excs Rtn-17.5%-72.4%--82.1%9.5%-12.7%-17.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-110.4%-137.4%--25.4%182.4%-42.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,450,154
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-2.2%
Average Daily Volume514,912
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.53
Basic Shares Quantity212,257,907
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-5.2%-4.2% 
8/5/202516.9%14.6%20.8%
3/4/20254.2%4.0%2.1%
11/5/2024-15.2%-15.2%-15.1%
8/6/20247.9%4.3%1.0%
3/5/2024-3.3%1.4%0.6%
11/7/2023-8.6%-9.0%-18.0%
8/8/20236.4%-3.7%-5.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive889
# Negative776
Median Positive7.8%6.5%10.5%
Median Negative-15.2%-10.1%-15.1%
Max Positive22.7%42.0%69.6%
Max Negative-18.2%-22.9%-18.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022313202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ashish AroraChief Executive Officer9252025Sell6.7721,250143,82819,114,374Form
1Ashish AroraChief Executive Officer9112025Sell6.1621,250130,86417,784,006Form
2Ashish AroraChief Executive Officer8272025Sell5.9421,250126,16117,523,418Form
3Harmer RyanPrincipal Accounting Officer8252025Sell6.003,58021,4621,857,515Form
4Harmer RyanPrincipal Accounting Officer8192025Sell5.7018,771106,9951,909,221Form

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET