Cosmos Health (COSM)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $0.4945 | Market Cap: $14.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Distributors
Cosmos Health (COSM)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $0.4945Market Cap: $14.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, and Geriatric Care. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.5 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% | ||
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 124% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -132% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, and Geriatric Care. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.5 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 124% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.2%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -132% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COSM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the -37.2% stock movement for Cosmos Health (COSM) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Wider Net Loss in Q3 2025: Despite reporting record revenue and gross profit, Cosmos Health announced a significantly wider net loss of $5.35 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to a $2.18 million loss in the same period the previous year. This was primarily attributed to non-cash charges related to derivatives, convertible notes, and foreign currency transactions.
2. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss: Cosmos Health's Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.17 missed the consensus analyst estimate of -$0.01 by a notable margin of $0.16.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COSM Return | -12% | 0% | -91% | -69% | -53% | -26% | -99% |
| Peers Return | 96% | 32% | 16% | 15% | 2% | 18% | 318% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COSM Win Rate | 17% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 58% | 55% | 58% | 55% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COSM Max Drawdown | -27% | 0% | -96% | -78% | -66% | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -6% | -17% | -18% | -12% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COR, CAH, MCK, HSIC, OMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COSM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 8915.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 706 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -78.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 354.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to COR, CAH, MCK, HSIC, OMI
In The Past
Cosmos Health's stock fell -98.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/4/2022. A -98.9% loss requires a 8915.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Cosmos Health Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COSM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cosmos Health
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 136.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| Rev LTM | 117,758 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,543 |
| FCF LTM | 749 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,471 |
| CFO LTM | 1,139 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,823 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| P/S | 0.2 |
| P/EBIT | 14.0 |
| P/E | 22.1 |
| P/CFO | 14.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 46.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -24.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8182025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8192024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 8192024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 8052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11202023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5162023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4122023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8192022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |