Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.04 | Market Cap: $344.3 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.04Market Cap: $344.3 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Hotel & Resort REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | Key risksCLDT key risks include [1] a material debt load that consumes a substantial portion of operating income, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% |
| Key risksCLDT key risks include [1] a material debt load that consumes a substantial portion of operating income, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CLDT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT) stock movement of -6.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several factors:
1. Weakening Operating Performance and Revenue Miss.
Chatham Lodging Trust announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025. While the company met analyst consensus estimates for earnings per share (EPS) at $0.32, its revenue of $78.41 million fell short of analyst estimates of $79.68 million. Additionally, underlying trends showed weaker performance, with Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) declining by 2.5% year-over-year in the third quarter and 3% in October.
2. Impact of Government Shutdown and Economic Headwinds.
The company faced headwinds from a government shutdown that began on October 1, 2025, negatively impacting RevPAR by 40 basis points in Q3 and 170 basis points in October. This shutdown, alongside rising unemployment (4.6% in November 2025) and a deterioration in GDP growth, contributed to a challenging operating environment for hotel REITs, with an expected adjusted Funds From Operations (FFO) decline of about 9.7% for CLDT in 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CLDT Return | -40% | 27% | -10% | -10% | -14% | -17% | -56% |
| Peers Return | -23% | 16% | -16% | 18% | -6% | -7% | -23% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CLDT Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 50% | 43% | 53% | 40% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CLDT Max Drawdown | -79% | -3% | -28% | -25% | -27% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -71% | -6% | -24% | -11% | -19% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APLE, HST, PEB, DRH, RLJ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CLDT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -79.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 387.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to HST, SHO, INN, IHT, VICI
In The Past
Chatham Lodging Trust's stock fell -39.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -39.2% loss requires a 64.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Chatham Lodging Trust Earnings Notes | ||
| How Low Can Chatham Lodging Trust Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CLDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Chatham Lodging Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,385 |
| Op Inc LTM | 145 |
| FCF LTM | 270 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 265 |
| CFO LTM | 270 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 265 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 11.3 |
| P/E | 20.9 |
| P/CFO | 5.8 |
| Total Yield | 10.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -12.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -29.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 1.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| 8/6/2025 | 1.5% | 6.1% | 12.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | 1.9% | -0.2% | -8.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% |
| 8/2/2024 | -0.8% | -8.0% | -1.3% |
| 2/27/2024 | -2.5% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | 6.8% | 1.3% | 8.4% |
| 8/2/2023 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -2.8% | -5.8% |
| Max Positive | 8.7% | 23.7% | 57.5% |
| Max Negative | -13.7% | -26.6% | -61.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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