Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL)
Market Price (9/2/2026): $36.0 | Market Cap: $561.1 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL)
Market Price (9/2/2026): $36.0Market Cap: $561.1 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.2% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 90% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 2670% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1709% Key risksCDNL key risks include [1] strategic uncertainty following its failed IPO attempt and [2] fragile earnings visibility coupled with a recent decline in profitability. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 90% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 2670% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1709% |
| Key risksCDNL key risks include [1] strategic uncertainty following its failed IPO attempt and [2] fragile earnings visibility coupled with a recent decline in profitability. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Updated on 9/1/2026
Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL) stock has lost about 30% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q2 2026 Earnings Miss and Significant Margin Compression. Cardinal Infrastructure Group reported its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) results on August 11, 2026, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.26, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.46 to $0.48 per share. Despite a substantial 114% year-over-year revenue increase to $226.9 million, the company experienced severe margin compression. Gross profit margin fell to 10.8% from 13.9% in fiscal Q2 2025, and adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 12.4% from 18.6% in the prior year. This profitability shortfall was attributed to higher subcontracted labor and equipment rental costs, weather-related disruptions, and increased corporate investments, leading to an immediate stock drop of 28% to 36% on August 11, 2026.
2. Reduced Profitability Outlook Despite Raised Revenue Guidance. Concurrent with the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release, Cardinal Infrastructure Group raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $880-$900 million from a previous target of $680 million. However, this positive top-line revision was accompanied by a reduction in profitability expectations, with the company now targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16-18% for the full year, a decrease from earlier investor expectations of over 20%. This mixed guidance, indicating that higher revenue growth would come at the expense of profitability, contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Show more
Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL) stock has lost about 30% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q2 2026 Earnings Miss and Significant Margin Compression. Cardinal Infrastructure Group reported its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) results on August 11, 2026, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.26, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.46 to $0.48 per share. Despite a substantial 114% year-over-year revenue increase to $226.9 million, the company experienced severe margin compression. Gross profit margin fell to 10.8% from 13.9% in fiscal Q2 2025, and adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 12.4% from 18.6% in the prior year. This profitability shortfall was attributed to higher subcontracted labor and equipment rental costs, weather-related disruptions, and increased corporate investments, leading to an immediate stock drop of 28% to 36% on August 11, 2026.
2. Reduced Profitability Outlook Despite Raised Revenue Guidance. Concurrent with the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release, Cardinal Infrastructure Group raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $880-$900 million from a previous target of $680 million. However, this positive top-line revision was accompanied by a reduction in profitability expectations, with the company now targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16-18% for the full year, a decrease from earlier investor expectations of over 20%. This mixed guidance, indicating that higher revenue growth would come at the expense of profitability, contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Show more
Updated on 9/1/2026
Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL) stock has lost about 30% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q2 2026 Earnings Miss and Significant Margin Compression. Cardinal Infrastructure Group reported its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) results on August 11, 2026, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.26, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.46 to $0.48 per share. Despite a substantial 114% year-over-year revenue increase to $226.9 million, the company experienced severe margin compression. Gross profit margin fell to 10.8% from 13.9% in fiscal Q2 2025, and adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 12.4% from 18.6% in the prior year. This profitability shortfall was attributed to higher subcontracted labor and equipment rental costs, weather-related disruptions, and increased corporate investments, leading to an immediate stock drop of 28% to 36% on August 11, 2026.
2. Reduced Profitability Outlook Despite Raised Revenue Guidance. Concurrent with the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release, Cardinal Infrastructure Group raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $880-$900 million from a previous target of $680 million. However, this positive top-line revision was accompanied by a reduction in profitability expectations, with the company now targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16-18% for the full year, a decrease from earlier investor expectations of over 20%. This mixed guidance, indicating that higher revenue growth would come at the expense of profitability, contributed to negative investor sentiment.
3. Acquisition-Related Scalability Issues Leading to Securities Fraud Investigations. The reported margin compression and scalability challenges in fiscal Q2 2026 were explicitly linked, at least in part, to the performance of the A.L. Grading Contractors acquisition. This operational issue subsequently led to multiple law firms announcing investigations into Cardinal Infrastructure Group for potential securities fraud in late August and early September 2026, focusing on alleged misleading statements regarding the acquisition's performance. The initiation of these investigations has introduced legal and reputational risk, further pressuring the stock.
Show less
Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL) stock has lost about 30% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q2 2026 Earnings Miss and Significant Margin Compression. Cardinal Infrastructure Group reported its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) results on August 11, 2026, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.26, significantly missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.46 to $0.48 per share. Despite a substantial 114% year-over-year revenue increase to $226.9 million, the company experienced severe margin compression. Gross profit margin fell to 10.8% from 13.9% in fiscal Q2 2025, and adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 12.4% from 18.6% in the prior year. This profitability shortfall was attributed to higher subcontracted labor and equipment rental costs, weather-related disruptions, and increased corporate investments, leading to an immediate stock drop of 28% to 36% on August 11, 2026.
2. Reduced Profitability Outlook Despite Raised Revenue Guidance. Concurrent with the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release, Cardinal Infrastructure Group raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $880-$900 million from a previous target of $680 million. However, this positive top-line revision was accompanied by a reduction in profitability expectations, with the company now targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16-18% for the full year, a decrease from earlier investor expectations of over 20%. This mixed guidance, indicating that higher revenue growth would come at the expense of profitability, contributed to negative investor sentiment.
3. Acquisition-Related Scalability Issues Leading to Securities Fraud Investigations. The reported margin compression and scalability challenges in fiscal Q2 2026 were explicitly linked, at least in part, to the performance of the A.L. Grading Contractors acquisition. This operational issue subsequently led to multiple law firms announcing investigations into Cardinal Infrastructure Group for potential securities fraud in late August and early September 2026, focusing on alleged misleading statements regarding the acquisition's performance. The initiation of these investigations has introduced legal and reputational risk, further pressuring the stock.
Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.6% change in CDNL stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.89 | 36.01 | -30.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 663 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 31.0 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 16 | -15.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CDNL | -30.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.7% | 24.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | -0.2% | 27.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.8% change in CDNL stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.22 | 36.01 | 11.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 663 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 31.0 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 16 | -15.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CDNL | 11.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.4% | 32.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | -2.2% | 32.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CDNL | 2670.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.1% | 25.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.8% | 26.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CDNL | 2670.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.1% | 25.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 66.2% | 26.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CDNL Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1760% | 53% | 2745% |
| Peers Return | 34% | 5% | 62% | 85% | 54% | 14% | 641% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CDNL Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 55% | 65% | 63% | 65% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CDNL Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -22% | -63% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -33% | -30% | -17% | -36% | -44% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MTZ, PWR, PRIM, STRL, GVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/1/2026 (YTD)
About Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL)
N/A
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Government Affairs and Advocacy: Assisting clients with legislative and regulatory processes related to transportation infrastructure projects.
- Strategic Consulting: Providing expert advice and strategic guidance on infrastructure policy, funding, and project development.
- Project Development Support: Offering support and expertise in the planning, financing, and implementation of complex infrastructure projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jeremy Spivey Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Mr. Spivey founded Cardinal Civil Contracting in 2013 and has served as a partner and the Chief Executive Officer of Cardinal since that time. He possesses over 30 years of civil construction experience, specializing in all aspects of land development and complex civil projects. Mr. Spivey began his career as part of a utility crew and progressed through various core aspects of the business. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Construction Management with a Minor in Business Administration from East Carolina University.
Mike Rowe Partner, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Rowe has been a partner and the Chief Financial Officer of Cardinal Civil Contracting since July 2019. Prior to this, he was a partner and fractional Chief Financial Officer at Rankin McKenzie LLC, a firm providing part-time and interim CFO services to growth companies, from December 2017 to July 2019. From January 2014 to December 2017, he held the positions of Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Financial Officer of ING Source, Inc. Earlier, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Jones & Frank from April 2010 to June 2013, and as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Carolina Handling from March 2006 to April 2010. Mr. Rowe holds a bachelor's degree in accounting from North Carolina State University and is a CPA, CMA, CFA, and ABV certificate holder.
Erik West Chief Operating Officer of Cardinal NC
Mr. West serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Cardinal NC.
Tiffany Gidley General Counsel & Secretary
Ms. Gidley has been the General Counsel of Cardinal Civil Contracting since May 2024. Before joining Cardinal, she was Corporate Counsel at David Allen Company, Inc. from July 2015 to May 2024. She earned a Juris Doctor degree from Campbell University's Norman Adrian Wiggins School of Law and a bachelor's degree in applied psychology from North Carolina State University.
Jason Banks Director of Information Technology
Mr. Banks was appointed Director of Information Technology on February 26, 2026. He brings over 20 years of experience in enterprise systems, IT operations, and modernization initiatives. His previous roles include North America IT Director for Descours & Cabaud and an IT leadership position at Parker Hannifin.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Cardinal Infrastructure's business:
- Sensitivity to Macroeconomic Conditions and Interest Rate Changes: As a civil contracting company heavily involved in infrastructure services for residential, commercial, industrial, municipal, and state markets, Cardinal Infrastructure's performance is significantly tied to the broader economic environment. Changes in interest rates can impact housing production and overall construction demand, directly affecting the volume and profitability of their projects.
- Geographic Concentration: While the company has recently expanded its footprint into Georgia and South Carolina through acquisitions, a substantial portion of its operations and revenue has historically been concentrated in North Carolina and the broader Southeastern United States. This regional focus exposes Cardinal Infrastructure to disproportionate risks from adverse economic downturns, changes in state-level infrastructure spending, or significant natural disasters within this specific geographic area.
- Integration Risks from Acquisitions and High Debt Levels: Cardinal Infrastructure is pursuing growth through acquisitions, such as the recent acquisition of A.L. Grading Contractors. Acquisitions inherently carry integration risks, including potential delays, higher costs than expected, and challenges in retaining key employees. Furthermore, analysts have highlighted a high level of debt, which could limit the company's financial flexibility and ability to maneuver if market conditions change or acquired projects underperform.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html
```
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL)
Over the next 2-3 years, Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL) is expected to drive revenue growth through several key initiatives and market dynamics:
- Strategic Acquisitions and Market Expansion: The recent acquisition of A.L. Grading Contractors (ALGC) is a significant driver, expanding Cardinal Infrastructure's operational footprint into Georgia and South Carolina. This move signifies the company's first expansion outside its traditional Carolinas markets in the Southeast and is expected to be immediately accretive, strengthening its financial profile and driving growth through alignment with blue-chip customers.
- Organic Growth in High-Growth Southeastern Markets: Cardinal Infrastructure is well-positioned to continue its organic growth strategy within North Carolina, benefiting from strong secular population and job growth trends in key areas like Raleigh, Charlotte, and Greensboro. This regional economic expansion drives consistent demand for infrastructure projects, which the company aims to capture with its vertically integrated service model.
- Expansion into New Mission-Critical Project Types: Beyond its current focus, Cardinal Infrastructure sees potential for future growth by securing new mission-critical projects. These could include large-scale developments such as data centers or e-commerce fulfillment sites, diversifying its project portfolio and tapping into emerging infrastructure needs.
- Strong and Growing Project Backlog: The company reported a record backlog of approximately $678.3 million to $685.7 million for 2025, representing a significant increase of about 33% compared to 2024. This robust backlog reflects strong and durable demand across Cardinal's markets, providing a solid foundation for future revenue generation.
- Enhanced Service Offerings and Vertical Integration: The acquisition of ALGC is anticipated to enhance Cardinal Infrastructure's self-performed service capabilities through vertical integration. This allows for the provision of more comprehensive infrastructure solutions, potentially leading to faster project execution and improved margins, as the company can reduce reliance on external outsourcing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on December 10, 2025, by offering 11,500,000 shares of Class A Common Stock at an initial price of $21.00 per share.
- This IPO generated approximately $277.7 million in gross proceeds, providing significant capital for future growth initiatives.
- The number of outstanding shares was 13,218,750 at the end of 2024, and approximately 36.61 million as of March 2, 2026.
Inbound Investments
- As of June 30, 2025, Cardinal Infrastructure had received $78.6 million in fair market value investment through notes payable from investors.
Outbound Investments
- Cardinal Infrastructure's growth strategy includes selectively acquiring small to mid-sized firms.
- The company made several acquisitions, including Purcell Construction, Inc. in January 2025, Page & Associates, Inc. in May 2025, and Red Clay Industries, Inc. in October 2025.
- Cardinal Infrastructure acquired A.L. Grading Contractors for $245.5 million on February 18, 2026, expanding its operational footprint into Georgia and South Carolina.
Capital Expenditures
- Annual capital expenditures were $12.268 million in 2023 and $20.755 million in 2024.
- Trailing twelve months (TTM) capital expenditures were $33.737 million as of March 11, 2026.
- Maintenance capital expenditures, focused on preserving operating capacity, safety, and regulatory compliance, amounted to $2.5 million in 2023 and $4.0 million in 2024.
Peer Outperformance in Construction & Engineering
CDNL has outperformed 100% of its 30 Construction & Engineering peers over 5Y. Construction & Engineering ranks 1st of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Construction & Engineering constituents that CDNL has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
100%
of 34 industry peers · 2670.0% return
3Y
100%
of 32 industry peers · 2670.0% return
5Y
100%
of 30 industry peers · 2670.0% return
No Construction & Engineering peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten CDNL by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Construction & Engineering is CDNL's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering ← | 31 | 10.0% | 101.1% | 182.9% | CDNL 2670% · FIX 1977% · STRL 1844% |
| Marine Transportation | 4 | 59.7% | 55.5% | 148.9% | MATX 183% · KEX 160% · SFL 138% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 7.6% | 52.3% | 109.0% | CAT 301% · ALSN 242% · WAB 218% |
| Aerospace & Defense | 55 | -0.5% | 56.8% | 73.8% | ATI 1015% · FTAI 845% · HWM 711% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -11.1% | 35.9% | 55.9% | UBER 82% · CAR 56% · LYFT -66% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 27.6% | 65.8% | 45.8% | FSTR 119% · CSX 60% · UNP 50% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 71 | 7.3% | 40.2% | 40.4% | CRS 1386% · PSIX 820% · GHM 572% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 33.4% | -2.7% | 30.0% | XPO 244% · R 241% · CVLG 194% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 0.3% | 27.6% | 29.6% | DXPE 517% · AIT 277% · WCC 194% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 11.2% | 28.6% | 24.5% | LIME 4550% · TH 345% · WLFC 343% |
| Building Products | 33 | -11.8% | 1.5% | 15.7% | LMB 492% · GFF 366% · PPIH 282% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 41 | 13.1% | 43.2% | 13.8% | POWL 2084% · BE 870% · ELVA 820% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -8.9% | -18.6% | -2.4% | HURN 217% · CRAI 91% · GRNQ 75% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 4.1% | 8.7% | -6.7% | RCMT 708% · CSW 133% · CSL 69% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 29 | -10.6% | 16.3% | -12.0% | CECO 828% · ADUR 546% · NVRI 331% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | 9.5% | -6.2% | -16.5% | BLBD 189% · DE 88% · GENC 60% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -30.6% | -11.9% | -26.0% | EXLS 52% · BR 15% · G -23% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 9 | 11.2% | 19.3% | -29.3% | PBI 178% · TILE 158% · HNI 49% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | -1.7% | -7.2% | -29.7% | LTM 2259% · UAL 124% · SKYW 101% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 21 | 5.7% | -23.4% | -39.8% | BBSI 84% · ADP 53% · KFY 29% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -12.3% | -27.5% | -39.9% | CHRW 83% · FDX 67% · EXPD 60% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 10 | -33.4% | 5.9% | -45.3% | CIX 119% · MG 82% · BCO 47% |
| Airport Services | 3 | -68.9% | -76.1% | -60.3% | JOBY -44% · ASLE -60% · UP -100% |
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Cardinal Infrastructure Stock 5-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 17% | 04/03/2026 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 177.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.6 |
| Rev LTM | 6,126 |
| Op Inc LTM | 459 |
| FCF LTM | 358 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 436 |
| CFO LTM | 590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 521 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 24.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 35.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 42.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 54.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Price Behavior
null
CDNL Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.80 | 2.61 | 2.17 | 2.40 | 7.62 | 1.76 |
| Up Beta | 2.60 | 4.91 | 2.89 | 2.37 | 3.98 | 0.46 |
| Down Beta | -10.57 | -5.29 | -1.29 | -0.91 | -0.47 | -0.14 |
| Up Capture | -80% | 42% | 317% | 636% | 8032% | 759% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 16 | 31 | 63 | 90 | 90 |
| Down Capture | 1010% | 622% | 330% | 249% | 151% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 26 | 33 | 64 | 91 | 91 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CDNL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNL | 53.5% | 99.9% | 1.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.9% | 17.1% | 0.64 | 26.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.10 | 25.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.8% | 29.2% | 0.76 | 14.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 44.0% | 20.4% | 1.67 | -6.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 8.5% | 13.7% | 0.35 | 6.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.6% | 43.5% | -0.62 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CDNL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNL | 8.9% | 99.9% | 1.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.3% | 17.6% | 0.54 | 26.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.2% | 0.56 | 25.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.7% | 18.7% | 0.81 | 14.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.5% | 0.44 | -6.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.0% | 18.9% | -0.00 | 6.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.5% | 52.6% | 0.38 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CDNL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNL | 4.4% | 99.9% | 1.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.3% | 20.0% | 0.58 | 26.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 25.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.3% | 0.60 | 14.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 18.1% | 0.35 | -6.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 6.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.2% | 66.1% | 1.03 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/12/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 880.00 Mil | 890.00 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 30.9% | Raised | Guidance: 680.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | Reported | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | -3.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 20.0% for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 675.00 Mil | 680.00 Mil | 685.00 Mil | 1.3% | Raised | Guidance: 671.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin | Reported | 20.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.0% for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 8/18/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimmer, Richard Bennett | Direct | Buy | 8182026 | 39.13 | 7,500 | 293,475 | 1,148,426 | Form | |
| 2 | Lee, Richard Melvin JR | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 36.82 | 34,000 | 1,252,040 | 2,513,433 | Form | |
| 3 | Rowe, Michael Bruce JR | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 36.53 | 7,000 | 255,710 | 255,710 | Form |
| 4 | Wood, Anthony Leon JR | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 39.36 | 51,400 | 2,023,079 | 2,023,079 | Form | |
| 5 | Spivey, Jeremy Simmons | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 38.41 | 83,350 | 3,201,428 | 3,201,428 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimmer, Richard Bennett | Direct | Buy | 8182026 | 39.13 | 7,500 | 293,475 | 1,148,426 | Form | |
| 2 | Lee, Richard Melvin JR | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 36.82 | 34,000 | 1,252,040 | 2,513,433 | Form | |
| 3 | Rowe, Michael Bruce JR | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 36.53 | 7,000 | 255,710 | 255,710 | Form |
| 4 | Wood, Anthony Leon JR | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 39.36 | 51,400 | 2,023,079 | 2,023,079 | Form | |
| 5 | Spivey, Jeremy Simmons | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 38.41 | 83,350 | 3,201,428 | 3,201,428 | Form |
| 6 | Zelman, Ivy | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 39.61 | 12,647 | 500,948 | 1,302,813 | Form | |
| 7 | Wood, Benjamin | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Buy | 8172026 | 39.48 | 25,700 | 1,014,594 | 1,804,162 | Form |
| 8 | Wood, Benjamin | CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER | Direct | Buy | 5292026 | 51.30 | 20,000 | 1,025,900 | 1,025,900 | Form |
| 9 | Zelman, Ivy | Direct | Buy | 3272026 | 36.33 | 6,921 | 251,440 | 556,794 | Form | |
| 10 | Wimmer, Richard Bennett | Direct | Buy | 12112025 | 21.00 | 10,000 | 210,000 | 351,225 | Form | |
| 11 | Lee, Richard Melvin JR | Direct | Buy | 12112025 | 21.00 | 22,725 | 477,225 | 613,452 | Form | |
| 12 | Zelman, Ivy | Direct | Buy | 12112025 | 21.00 | 2,275 | 47,775 | 176,505 | Form | |
| 13 | Gidley, Tiffany Leann | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Buy | 12112025 | 21.00 | 6,000 | 126,000 | 126,000 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Sep 2, 202613F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)
Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Construction & Engineering Resources |
| Engineering News-Record (ENR) |
| Construction Dive |
| Civil Engineering Magazine |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/1/2026