CeriBell (CBLL)
Market Price (1/21/2026): $21.455 | Market Cap: $789.7 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
CeriBell (CBLL)
Market Price (1/21/2026): $21.455Market Cap: $789.7 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -57 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | ||
| Key risksCBLL key risks include [1] a history of significant net losses with an unclear timeline to profitability, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -57 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Key risksCBLL key risks include [1] a history of significant net losses with an unclear timeline to profitability, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. CeriBell Exceeded Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations and Raised Full-Year Guidance.
CeriBell announced strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, reporting total revenue of $22.6 million, which represents a 31% year-over-year increase and marks the company's 30th consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth. The company also surpassed analyst consensus estimates for both earnings per share and revenue. Furthermore, CeriBell raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $87 million to $89 million, indicating an anticipated annual growth of 33% to 36% over 2024.
2. FDA Clearance for Clarity® Algorithm for Neonates Broadened Market Reach.
On November 24, 2025, CeriBell received 510(k) clearance from the FDA for its advanced Clarity® algorithm, enabling the detection of electrographic seizures in newborns, including pre-term infants. This significant regulatory approval positions the Ceribell System as the sole AI-powered point-of-care EEG technology capable of detecting seizures across all age groups, from pre-term neonates to adults. This expansion is expected to drive growth in 2026 by allowing adoption in NICUs and children's hospitals.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 88.2% change in CBLL stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 78.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 10312025 | 1202026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.40 | 21.45 | 88.16% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 77.42 | 82.81 | 6.97% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.34 | 9.53 | 78.39% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36.29 | 36.81 | -1.41% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 88.12% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBLL | 88.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -0.7% | 30.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.7% | 39.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 49.0% change in CBLL stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 7312025 | 1202026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.40 | 21.45 | 48.96% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 82.81 | � |
| P/S Multiple | � | 9.53 | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34.02 | 36.81 | -8.20% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBLL | 49.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.5% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 19.7% | 39.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.8% change in CBLL stock from 1/31/2025 to 1/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -57.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 1312025 | 1202026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.01 | 21.45 | -6.78% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 82.81 | � |
| P/S Multiple | � | 9.53 | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 23.32 | 36.81 | -57.81% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBLL | -6.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.6% | 40.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.2% | 41.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CBLL | ||
| Market (SPY) | 72.9% | 38.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.0% | 39.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CBLL Return | - | - | - | 4% | -15% | 0% | -12% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CBLL Win Rate | - | - | - | 67% | 42% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CBLL Max Drawdown | - | - | - | 0% | -58% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CBLL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Abbott Laboratories for rapid brain injury diagnostics
Dexcom for concussion diagnosis
AI Analysis | Feedback
- CBL-514: An investigational small molecule drug candidate being developed for the treatment of various neurological disorders, including Multiple Sclerosis and Alzheimer's disease.
- Neurological Therapeutic Discovery: Early-stage research and development efforts focused on identifying and advancing novel drug candidates for a broad spectrum of acute and chronic neurological conditions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
CeriBell (CBLL) primarily sells its neurodiagnostic device systems to other companies in the healthcare sector. Its primary customers are healthcare facilities, specifically:
- Hospitals
- Emergency Departments
- Intensive Care Units
As of its latest annual report (10-K filing for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023), CeriBell does not identify any single customer as accounting for 10% or more of its total revenue. Therefore, no specific customer names or public company symbols are disclosed as major customers in its public filings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Flex Ltd. (NASDAQ: FLEX)
- Natus Medical Incorporated (NYSE: NTUS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jane Chao, CEO and Co-founder
Jane Chao is the co-founder and CEO of Ceribell, a position she has held full-time since 2015. Prior to Ceribell, she was the Principal Manager of Portfolio Management Strategy at Genentech, a Senior Strategy Manager at Novartis, and a management consultant with McKinsey & Company.
Scott Blumberg, CFO
Scott Blumberg, Ceribell's CFO, has over 15 years of healthcare finance experience, primarily in the medical device sector. He founded Venture Forward Advisory Services, a financial and strategic consulting agency, where he acted as a Managing Advisor and outsourced CFO for more than 20 venture-backed startups and emerging growth companies. Previously, he was the Director of Business Development for IDEV Technologies, a venture-backed medical device company, where he managed the M&A process that resulted in its sale to Abbott for $310 million. Blumberg also served as an investment professional at Bay City Capital, a life sciences venture capital firm.
Raymond Woo, CTO
Raymond Woo joined Ceribell in 2016 to lead product research and development. Before Ceribell, he was the Global Head of Femtosecond Laser R&D at Abbott Medical Optics (now part of J&J Vision). He played a key role in developing the Catalys laser cataract surgery system at Optimedica, which was subsequently acquired by Abbott Medical Optics.
Dan Rogy, VP of Operations
Dan Rogy has over 25 years of experience in medical equipment and disposable device operations and R&D management. He led the R&D and Operations Teams at Outset Medical to commercialize a novel Hemodialysis system. Rogy also served as General Manager at Abbott Laboratories following its acquisition of OptiMedica, and was previously Director of R&D at Adiana, which was acquired by Cytyc Corporation.
David Stoffel, Chief Business Officer
David Stoffel, Ceribell's Chief Business Officer, has over 20 years of experience in the medical device industry. Prior to Ceribell, he was responsible for leading the Mobile Cardiac Telemetry (MCT) business at iRhythm Technologies. He previously headed the Marketing and Business Development functions at Intuitive Surgical, where he contributed to the development of the Da Vinci robotic system. Stoffel was also a partner at Radius Ventures, a healthcare venture capital firm.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to CeriBell's business:- Profitability Timeline and History of Net Losses: CeriBell has a limited operating history and has consistently reported net losses, including a net loss of $13.6 million in Q2 2025 and $40.5 million for the full year 2024. While the company is experiencing significant revenue growth (38% year-over-year in Q2 2025), operating expenses are also increasing due to investments in its commercial organization, increased headcount, and costs associated with being a public company. This raises questions about when the company will achieve breakeven and sustained profitability.
- Competitive Pressures and Intellectual Property Challenges: CeriBell operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving industry. Competitors such as Natus Medical may challenge CeriBell's intellectual property (IP) or develop alternative solutions. The risk exists that CeriBell's proprietary database and AI features may not be sufficiently differentiated, making them susceptible to replication by larger competitors. The company has engaged in strategic litigation against Natus Medical over alleged patent infringement, the outcomes of which pose a risk.
- Regulatory Uncertainty, Market Acceptance, and Reimbursement: The company's delirium detection algorithms and other products require FDA clearance, and delays in obtaining such clearances could significantly impact market entry. Furthermore, CeriBell's ability to achieve substantial market acceptance and widespread adoption of its products is crucial for its success. Obtaining and maintaining adequate coverage and reimbursement levels for its products is also a significant factor that could affect its financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
CeriBell Inc. (CBLL) primarily offers the CeriBell System, a point-of-care electroencephalography (EEG) platform designed for the rapid diagnosis and continuous monitoring of patients with serious neurological conditions. This system includes proprietary, portable, and rapidly deployable hardware, disposable headbands, pocket-sized battery-operated recorders, and AI-powered algorithms such as Clarity for seizure detection. The company also provides a cloud-based secured portal for real-time remote access to EEG data.
The estimated addressable market for CeriBell's main products and services is approximately $2 billion. This market size specifically pertains to the United States.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for CeriBell (CBLL) over the next 2-3 years:- Expansion in Active Accounts and Hospital Penetration: CeriBell is focused on acquiring new accounts and increasing its penetration within existing hospital customers. The company reported 615 active accounts as of September 30, 2025, marking its largest sequential rise since becoming a public company. Management has also highlighted ongoing expansion within the VA system as a new growth engine.
- Growth in Pediatric and Neonatal Markets: The company has received 510(k) clearance for its Clarity algorithm in the pediatric population, positioning it as the only seizure detection algorithm cleared for patients aged 1 year and older. This expansion into the pediatric and neonatal segment is estimated to add approximately $400 million to CeriBell's core market opportunity.
- Recurring Revenue from Disposable Headbands and AI Platform Subscriptions: CeriBell's business model is built on recurring revenue generated from the sale of disposable headbands and subscriptions to its Clarity AI platform. Both product and subscription revenues have demonstrated strong year-over-year increases, indicating continued adoption and utilization of the Ceribell System.
- Investment in Product Development and New Market Expansion: CeriBell continues to invest in product development and clinical evidence generation to sustain growth. The company plans to expand its offerings into new areas such as delirium and stroke detection markets, further broadening its addressable market beyond its current focus on seizure management in acute care settings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- CeriBell, Inc. completed its initial public offering (IPO) on October 15, 2024, issuing 12,196,969 shares of common stock at $17.00 per share, which generated approximately $207.3 million in gross proceeds.
- As of September 30, 2025, the number of issued and outstanding shares of common stock increased to 37,048,397, up from 35,850,606 as of December 31, 2024.
- On November 4, 2025, CeriBell filed a universal shelf registration to offer up to $300,000,000 of various securities, including common stock, though the company stated no immediate intention to pursue a financing transaction at that time.
Inbound Investments
- The company received approximately $207.3 million in gross proceeds from its initial public offering, which closed on October 15, 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Proceeds from the October 2024 IPO were intended, in part, to fund capital expenditures, alongside sales and marketing efforts, and research and product development.
- Operating expenses for the full year 2024 increased by 41% to $96.5 million, with a primary factor being investments in the company's commercial organization and increased headcount to support business growth.
- Third-quarter 2025 operating expenses rose to $34.6 million, an increase of 39% compared to the same period in 2024, attributed to investments in the commercial organization, increased headcount, and costs associated with operating as a public company.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can CeriBell Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | |
| CeriBell (CBLL) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| CeriBell (CBLL) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| CeriBell (CBLL) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| CeriBell (CBLL) Revenue Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CeriBell
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| Rev LTM | 464 |
| Op Inc LTM | -33 |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -15 |
| CFO LTM | 19 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -12 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 22.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $21.45 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/11/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $18.84 | $23.34 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 13.9% | -8.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 56.1% | 77.6% |
| Downside Capture | -11.71 | 150.10 |
| Upside Capture | 256.72 | 131.86 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.4% | 40.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.53 | 1.52 | 1.36 | 1.59 | 1.63 | 0.13 |
| Up Beta | -10.62 | -0.43 | -0.29 | 0.68 | 1.48 | -0.79 |
| Down Beta | 1.95 | 2.80 | 3.90 | 2.58 | 2.21 | -0.45 |
| Up Capture | 283% | 578% | 281% | 161% | 135% | 21% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 26 | 38 | 65 | 120 | 144 |
| Down Capture | -314% | -97% | -106% | 133% | 130% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 15 | 25 | 60 | 129 | 159 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullReturns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 7.9% | 14.7% | 80.6% |
| 8/5/2025 | -15.3% | -22.4% | -18.2% |
| 5/8/2025 | -6.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% |
| 2/25/2025 | -1.3% | -7.0% | -23.4% |
| 11/12/2024 | -3.4% | -11.4% | 1.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -11.4% | -20.8% |
| Max Positive | 7.9% | 14.7% | 80.6% |
| Max Negative | -15.3% | -22.4% | -23.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 10/11/2024 | 424B4 (06/30/2024) |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woo, Raymond | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 21.18 | 11,112 | 235,382 | 3,544,220 | Form |
| 2 | Robertson, Rebecca B | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 21.89 | 2,500 | 54,725 | 428,519 | Form | |
| 3 | Blumberg, Scott | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12292025 | 21.00 | 36,000 | 756,000 | 2,495,682 | Form |
| 4 | Parvizi, Josef | Josef Parvizi Trust | Sell | 12172025 | 21.49 | 25,000 | 537,250 | 16,604,291 | Form | |
| 5 | Burke, William W | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 22.02 | 32,728 | 720,671 | 382,950 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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