Tearsheet

CeriBell (CBLL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.01 | Market Cap: $662.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

CeriBell (CBLL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.01
Market Cap: $662.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -57 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
 
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -35%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Personalized Diagnostics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -57 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -68%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CBLL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the stock movement of CeriBell (CBLL) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Raised Revenue Guidance and Strong Q3 Performance. CeriBell reported a 31% year-over-year increase in total revenue for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $22.6 million. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $87 million to $89 million, projecting growth of approximately 33% to 36% over the previous year, building on an earlier revenue projection boost in August 2025.

2. Consistent Positive Analyst Ratings. Throughout the period, multiple financial analysts maintained a consensus "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" rating for CeriBell.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CBLL Return------35%-35%
Peers Return52%3%-11%-6%-18%41%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CBLL Win Rate----50%30% 
Peers Win Rate50%42%40%35%31%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CBLL Max Drawdown------58% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-15%-31%-31%-27%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CBLL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1100 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CeriBell (CBLL)

Better Bets than CeriBell (CBLL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CBLL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CeriBell

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CBLLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameCeriBell Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Price18.00149.2621.231.99-102.7621.23
Mkt Cap0.742.43.20.4--1.9
Rev LTM836,788728199--464
Op Inc LTM-571,444-74-9---33
FCF LTM-411,088-30---2
FCF 3Y Avg-1,308-112-15---15
CFO LTM-401,495354--19
CFO 3Y Avg-1,662-36-12---12

Growth & Margins

CBLLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameCeriBell Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Rev Chg LTM37.9%4.5%27.1%13.0%--20.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.8%31.8%8.3%--8.3%
Rev Chg Q31.4%10.1%30.4%14.5%--22.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.0%2.4%6.7%3.5%--5.1%
Op Mgn LTM-68.5%21.3%-10.1%-4.8%---7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21.5%-21.8%-11.9%---11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%-0.1%3.8%1.3%--0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-48.3%22.0%4.8%1.8%--3.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-24.6%-7.6%-7.5%---7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-49.5%16.0%-0.5%0.1%---0.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.4%-21.7%-9.7%---9.7%

Valuation

CBLLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameCeriBell Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
Mkt Cap0.742.43.20.4--1.9
P/S5.14.93.01.5--4.0
P/EBIT-8.422.2-19.2-42.1---13.8
P/E-8.127.5-14.2-19.1---11.1
P/CFO-10.622.462.885.5--42.6
Total Yield-12.4%4.5%-7.0%-5.2%---6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.7%-11.2%-5.1%---5.1%
D/E0.10.10.30.3--0.2
Net D/E-0.30.10.20.1--0.1

Returns

CBLLAATECCERSAVRTBLLNMedian
NameCeriBell Agilent .Alphatec Cerus Avertix .BillionT. 
1M Rtn58.7%3.2%10.1%30.9%--20.5%
3M Rtn55.0%19.4%33.5%51.9%--42.7%
6M Rtn5.0%30.4%72.9%38.2%--34.3%
12M Rtn-38.9%8.0%112.3%12.4%--10.2%
3Y Rtn--2.0%106.7%-52.0%---2.0%
1M Excs Rtn58.8%3.2%10.1%31.0%--20.5%
3M Excs Rtn40.6%11.1%22.9%44.3%--31.8%
6M Excs Rtn-9.7%15.7%58.2%23.5%--19.6%
12M Excs Rtn-51.0%-4.5%89.0%-6.0%---5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn--72.6%50.7%-119.0%---72.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,515,881
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.7%
Average Daily Volume339,646
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.46
Basic Shares Quantity36,806,918
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
1231202310112024424B4 12/31/2023