Cable One (CABO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $121.41 | Market Cap: $685.1 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Cable & Satellite
Cable One (CABO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $121.41Market Cap: $685.1 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Cable & Satellite
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 312% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46% | |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Wireless Services. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, and Wireless Services. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 312% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CABO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Financial Results: Cable One reported third-quarter 2025 revenues of $376 million, missing analyst estimates by falling 4.5% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a 5.5% year-over-year decline to $201.9 million. This revenue shortfall, despite a GAAP earnings per share (EPS) beat, significantly contributed to the stock's decline, with a 24.57% month-to-date drop observed post-earnings release.
2. Persistent Residential Subscriber Losses: The company continued to experience a decline in its residential customer base, with residential data subscribers decreasing by 149,100 year-on-year in Q3 2025. Residential video revenues also saw a substantial 16.2% year-over-year reduction, primarily due to ongoing subscriber attrition. Management acknowledged higher-than-expected churn among residential data customers.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CABO Return | 50% | -20% | -59% | -20% | -33% | -66% | -91% |
| Peers Return | 3% | 4% | -29% | -4% | 45% | 6% | 11% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CABO Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 17% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 52% | 37% | 55% | 55% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CABO Max Drawdown | -22% | -27% | -65% | -26% | -42% | -72% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -9% | -39% | -25% | -19% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: T, VZ, CHTR, LUMN, CMCSA. See CABO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CABO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 328.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 120 days |
Compare to T, VZ, CHTR, LUMN, CMCSA
In The Past
Cable One's stock fell -76.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -76.7% loss requires a 328.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Cable One Stock with 26% Return (vs. -55% YTD) [8/19/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Cable One Stock with 33% Return (vs. -56% YTD) [7/23/2025] | Notification | ||
| CABO Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Cable One Earnings Notes | |||
| Cable One Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -24.8% in 2024 and -35.5% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Cable One (CABO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cable One (CABO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cable One (CABO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cable One (CABO) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cable One vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| CABO Stock Up 26% after 6-Day Win Streak | August 20th, 2025 | ||
| CABO Stock Up 33% after 5-Day Win Streak | July 24th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CABO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -32.5% | -32.5% | -43.7% |
| 12312024 | CABO | Cable One | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -60.6% | -66.4% | -72.0% |
| 07312022 | CABO | Cable One | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -41.6% | -46.6% | -54.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -32.5% | -32.5% | -43.7% |
| 12312024 | CABO | Cable One | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -60.6% | -66.4% | -72.0% |
| 07312022 | CABO | Cable One | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -41.6% | -46.6% | -54.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cable One
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 64.8 |
| Rev LTM | 89,703 |
| Op Inc LTM | 18,018 |
| FCF LTM | 10,446 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,567 |
| CFO LTM | 23,206 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 21,559 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 64.8 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 3.3 |
| P/E | 6.2 |
| P/CFO | 3.1 |
| Total Yield | 12.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| D/E | 1.7 |
| Net D/E | 1.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -25.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |