BTQ Technologies (BTQ)
Market Price (1/24/2026): $4.68 | Market Cap: $645.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
BTQ Technologies (BTQ)
Market Price (1/24/2026): $4.68Market Cap: $645.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2463% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, and Quantum Security. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1,133x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1033% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1515%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1515% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 163% | ||
| Key risksBTQ key risks include [1] a significant overvaluation based on a speculative business model with very limited revenue, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Blockchain Enterprise Solutions, and Quantum Security. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2463% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1,133x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1033% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1515%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1515% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 163% |
| Key risksBTQ key risks include [1] a significant overvaluation based on a speculative business model with very limited revenue, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Negative Market Reaction to Year-End Shareholder Letter: BTQ Technologies' stock fell 9% on December 29, 2025, following the release of its CEO's year-end letter to shareholders. Despite highlighting strategic progress and achievements, the market's immediate negative reaction suggests that the letter either did not meet investor expectations for tangible commercialization milestones or failed to provide a sufficiently optimistic outlook for near-term profitability.
2. Continued Net Losses and Significant Share-Based Compensation: The company's interim financial report for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, released on November 17, 2025, revealed ongoing net losses. A notable contributing factor was significant share-based compensation totaling $4,505,665, which can raise concerns among investors regarding dilution and the path to profitability, even with a strong cash position.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -32.8% change in BTQ stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 1232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.92 | 4.65 | -32.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | -36.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 1,028.3 | 1,133.3 | 10.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 132 | 138 | -3.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -32.8% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 1/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTQ | -32.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.5% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 3.0% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 1/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTQ | ||
| Market (SPY) | 11.9% | 28.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 14.7% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/31/2024 to 1/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTQ | ||
| Market (SPY) | 18.6% | 28.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 25.4% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/31/2022 to 1/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BTQ | ||
| Market (SPY) | 86.9% | 28.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 137.9% | 25.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BTQ Return | - | - | - | - | -18% | -4% | -22% |
| Peers Return | 83% | -78% | 54% | 1063% | 56% | 11% | 1137% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BTQ Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 32% | 48% | 52% | 48% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BTQ Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -18% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -79% | -44% | -38% | -61% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IONQ, RGTI, QBTS, QUBT, ONE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/23/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BTQ has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,183 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to IONQ, RGTI, QBTS, QUBT, ONE
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for BTQ Technologies:
- Palo Alto Networks for the quantum era
- RSA Security for the post-quantum world
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) Solutions: Developing and implementing cryptographic algorithms and protocols designed to secure data against attacks from future quantum computers.
- Quantum-Safe Migration Services: Assisting businesses and governments in transitioning their existing IT infrastructure and data protection systems to quantum-safe standards.
- Quantum Security Consulting: Offering expert advice and strategic guidance on identifying quantum security risks and formulating robust defense strategies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
BTQ Technologies (symbol: BTQ)
BTQ Technologies operates primarily as a business-to-business (B2B) company, specializing in the development and provision of post-quantum cryptography (PQC) solutions. These solutions are designed to protect data and communications from potential threats posed by future quantum computers. Due to the specialized and often sensitive nature of their technology and client engagements, BTQ Technologies does not publicly disclose the names of its specific major customers.
However, based on their stated market focus and the inherent demand for quantum-safe security, BTQ Technologies targets a range of industries and organizations that require robust, future-proof cryptographic protection. These target customer categories include:
- Governments and Defense Entities: This includes national security agencies, governmental organizations, and defense contractors who need to protect critical infrastructure, classified information, and secure communication channels from advanced and anticipated cyber threats, including those from quantum computing.
- Financial Services Institutions: Banks, investment firms, insurance companies, and other financial entities that must secure sensitive financial transactions, vast amounts of customer data, and proprietary intellectual property against long-term data breaches and compliance mandates.
- Critical Infrastructure and Telecommunications Providers: Companies managing essential services (e.g., energy grids, utilities, transportation systems) and telecommunication network operators who need to ensure the long-term security, integrity, and resilience of their operational technology (OT) and information technology (IT) systems against quantum threats.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Olivier Roussy Newton, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Olivier Roussy Newton was appointed CEO in February 2023. He has been working on BTQ Technologies for approximately 13 years with his younger brother, Nicolas Roussy Newton, focusing on post-quantum cryptography. He directly owns 30.45% of the company's shares. Olivier has stated that in his "last two blockchain-related companies," he generated over a billion and a half dollars in revenue, indicating prior experience in managing and potentially founding other successful companies. He emphasizes his preference for running profitable companies.
Lonny Wong, Chief Financial Officer
Lonny Wong was appointed as CFO in May 2023. He is a Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA, CA) with over 25 years of public practice experience. Lonny is a partner at Saturna Group Chartered Professional Accountants LLP, a firm he co-founded in 2008, which provides auditing, assurance, financial reporting, and consulting services to public companies. He has extensive experience with public companies, including initial public offerings and related regulatory filings. Prior to co-founding Saturna Group, he worked at an independent mid-sized firm in Vancouver, BC.
Nicolas Roussy Newton, Chief Operating Officer
Nicolas Roussy Newton serves as the Chief Operating Officer. He has been involved with BTQ Technologies for approximately 13 years, working alongside his older brother, CEO Olivier Roussy Newton, on the company's focus in post-quantum cryptography.
Gavin Brennen, Chief Quantum Officer
Gavin Brennen holds the title of Chief Quantum Officer at BTQ Technologies.
Jeff Choi, Chief Strategy Officer
Jeff Choi is the Chief Strategy Officer for BTQ Technologies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to BTQ Technologies' business are:
- Highly Speculative Business Model, Limited Revenue, and Overvaluation: BTQ Technologies operates in the nascent post-quantum cryptography market with a business model considered highly speculative. The company generates very limited current revenue (under $1 million annually) and is unprofitable, yet it carries a high market valuation and a high price-to-sales ratio, suggesting it is significantly overvalued in the current market climate. This valuation relies heavily on uncertain future market adoption and potential, rather than established financial performance.
- Intense Competition and Risk of Technological Obsolescence: Operating in a rapidly evolving quantum security sector, BTQ faces significant competition from established technology giants such as IBM, Google, and Microsoft, who are investing heavily in quantum research, as well as other specialized quantum companies. This competitive landscape poses a constant risk of the company being technologically out-innovated or its solutions becoming obsolete.
- Financial Challenges and Shareholder Dilution: BTQ experiences ongoing financial challenges, characterized by a high cash burn rate and a history of negative working capital. Although recent funding has provided temporary relief, the company's continuous need to finance its operations and research and development efforts increases the likelihood of future equity raises, which could lead to significant dilution for existing shareholders.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Emerging Threat: Advancements in Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) Technology
BTQ Technologies specializes in post-quantum cryptography (PQC), focusing on developing new mathematical algorithms to secure data against future attacks by quantum computers. An emerging threat to BTQ's core business comes from significant advancements in Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) technology.
QKD offers an alternative, physics-based method for establishing unconditionally secure cryptographic keys, leveraging the principles of quantum mechanics. While PQC relies on complex mathematical problems resistant to both classical and quantum attacks, QKD provides a security guarantee rooted in fundamental physics, making it theoretically immune to any computational attack.
Currently, QKD faces practical limitations regarding distance, infrastructure requirements, and cost, which is why PQC is often favored for widespread network security and software integrations. However, ongoing and rapid advancements in areas such as quantum repeaters, satellite-based QKD, and miniaturized, chip-based QKD systems are making the technology more practical, scalable, and cost-effective. If these breakthroughs lead to widespread, accessible, and easily integrable QKD solutions, particularly for critical infrastructure, governmental, and financial sectors requiring the highest level of security for point-to-point or dedicated network communications, it could significantly reduce the addressable market and urgency for algorithm-based PQC solutions like those BTQ offers. This represents a competing technological paradigm for achieving quantum-safe security, potentially disrupting the market for PQC software.
AI Analysis | Feedback
BTQ Technologies (symbol: BTQ) operates within the burgeoning quantum security sector, primarily focusing on post-quantum cryptography (PQC) solutions to safeguard digital information from future quantum computing threats.
For their main products and services, which include advanced encryption algorithms, secure communication systems, custom programming languages, compilers, cloud software solutions, and specialized hardware for quantum computing environments, the addressable market is broadly defined by the post-quantum cryptography (PQC) market and related digital security needs.
- The overall **Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) market** is projected for significant growth. Analysts predict this market is set to expand rapidly, with one source indicating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 46.2%. This market is considered global, driven by the urgent need for stronger security measures against quantum threats across various industries.
- BTQ's products, such as its One-Time Signatures (OSS), aim to transform the **global financial payments market**. This market is estimated to be approximately $150 trillion.
- Additionally, lattice-based cryptography, an area of focus for BTQ, is associated with a potential $1.3 trillion "value unlock" by 2035 across key industries including financial, chemicals, automotive, and life sciences. This represents the potential economic impact of such technologies, rather than a direct addressable market size for BTQ's specific products.
BTQ Technologies is currently a development-stage company with minimal revenue, and its business model is expected to center on developing and licensing its proprietary encryption technology to a range of potential customers, including government agencies, financial institutions, and healthcare companies globally.
AI Analysis | Feedback
BTQ Technologies (symbol: BTQ) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Expansion and Commercialization of Quantum-Secure Solutions: BTQ is focused on the commercialization of its quantum-secure stablecoin network (QSSN) and other post-quantum cryptography solutions. Notable deployments in Korea for QSSN indicate early market penetration. The company's diversified product portfolio, including PQScale for quantum-resistant signature compression and scalability, Keelung for zero-knowledge proof development, and Kenting for hardware acceleration, are expected to gain broader adoption as the need for post-quantum cybersecurity intensifies.
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Strategic collaborations and acquisitions are central to BTQ's growth strategy. The acquisition of QPerfect, a neutral atom computing company, significantly expands BTQ's technological capabilities and market reach. Partnerships, such as the joint development agreement with ICTK and the collaboration with the University of Cambridge on quantum photonic devices, are expected to accelerate commercialization efforts and strengthen the company's position in the quantum technology landscape.
- Leveraging the Growing Post-Quantum Cybersecurity Market: The increasing global investment in quantum computing and the looming threat of quantum machines breaking current encryption standards are creating a significant demand for post-quantum cybersecurity solutions. BTQ, with its focus on a vertically integrated stack of software, hardware, and protocols, is well-positioned to address this urgent infrastructure need across finance, telecommunications, and digital asset sectors. Market research projects substantial growth in the quantum technology revenue base, which BTQ aims to capture.
- Potential NIST Standardization: The potential for one of BTQ's products, Preon, to achieve NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology) standardization could be a significant catalyst for market adoption and growth. Such standardization would validate the security and effectiveness of BTQ's solutions, driving widespread commercial deployments.
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Share Issuance
- BTQ Technologies successfully closed a C$40 million public offering in July 2025, issuing approximately 5.56 million common shares at a price of C$7.20 per share.
- The company completed a C$10 million brokered LIFE financing in December 2024, selling 3,355,704 common shares at C$2.98 per share.
- The total number of shares outstanding for BTQ Technologies increased by 6.54% in one year, reaching 140.03 million shares as of December 16, 2025.
Inbound Investments
- BTQ Technologies secured C$40 million through a public offering in July 2025, led by a new long-term institutional investor with participation from existing shareholders and other new institutional investors.
- The company closed a C$10 million brokered LIFE financing in December 2024.
Outbound Investments
- BTQ Technologies announced a $15 million strategic investment and development agreement with Korea's secure element chip manufacturer ICTK in October 2025, which includes an equity investment by BTQ in ICTK.
- In April 2025, BTQ Technologies signed a non-binding term sheet to invest approximately €2 million (around $2.2 million) in QPerfect, a neutral atom quantum computing company, for a 16.67% equity stake, and subsequently exercised its option to acquire full ownership in November 2025.
- BTQ Technologies acquired the assets of Radical Semiconductor, integrating their Cryptographically Agile Secure Hardware (CASH) into its platform for post-quantum cryptography.
Capital Expenditures
- BTQ Technologies reported capital expenditures of -$8,639 in USD over the last 12 months.
- The company also reported capital expenditures of -12,033 (likely CAD) in the last 12 months.
- Funds from the C$40 million public offering in July 2025 are designated to accelerate the development of hardware and software products, alongside potential acquisitions.
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Peer Comparisons for BTQ Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.6 |
| Rev LTM | 7 |
| Op Inc LTM | -81 |
| FCF LTM | -55 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -58 |
| CFO LTM | -52 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -53 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 41.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 62.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 99.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1,075.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -720.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -696.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -507.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -901.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -576.3% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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