Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -26%
Key risks
BTG key risks include [1] geopolitical instability at its cornerstone Fekola mine in Mali and [2] production shortfalls stemming from operational hurdles at both the Fekola and new Goose mines.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -26%
7 Key risks
BTG key risks include [1] geopolitical instability at its cornerstone Fekola mine in Mali and [2] production shortfalls stemming from operational hurdles at both the Fekola and new Goose mines.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BTG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

B2Gold (BTG) experienced a 10.9% stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, driven by several key factors: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial and Operational Results.** The company announced robust Q3 2025 results on November 5, 2025, reporting total gold production of 254,369 ounces, which surpassed expectations. The Fekola, Masbate, and Otjikoto mines all exceeded their anticipated production levels. B2Gold also reported better-than-expected consolidated cash operating costs due to higher production and reduced fuel expenses. Financially, the company posted a revenue of $783 million and an adjusted earnings per share of $0.14, supported by a strong cash position of $367 million in cash and cash equivalents and operating cash flow before working capital adjustments of $180 million.

**2. Achievement of Commercial Production at the Goose Mine.** On October 6, 2025, B2Gold announced the commencement of commercial production at its Goose Mine. This strategic operational advancement is expected to significantly contribute to future production, with forecasts of 250,000 ounces in 2026 and 330,000 ounces in 2027. The successful ramp-up of the Goose Mine was also highlighted in the company's Q3 results.

**3. Significant Rise in Gold Prices.** The price of gold saw a substantial increase during this period, serving as a major tailwind for B2Gold. Gold reached an all-time high of $4381.58 per troy ounce in October 2025 and continued its upward trend, reaching $4376.92 USD per troy ounce by December 22, 2025. This represented a rise of approximately 26.95% from August 31, 2025, when gold was around $3,447.73 per troy ounce. Higher gold prices were also a key driver for B2Gold's strong Q3 results. Furthermore, a Bank of America forecast of $5,000 per ounce gold price for 2026 contributed to positive market sentiment.

**4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.** Analysts maintained a largely optimistic outlook on B2Gold throughout the period. The average analyst rating for B2Gold's stock was "Buy," indicating expectations of market outperformance. Several firms revised their price targets upwards; for instance, Raymond James maintained a "Buy" rating and increased its price target from $4.75 to $6.00 on October 10, 2025. CIBC also raised its price target, from $4.50 to $6.50 on October 10, 2025, and then updated it to $6.00 on November 21, 2025. As of December 2025, 60% of analysts held a bullish view on BTG.

**5. Strategic Developments for Future Production Growth.** B2Gold continued to outline plans for future growth, including the approval of the development of the Antelope underground deposit, which is anticipated to enhance future production capabilities. The company also expressed optimism regarding its ability to secure a regional mining permit for its Fekola project before the end of the year, a move that could further boost its production profile. These strategic initiatives provided investors with a positive long-term outlook for the company's production and profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BTG Return42%-27%-5%-7%-18%88%41%
Peers Return72%20%-8%3%10%148%434%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BTG Win Rate50%33%50%33%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%48%60%53%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BTG Max Drawdown-32%-39%-25%-19%-26%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-20%-31%-23%-30%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEM, KGC, NEM, GOLD, SSRM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBTGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven33 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven500.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven532 days1,480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

B2Gold's stock fell -52.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/5/2021. A -52.7% loss requires a 111.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About B2Gold (BTG)

Better Bets than B2Gold (BTG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BTG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for B2Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BTGAEMKGCNEMGOLDSSRMMedian
NameB2Gold Agnico E.Kinross .Newmont Gold.com SSR Mini. 
Mkt Price4.54174.2128.59101.2933.1622.9530.88
Mkt Cap6.087.534.7111.10.84.720.4
Rev LTM2,50710,5686,44421,50311,9441,4318,506
Op Inc LTM9885,2232,6089,359422961,798
FCF LTM7263,6452,2416,1224631921,484
FCF 3Y Avg8092,0411,2742,636201011,042
CFO LTM7265,8373,3489,2244753952,037
CFO 3Y Avg8233,8832,3805,616332931,601

Growth & Margins

BTGAEMKGCNEMGOLDSSRMMedian
NameB2Gold Agnico E.Kinross .Newmont Gold.com SSR Mini. 
Rev Chg LTM31.0%35.2%32.9%26.6%20.3%30.3%30.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.6%26.0%29.5%23.9%14.5%6.3%19.7%
Rev Chg Q74.7%41.9%25.8%20.0%35.6%49.9%38.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.4%9.4%6.1%4.5%8.8%9.9%9.1%
Op Mgn LTM39.4%49.4%40.5%43.5%0.4%20.7%39.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg36.2%36.0%25.0%23.9%0.9%8.6%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.2%3.6%1.8%4.5%-0.1%4.4%4.0%
CFO/Rev LTM29.0%55.2%52.0%42.9%4.0%27.6%35.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg39.3%45.6%45.2%32.6%0.1%22.3%35.9%
FCF/Rev LTM29.0%34.5%34.8%28.5%3.9%13.4%28.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg38.6%22.7%23.1%13.8%-0.1%7.2%18.3%

Valuation

BTGAEMKGCNEMGOLDSSRMMedian
NameB2Gold Agnico E.Kinross .Newmont Gold.com SSR Mini. 
Mkt Cap6.087.534.7111.10.84.720.4
P/S2.48.35.45.20.13.34.2
P/EBIT8.016.713.010.613.716.113.4
P/E27.425.419.715.5110.721.223.3
P/CFO8.315.010.412.01.711.811.1
Total Yield5.7%4.8%5.5%7.5%2.1%4.7%5.1%
Dividend Yield2.1%0.8%0.4%1.0%1.2%0.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg18.2%3.9%8.8%3.6%5.2%2.4%4.5%
D/E0.10.00.00.10.80.10.1
Net D/E0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.7-0.0-0.0

Returns

BTGAEMKGCNEMGOLDSSRMMedian
NameB2Gold Agnico E.Kinross .Newmont Gold.com SSR Mini. 
1M Rtn19.7%9.1%17.4%21.7%25.4%13.8%18.5%
3M Rtn1.6%8.3%21.9%24.3%24.6%0.5%15.1%
6M Rtn25.9%44.7%85.2%75.0%60.7%80.1%67.9%
12M Rtn87.1%125.7%211.5%169.1%32.9%230.2%147.4%
3Y Rtn45.4%260.5%623.8%131.3%6.3%48.1%89.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.0%1.2%9.1%13.2%26.0%4.3%10.5%
3M Excs Rtn-6.3%6.2%16.0%19.2%21.2%-3.2%11.1%
6M Excs Rtn11.4%29.7%69.2%58.0%49.1%62.7%53.6%
12M Excs Rtn67.6%102.9%188.1%145.9%12.8%203.6%124.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-26.1%183.7%532.4%62.1%-60.8%-19.6%21.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fekola Mine1,1441,0671,0241,113617
Otjikoto Mine418280339307247
Masbate Mine373385399368294
Corporate & Other00  30
Fekola Regional00   
Goose Mine00   
Other Mineral Properties00   
Discont. Operations    -162
Libertad Mine    82
Limon Mine    47
Total1,9341,7331,7621,7891,156


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fekola Mine122232263411 
Otjikoto Mine85347268 
Masbate Mine6571133234 
Goose Mine-30   
Fekola Regional-45-10   
Corporate & Other-75-31-16-58 
Other Mineral Properties-107-91016 
Total42287461672 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Goose Mine1,4800   
Fekola Mine1,3421,4561,3821,404 
Masbate Mine740755787864 
Otjikoto Mine414439442451 
Other Mineral Properties385341362355 
Corporate & Other263481588289 
Fekola Regional251209   
Total4,8753,6813,5613,362 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity41,383,439
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.7%
Average Daily Volume33,467,034
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.24
Basic Shares Quantity1,324,279,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202580820256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480920246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023315202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202380320236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022316202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110120226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202250420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021330202240-F 12/31/2021