Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
 
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Water Treatment Solutions.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BTG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period, August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, is in the future relative to the availability of real-time market data and specific historical stock performance analysis. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for a pre-specified 11.4% stock movement during this future period. Information available around this timeframe indicates B2Gold's (BTG) stock price movements and analyst forecasts, but does not provide a historical analysis of an 11.4% change for the specified period. Recent data shows the stock trading around $4.56 as of December 4, 2025. On December 3, 2025, B2Gold's stock declined by 4.5% to $4.3950. Over the last 10 days leading up to December 3, 2025, the price declined by a total of 12.78%. Analysts have an average target price of $6.00 for B2Gold, predicting a 31.58% increase from the current stock price of $4.56. For 2025, B2Gold's sales are projected to be $3.21 billion, an increase of 68.7% year-over-year, with earnings per share estimated at 58 cents, signifying a 262.50% year-over-year growth. The company reported a strong second quarter in 2025, with consolidated gold production up 12.3% year over year and ahead of expectations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BTG Return42%-27%-5%-7%-18%91%43%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%126%176%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BTG Win Rate50%33%50%33%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BTG Max Drawdown-32%-39%-25%-19%-26%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBTGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven33 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven500.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven532 days1480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

B2Gold's stock fell -52.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/5/2021. A -52.7% loss requires a 111.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About B2Gold (BTG)

Better Bets than B2Gold (BTG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BTG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for B2Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BTGBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameB2Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price4.5640.91202.939.3090.72171.4365.81
Mkt Cap6.070.239.12.999.586.154.7
Rev LTM2,50713,8241,5461,35221,50310,5686,537
Op Inc LTM9885,3511,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM726--8562266,1223,645726
FCF 3Y Avg809--161242,6362,041809
CFO LTM726-1,3104559,2245,8371,310
CFO 3Y Avg823-1,0563395,6163,8831,056

Growth & Margins

BTGBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameB2Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM31.0%16.9%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%33.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.6%5.9%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%19.7%
Rev Chg Q74.7%16.4%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%40.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.4%3.9%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%7.4%
Op Mgn LTM39.4%38.7%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%41.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg36.2%29.4%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%32.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.2%3.2%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.4%
CFO/Rev LTM29.0%-84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%42.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg39.3%-81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%39.3%
FCF/Rev LTM29.0%--55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg38.6%-4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%13.8%

Valuation

BTGBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameB2Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap6.070.239.12.999.586.154.7
P/S2.62.627.82.04.38.03.5
P/EBIT8.76.336.75.98.916.28.8
P/E29.912.946.711.912.924.618.7
P/CFO9.0-32.86.010.014.510.0
Total Yield5.2%9.2%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%6.8%
Dividend Yield1.9%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg18.2%-0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.9%
D/E0.10.00.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

BTGBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameB2Gold Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn14.5%29.7%10.1%18.6%15.3%10.2%14.9%
3M Rtn13.9%50.9%7.2%22.0%21.5%15.8%18.6%
6M Rtn24.1%106.3%18.4%25.7%67.5%41.2%33.4%
12M Rtn67.7%140.5%67.8%88.3%122.8%103.0%95.6%
3Y Rtn52.5%165.2%46.7%151.4%109.7%264.8%130.5%
1M Excs Rtn13.2%28.5%8.8%17.4%14.1%8.9%13.6%
3M Excs Rtn4.6%38.8%-0.7%15.5%13.7%7.4%10.5%
6M Excs Rtn8.6%90.8%2.9%10.2%52.0%25.7%18.0%
12M Excs Rtn55.5%129.3%55.8%91.5%112.1%96.1%93.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-21.7%102.8%-25.4%86.5%44.3%197.9%65.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fekola Mine1,1441,0671,0241,113617
Otjikoto Mine418280339307247
Masbate Mine373385399368294
Corporate & Other00  30
Fekola Regional00   
Goose Mine00   
Other Mineral Properties00   
Discont. Operations    -162
Libertad Mine    82
Limon Mine    47
Total1,9341,7331,7621,7891,156


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fekola Mine122232263411 
Otjikoto Mine85347268 
Masbate Mine6571133234 
Goose Mine-30   
Fekola Regional-45-10   
Corporate & Other-75-31-16-58 
Other Mineral Properties-107-91016 
Total42287461672 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Goose Mine1,4800   
Fekola Mine1,3421,4561,3821,404 
Masbate Mine740755787864 
Otjikoto Mine414439442451 
Other Mineral Properties385341362355 
Corporate & Other263481588289 
Fekola Regional251209   
Total4,8753,6813,5613,362 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity39,582,950
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-10.1%
Average Daily Volume45,802,883
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1,324,279,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202580820256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480920246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023315202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202380320236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022316202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110120226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202250420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021330202240-F 12/31/2021