Bitfarms (BITF)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $2.545 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Bitfarms (BITF)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $2.545Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 88% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 226% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Sustainable Energy Sourcing. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -112% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 198% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 105% | ||
| Key risksBITF key risks include [1] legal and regulatory scrutiny stemming from a class-action lawsuit and financial restatements and [2] intense competitive pressure from larger, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 88% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Sustainable Energy Sourcing. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 226% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -112% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 198% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 105% |
| Key risksBITF key risks include [1] legal and regulatory scrutiny stemming from a class-action lawsuit and financial restatements and [2] intense competitive pressure from larger, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BITF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic Pivot to High-Performance Computing (HPC) and AI Infrastructure.
Bitfarms embarked on a significant strategic shift during this period, moving from primarily a Bitcoin mining operation to a North American energy and digital infrastructure company focused on high-performance computing and artificial intelligence workloads. This pivot generated substantial investor optimism, positioning the company to capitalize on the surging demand in these sectors.
2. Successful Convertible Notes Offering and Enhanced Liquidity.
The company bolstered its financial position by successfully closing a $588 million aggregate principal amount of convertible notes offering. This, combined with total liquidity reaching approximately $814 million as of November 12, 2025, provided significant financial flexibility to fund its strategic HPC/AI infrastructure build-outs and other growth initiatives.
3. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results Driving Momentum.
Although reported just before the specified period on August 12, 2025, Bitfarms' second-quarter 2025 earnings highlighted robust revenue growth, up 87% year-over-year, and accelerated progress in its strategic transformation. These positive results likely carried forward investor confidence into the subsequent months.
4. Growing Institutional Investor Confidence.
During the third quarter of 2025, Aurelius Capital Management, LP disclosed a new and significant equity position in Bitfarms, acquiring over 6.7 million shares valued at $19 million. This made Bitfarms the fund's largest reported U.S. equity holding, signaling strong institutional backing and confidence in the company's strategic direction.
5. Expansion and Development of AI-Ready Data Centers.
Bitfarms announced concrete plans for the conversion of its Washington site to support advanced HPC/AI workloads, including Nvidia GB300s with liquid cooling, targeting completion as early as December 2026. Additionally, the company advanced its plans to expand HPC/AI infrastructure with the acquisition of a property in Sharon, Pennsylvania, demonstrating tangible execution of its strategic pivot.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BITF Return | � | � | -91% | 561% | -49% | 52% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BITF Win Rate | � | 67% | 17% | 67% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BITF Max Drawdown | � | � | -92% | -3% | -49% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PURR, LPLA, CD, TW, CRCL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BITF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2234.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to PURR, LPLA, CD, TW, CRCL
In The Past
Bitfarms's stock fell -95.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -95.7% loss requires a 2234.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BITF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Bitfarms
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,995 |
| Op Inc LTM | -12 |
| FCF LTM | 0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -103 |
| CFO LTM | 102 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -2 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 66.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 13.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -6.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -12.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -12.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -17.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| P/S | 8.2 |
| P/EBIT | -11.5 |
| P/E | -10.8 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | -0.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 79.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 7.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4012025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3072024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3212023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3282022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |