Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Regenerative Medicine, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.9 Mil
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -59%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -93%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Regenerative Medicine, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.9 Mil
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -59%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -93%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BCDA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. BioCardia reported a wider non-GAAP net loss per share of $0.24 for the third quarter of 2025, which was slightly more than the estimated loss.

2. The company's cash balance as of August 2025 (reported with Q2 2025 results) was approximately $1.1 million, providing a limited cash runway into October 2025, raising concerns about short-term liquidity.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BCDA Return-6%-44%8%-68%-78%-33%-97%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCDA Win Rate42%33%42%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCDA Max Drawdown-48%-51%-39%-82%-82%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBCDAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1299.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven195.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven39 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-81.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven431.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven700.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3488 days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

BioCardia's stock fell -92.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -92.9% loss requires a 1299.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BioCardia (BCDA)

Better Bets than BioCardia (BCDA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BCDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BioCardia

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BCDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameBioCardiaVertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price1.47457.362.631.1711.5421.937.08
Mkt Cap0.0116.9----58.5
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-9-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-83,337-6--60-64-8
FCF 3Y Avg-92,064-10----9
CFO LTM-83,718-6--60-64-8
CFO 3Y Avg-92,419-10----9

Growth & Margins

BCDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameBioCardiaVertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%10.3%-----44.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-59.1%10.5%-----24.3%
Rev Chg Q-100.0%11.0%-----44.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-100.0%2.7%-----48.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

BCDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameBioCardiaVertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.0116.9----58.5
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-1.122.4----10.7
P/E-1.127.2----13.1
P/CFO-1.226.9----12.9
Total Yield-89.1%3.7%-----42.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-77.6%2.3%-----37.7%
D/E0.10.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-----0.0

Returns

BCDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameBioCardiaVertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn10.5%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-9.5%
3M Rtn-27.9%15.2%--14.5%-14.5%
6M Rtn-31.0%3.1%-----14.0%
12M Rtn-31.6%-1.4%-----16.5%
3Y Rtn-94.6%44.0%-----25.3%
1M Excs Rtn9.3%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-8.2%
3M Excs Rtn-34.4%9.7%--10.8%-9.7%
6M Excs Rtn-46.4%-12.4%-----29.4%
12M Excs Rtn-48.9%-15.2%-----32.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-168.0%-28.7%-----98.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clinical-stage biotherapeutic company developing novel therapeutics for diseases with large unmet0    
Collaboration agreement revenue 1101
Net product revenue 0000
Total01101


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity175,318
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-16.8%
Average Daily Volume73,264
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.39
Basic Shares Quantity5,059,736
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024326202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021