Ballys (BALY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.5 | Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming
Ballys (BALY)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.5Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Casinos & Gaming
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Markets & Betting, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Online Gaming & Betting, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% | Key risksBALY key risks include [1] a crippling debt burden threatening its financial stability, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Markets & Betting, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Online Gaming & Betting, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% |
| Key risksBALY key risks include [1] a crippling debt burden threatening its financial stability, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BALY Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that likely contributed to Bally's (BALY) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. New York State Gaming Commission Grants Bally's Corporation License to Develop and Operate Bally's Bronx. On December 15, 2025, Bally's secured a significant license from the New York State Gaming Commission to develop and operate Bally's Bronx, a major casino project in New York.
2. Completion of Intralot Acquisition of Bally's International Interactive Business. Bally's announced the completion of Intralot S.A.'s acquisition of its International Interactive business for €2.7 billion ($3.1 billion) on October 9, 2025. This strategic transaction is intended to create a global gaming technology and services company, with Bally's becoming Intralot's majority shareholder, thereby enhancing its digital reach and providing liquidity.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BALY Return | 97% | -24% | -49% | -28% | 28% | -5% | -33% |
| Peers Return | 115% | -7% | -37% | 51% | -15% | -2% | 58% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BALY Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 47% | 37% | 55% | 43% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BALY Max Drawdown | -70% | -33% | -52% | -60% | -30% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -64% | -29% | -51% | -10% | -27% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CZR, PENN, DKNG, MGM, WYNN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BALY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 847.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 290.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 241 days | 148 days |
Compare to CHDN, BYD, MCRI, FLL, LVS
In The Past
Ballys's stock fell -89.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2021. A -89.4% loss requires a 847.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BALY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ballys
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.90 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,967 |
| Op Inc LTM | 798 |
| FCF LTM | 532 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 306 |
| CFO LTM | 1,307 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,210 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.4 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 2.6 |
| P/E | -2.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.5 |
| Total Yield | -2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 3.3 |
| Net D/E | 3.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -83.4% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | -4.0% | -14.0% | -17.3% |
| 8/11/2025 | 1.6% | -3.3% | -0.3% |
| 3/5/2025 | -3.5% | 40.4% | -4.3% |
| 11/6/2024 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -0.5% | -1.3% | -0.5% |
| 5/1/2024 | -1.2% | -2.3% | -7.7% |
| 2/21/2024 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 31.2% |
| 11/1/2023 | -14.8% | -1.8% | 26.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 15 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Median Negative | -3.5% | -4.4% | -4.3% |
| Max Positive | 2.0% | 40.4% | 35.3% |
| Max Negative | -14.8% | -24.8% | -49.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3172025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 8082022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |