AEVEX (AVEX)


Market Price (8/17/2026): $21.25 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

AEVEX (AVEX)


Market Price (8/17/2026): $21.25
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include National Security & Defense Technology. Themes include Airborne Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 66x

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%

Key risks
AVEX key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on government and defense spending, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include National Security & Defense Technology. Themes include Airborne Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR), Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 66x
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%
6 Key risks
AVEX key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on government and defense spending, Show more.

AVEX in ETFs

Weight = AVEX's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.01%
VB0.01%
IWO0.02%
VBK0.01%
SCHA0.01%
VTWO0.01%
+2 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/13/2026

AEVEX (AVEX) stock has lost about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Insider Selling: A major shareholder, Madison Dearborn Partners Llc, executed an indirect sale of 2,273,843 shares of AEVEX stock on June 5, 2026, totaling approximately $59.1 million. This substantial insider selling transaction, exceeding the $5 million threshold, likely signaled caution to investors.

2. Share Dilution from Secondary Offering: In early June 2026, AEVEX announced and subsequently priced a public offering of 8 million shares of its Class A common stock at $27.00 per share. This secondary offering introduced concerns about potential dilution of existing shareholder value.

Show more
Updated on 8/13/2026

AEVEX (AVEX) stock has lost about 30% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Insider Selling: A major shareholder, Madison Dearborn Partners Llc, executed an indirect sale of 2,273,843 shares of AEVEX stock on June 5, 2026, totaling approximately $59.1 million. This substantial insider selling transaction, exceeding the $5 million threshold, likely signaled caution to investors.

2. Share Dilution from Secondary Offering: In early June 2026, AEVEX announced and subsequently priced a public offering of 8 million shares of its Class A common stock at $27.00 per share. This secondary offering introduced concerns about potential dilution of existing shareholder value.

3. BlackSea Technologies Acquisition Concerns: Despite reporting strong financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 on August 12, 2026, AEVEX's announcement of a definitive agreement to acquire BlackSea Technologies for up to $650 million contributed to a 7.2% gap down in its stock price. The acquisition, involving approximately $350 million in AEVEX stock (representing about 12.7 million shares), raised investor concerns regarding potential dilution, financing complexities, and integration risks associated with expanding into multi-domain autonomous systems.

4. Declining Funded Backlog: AEVEX experienced a decrease in its funded backlog, which fell by $243.3 million during the first half of fiscal year 2026, from $503.1 million at December 31, 2025, to $259.8 million by June 30, 2026. While primarily attributed to revenue recognition from programs like the EUCOM AOR Deep Strike, this reduction in backlog may have raised questions about future revenue visibility and sustained growth momentum.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVEX-28.8% 
Market (SPY)8.0%31.1%
Sector (XLI)6.8%16.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVEX  
Market (SPY)12.5%21.7%
Sector (XLI)13.1%15.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVEX  
Market (SPY)23.9%21.7%
Sector (XLI)24.0%15.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVEX  
Market (SPY)75.6%21.7%
Sector (XLI)75.9%15.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AVEX Return------22%-22%
Peers Return-2%15%26%13%63%-3%154%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVEX Win Rate-----60% 
Peers Win Rate45%52%55%58%58%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVEX Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-28%-20%-22%-25%-44% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AVAV, KTOS, LHX, NOC, LMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

AVEX has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven45 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven51 days62 days

Compare to AVAV, KTOS, LHX, NOC, LMT

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

AVEX has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven114 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven700 days1085 days

Compare to AVAV, KTOS, LHX, NOC, LMT

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AEVEX (AVEX)

AEVEX (AVEX) is a leading defense technology prime contractor specializing in advanced Unmanned Systems (UxS). The company plays a critical role in enabling the U.S. and its allies to achieve dominance in Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) missions and defines next-generation warfighting capabilities. AEVEX focuses on developing and deploying autonomous, artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled, and attritable UxS, offering solutions for precision strike launched effects, loitering munitions, and full-scope intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) in demanding operational environments.

AEVEX's business operates through two main segments: Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested, modular UxS, including UAS and Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USV). Global Solutions provides bespoke mission capabilities such as AI-enabled airborne ISR, counter-UAS (C-UAS), and deployable additive manufacturing solutions like ForgeX, which facilitates on-demand UxS production on the battlefield. A core technological differentiator is their proprietary AI-based CompassX sensor-fusion engine, delivering assured positioning, navigation, and timing (APNT) and advanced onboard autonomy, crucial for operations in GPS-denied environments.

The company primarily serves agencies within the United States Department of War (DoW), Special Operations Forces (SOF), the Intelligence Community (IC), and allied international partners, with over 30 unique active customers. AEVEX boasts a strong track record, having delivered over 6,200 UxS with 3,900 more committed through 2026, and holds a prime contractor position on 84% of its programs. With world-class production facilities and an identified pipeline of $8.1 billion, AEVEX is strategically positioned to capture growth opportunities in the expanding global UxS market, which is projected to reach $26.0 billion annually by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for AEVEX (AVEX):

  • SpaceX for military drones
  • Boston Dynamics for defense's autonomous systems

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Unmanned Systems (UxS): Designs and manufactures battle-tested, autonomous, modular, and attritable Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) and Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USV), including precision strike launched effects and loitering munitions.
  • ISR Solutions: Provides AI-enabled full-spectrum airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance mission solutions.
  • Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems (C-UAS): Offers bespoke solutions designed to detect and neutralize unmanned aerial threats.
  • Additive Manufacturing (ForgeX): Delivers a highly innovative, deployable solution for manufacturing mission-ready UxS directly in operational environments.
  • Aircraft Engineering and Modification: Provides specialized mission aircraft engineering, modification, and testing services.
  • CompassX Sensor-Fusion Engine: A proprietary AI-based software engine that delivers assured positioning, navigation, and timing (APNT) and advanced onboard autonomy for UxS, especially in GPS-denied environments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AEVEX (AVEX) sells primarily to government agencies and organizations. Its major customers include:

  • United States Department of War (DoW)
  • Special Operations Forces (SOF)
  • Intelligence Community (IC)
  • Allied international partners

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Roger Wells, Chief Executive Officer

Roger Wells was appointed Chief Executive Officer of AEVEX in November 2025, having previously served as President since April 2025. He brings over 25 years of defense leadership experience to the role, including leadership positions at Northrop Grumman, ICX Technologies, FLIR, and Mercury Systems. Prior to joining AEVEX, Wells held the position of Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President at Mercury Systems, a public company with a multi-billion dollar enterprise value, where he was instrumental in leading growth and operations across a diverse portfolio of advanced defense electronics.

Todd Booth, Chief Financial Officer

Todd Booth was appointed Chief Financial Officer of AEVEX in October 2025. He possesses deep expertise in finance and operations within both the private and public sectors. Before joining AEVEX, Booth served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Teledyne FLIR and as Chief Operating Officer of Aerospace and Defense Electronics at Teledyne Technologies Incorporated. His career also includes senior roles at 3D Systems Corporation and Vallourec, as well as positions at Ernst & Young and KPMG.

Brian Raduenz, Executive Chairman

Brian Raduenz is the Co-Founder of AEVEX Aerospace and transitioned to Executive Chairman in November 2025, after serving as the company's CEO. Prior to AEVEX, he was the CEO of Merlin Global Services, a leading provider of flight operations, aircraft maintenance, and aviation training support to the DoD intelligence community, where he led the company through significant organic growth. Before joining Merlin, Raduenz served 20 years in the U.S. Air Force as a commander, flight test engineer, and program manager for various manned and unmanned Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) acquisition programs.

Manan Patel, Chief Technology Officer

Manan Patel serves as the Chief Technology Officer for AEVEX Aerospace. Before the formation of AEVEX, he was the CEO and Founder of Special Operations Solutions, LLC (SOS), a company specializing in ISR and remote sensing technical solutions. Under his leadership, SOS successfully supported several high-profile ISR programs and was recognized on Inc500's list of America's fastest-growing companies. Prior to founding SOS, Patel worked as an Electronics Engineer with the CERDEC Night Vision and Electronic Sensors Directorate (NVESD).

Dan Talati, Chief Operations Officer

Dan Talati is the Chief Operations Officer for AEVEX Aerospace. Before joining AEVEX, he completed a 27-year career in the U.S. Air Force, retiring as a Colonel. His experience includes leading airborne operations, government procurement, and strategic planning, and he previously served at Headquarters, Air Combat Command as the Deputy Assistant Director of Plans, Programs and Requirements, ensuring the readiness and lethality of the USAF's combat forces aircraft.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  1. Heavy Reliance on Government Contracts and Defense Spending: AEVEX's business is heavily dependent on contracts with U.S. government agencies such as the Department of War (DoW), Special Operations Forces (SOF), and the Intelligence Community (IC), as well as allied international partners. The company's stated "prime contractor position on 84.0% of all programs" highlights this significant reliance. Consequently, AEVEX is vulnerable to shifts in defense budgets, changes in strategic priorities, extended government procurement cycles, or potential cancellation of programs, which could significantly impact its revenue and pipeline.
  2. Intense Competition and Rapid Technological Obsolescence: Operating in the dynamic defense technology sector, particularly in Unmanned Systems (UxS), artificial intelligence (AI), and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) solutions, AEVEX faces continuous pressure to innovate. The company emphasizes its need for "rapidly innovating through constant customer feedback and in-theater experience, enabling the warfighter with the cutting-edge technology and capability to meet the ever-changing threat environment" to maintain its "leadership in mission capabilities." Failure to keep pace with rapid technological advancements or the emergence of superior competitive solutions could diminish its market position and financial performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market sizes for AEVEX's main products and services are as follows:

The U.S. addressable Unmanned Systems (UxS) opportunity is expected to reach annual levels of approximately $11.0 billion by 2030.

The global addressable UxS opportunity is expected to reach annual levels of approximately $26.0 billion by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for AEVEX (AVEX) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Growth in the Global Unmanned Systems (UxS) and ISR Market: AEVEX is positioned in a rapidly expanding market, with the U.S. and global addressable UxS opportunities projected to reach approximately $11.0 billion and $26.0 billion annually, respectively, by 2030. This substantial market growth is fueled by accelerating global defense spending and increased demand for advanced defense technologies, including tactical intelligence and mission solutions.
  2. Conversion of Identified Pipeline and Funded Backlog: The company has a significant pipeline of identified growth opportunities, totaling $8.1 billion as of December 2025, which represents a 98% year-over-year increase. Additionally, AEVEX holds a funded backlog of $503.1 million as of December 2025, an 181% increase year-over-year, and has commitments for over 3,900 systems through the end of 2026. These commitments and pipeline provide a clear trajectory for future revenue.
  3. Continuous Innovation and Expansion of Advanced UxS Platforms and AI-Enabled Solutions: AEVEX's focus on developing and deploying cutting-edge autonomous, AI-enabled, and attritable UxS, including 35 unique platforms in the last three years, drives demand. Key innovations such as the proprietary AI-based CompassX sensor-fusion engine for GPS-denied environments and ForgeX, a deployable additive manufacturing solution, enhance its competitive edge and open new revenue streams. The adoption of its advanced products, such as the U.S. Army's selection of the Aevex Atlas Precision Strike System, further validates this growth driver.
  4. Strong Prime Contractor Position and Deep Customer Relationships: AEVEX maintains a strong position as a prime contractor on 84.0% of all programs and serves over 30 unique active customers, including key agencies within the United States Department of War, Special Operations Forces, Intelligence Community, and allied international partners. The U.S. government accounted for 78% of its 2025 revenue. These established relationships and its prime contractor status are crucial for securing ongoing contracts and capturing new programs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for AEVEX (AVEX) Over the Last 3-5 Years

Share Repurchases

  • AEVEX had a 0.00% 10-Year Share Buyback Ratio as of December 2025, indicating no share repurchases over that period.
  • The 1-Year and 3-Year Share Buyback Ratios for AEVEX were also 0.00% as of December 2025, suggesting no share repurchases in the most recent years.

Share Issuance

  • AEVEX completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on April 17, 2026, issuing 16 million shares at $20.00 per share.
  • The IPO raised $320 million for the company.
  • Net proceeds from the IPO are designated for acquiring newly issued Series A Units in Holdings LLC, purchasing Series B Units from certain equityholders, and repurchasing Class A common stock from certain partners.

Inbound Investments

  • Private equity firm Madison Dearborn Partners acquired AEVEX in 2020 and remains its principal stockholder.
  • Following the IPO, Madison Dearborn will retain control of AEVEX, holding 79.1% of the combined voting power, which would reduce to 76.7% if underwriters exercise their option for additional shares.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the trailing twelve months ended December 2025, AEVEX reported capital expenditures of -$8.47 million.
  • The company has invested $104.2 million in research and development since 2024, with $25.4 million expended in 2025.
  • AEVEX has built approximately 100,000 square feet of dedicated production space across the U.S. to enhance its manufacturing capacity.

Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense

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Share of Aerospace & Defense constituents that AVEX has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
insufficient peer history
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Aerospace & Defense is AVEX's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 39.6%143.7%221.9% CDNL 2932% · STRL 2512% · FIX 2318%
Marine Transportation 4 54.5%63.2%164.0% MATX 211% · SFL 179% · KEX 149%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 17.2%61.4%115.2% CAT 337% · ALSN 259% · WAB 248%
Aerospace & Defense ← 55 21.8%88.9%92.6% DFNS 3604% · ATI 1103% · FTAI 1014%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 17.9%58.9%64.9% CRS 1578% · PSIX 953% · EROC 861%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -11.4%58.0%59.0% UBER 85% · CAR 59% · LYFT -64%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 49.6%18.4%54.2% XPO 293% · R 288% · CVLG 222%
Diversified Support Services 34 9.8%41.3%45.6% LIME 4210% · TH 418% · WLFC 378%
Trading Companies & Distributors 18 8.5%40.5%45.2% DXPE 550% · AIT 323% · URI 247%
Electrical Components & Equipment 40 33.1%57.1%40.3% POWL 2616% · BE 1032% · VRT 995%
Rail Transportation 7 36.0%70.9%39.2% FSTR 117% · CSX 59% · UNP 46%
Building Products 33 -2.1%23.3%31.9% GFF 449% · LMB 415% · PPIH 292%
Environmental & Facilities Services 28 -8.6%18.4%7.0% CECO 1053% · ADUR 667% · NVRI 306%
Office Services & Supplies 10 19.3%28.1%6.7% TILE 192% · PBI 169% · EBF 56%
Industrial Conglomerates 18 22.6%36.6%2.0% RCMT 735% · TTI 209% · CSW 177%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -8.2%-19.9%-3.8% HURN 211% · CRAI 96% · GRNQ 7%
Passenger Airlines 11 17.3%2.1%-16.8% LTM 2325% · UAL 177% · SKYW 157%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 -8.8%-14.8%-17.1% BLBD 181% · DE 73% · GENC 57%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -33.1%-13.5%-30.4% EXLS 44% · BR 6% · G -30%
Human Resource & Employment Services 21 13.9%-20.1%-31.4% BBSI 78% · ADP 42% · KFY 37%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -7.6%-1.6%-34.0% CHRW 83% · FDX 66% · EXPD 59%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -27.8%-10.9%-40.4% CIX 116% · MG 89% · BCO 55%
Airport Services 3 -69.2%-66.6%-55.3% JOBY -15% · ASLE -55% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVEXAVAVKTOSLHXNOCLMTMedian
NameAEVEX AeroViro.Kratos D.L3Harris.Northrop.Lockheed. 
Mkt Price21.54192.8164.58291.82585.87608.68242.31
Mkt Cap1.19.612.254.383.3140.133.3
Rev LTM5731,6101,52222,93242,89277,01412,271
Op Inc LTM24-95232,3134,5989,1531,168
FCF LTM-27-246-1292,8083,6468,7291,391
FCF 3Y Avg--91-622,1522,5266,3362,152
CFO LTM-19-174-403,2925,07810,4021,636
CFO 3Y Avg--52122,5944,1428,0802,594

Growth & Margins

AVEXAVAVKTOSLHXNOCLMTMedian
NameAEVEX AeroViro.Kratos D.L3Harris.Northrop.Lockheed. 
Rev Chg LTM-116.9%25.5%7.3%5.9%7.2%7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-55.7%16.6%8.6%4.3%4.6%8.6%
Rev Chg Q-143.4%30.5%8.4%5.1%10.5%10.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-17.5%7.6%2.0%1.2%2.5%2.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM--388.7%13.2%4.5%15.6%53.7%13.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-58,379.5%109.1%9.9%11.5%7.5%11.5%
Op Mgn LTM4.1%-5.9%1.5%10.1%10.7%11.9%7.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.2%2.3%9.9%9.1%10.7%9.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-0.4%0.2%-0.4%2.0%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.4%-10.8%-2.6%14.4%11.8%13.5%4.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--2.8%1.4%11.9%10.0%11.0%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.7%-15.3%-8.5%12.2%8.5%11.3%1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--6.3%-4.4%9.8%6.1%8.6%6.1%

Valuation

AVEXAVAVKTOSLHXNOCLMTMedian
NameAEVEX AeroViro.Kratos D.L3Harris.Northrop.Lockheed. 
Mkt Cap1.19.612.254.383.3140.133.3
P/S2.06.08.02.41.91.82.2
P/Op Inc48.3-100.9525.023.518.115.320.8
P/EBIT66.3-87.2311.519.414.116.417.9
P/E-71.5-30.8394.229.218.522.320.4
P/CFO-59.1-55.1-307.616.516.413.5-20.8
Total Yield-1.4%-3.2%0.3%5.1%7.0%6.8%2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.7%1.6%2.3%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--1.1%-0.7%4.4%3.6%5.6%3.6%
D/E0.10.10.00.20.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.10.20.20.10.1

Returns

AVEXAVAVKTOSLHXNOCLMTMedian
NameAEVEX AeroViro.Kratos D.L3Harris.Northrop.Lockheed. 
1M Rtn48.6%35.6%40.3%3.5%12.3%19.6%27.6%
3M Rtn-13.4%22.0%24.0%-3.4%8.8%18.7%13.8%
6M Rtn-20.0%-20.9%-27.5%-14.9%-16.0%-5.6%-18.0%
12M Rtn-20.0%-21.8%-5.7%9.6%1.9%42.9%-1.9%
3Y Rtn-20.0%108.5%322.1%70.4%43.5%47.7%59.0%
1M Excs Rtn32.8%25.8%34.2%-0.7%9.6%15.2%20.5%
3M Excs Rtn-14.6%12.9%13.9%-8.5%3.5%13.9%8.2%
6M Excs Rtn-34.0%-31.9%-39.8%-27.4%-29.0%-17.3%-30.5%
12M Excs Rtn-40.4%-44.7%-26.5%-10.7%-18.2%20.8%-22.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-94.3%24.3%221.2%-8.8%-32.9%-28.6%-18.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Tactical Systems322298
Global Solutions11194
Total433392


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Tactical Systems3884
Global Solutions8-3
Other-2-10
Change in contingent consideration-262
IPO-related costs-3 
Corporate-9-5
Depreciation and amortization-21-21
Business acquisition costs -0
Restructuring – severance -0
Total8107


Price Behavior

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AVEX Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta4.553.132.991.40-1.061.36
Up Beta4.145.384.980.683.22-3.07
Down Beta1.19-0.372.044.05-3.96-1.93
Up Capture442%110%104%19%8%1%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days101929343434
Down Capture619%427%330%135%89%50%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days122434383838

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVEX
AVEX-20.1%138.2%0.13-
Sector ETF (XLI)23.7%17.0%1.0815.7%
Equity (SPY)21.5%12.8%1.2521.7%
Gold (GLD)30.0%28.5%0.9121.6%
Commodities (DBC)38.1%20.1%1.498.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.4%13.9%0.73-16.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-49.1%42.8%-1.458.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVEX
AVEX-4.4%138.2%0.13-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.2%17.6%0.6315.7%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6021.7%
Gold (GLD)19.5%18.6%0.8521.6%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%19.6%0.388.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.02-16.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.0%52.8%0.348.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVEX
AVEX-2.2%138.2%0.13-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.4%20.0%0.6315.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7321.7%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.6021.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.7%18.0%0.348.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.20-16.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.1%1.008.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 71520268.3%
Average Daily Volume2.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity52.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/12/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/20/20261.7%54.1%-33.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative001
Median Positive1.7%54.1% 
Median Negative  -33.5%
Max Positive1.7%54.1% 
Max Negative  -33.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/20/20261.7%54.1%-33.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative001
Median Positive1.7%54.1% 
Median Negative  -33.5%
Max Positive1.7%54.1% 
Max Negative  -33.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/12/202610-Q
03/31/202605/20/202610-Q
12/31/202504/20/2026424B4
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/12/202610-Q
03/31/202605/20/202610-Q
12/31/202504/20/2026424B4

Insider Activity

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Madison, Dearborn Partners Llc See footnotes.Sell605202625.992,273,84359,097,180594,169,267Form
2Booth, ToddChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy421202620.0013,000260,000260,000Form
3Jackson, Michael AndrewSee RemarksDirectBuy420202620.0065013,00013,000Form
4Wells, Charles Roger IVChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy420202620.0050010,00010,000Form
5Raduenz, Brian DirectBuy420202620.0050,0001,000,0001,000,000Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Madison, Dearborn Partners Llc See footnotes.Sell605202625.992,273,84359,097,180594,169,267Form
2Booth, ToddChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy421202620.0013,000260,000260,000Form
3Jackson, Michael AndrewSee RemarksDirectBuy420202620.0065013,00013,000Form
4Wells, Charles Roger IVChief Executive OfficerDirectBuy420202620.0050010,00010,000Form
5Raduenz, Brian DirectBuy420202620.0050,0001,000,0001,000,000Form
6Hush, Brett PSee RemarksDirectBuy420202620.0010,000200,000200,000Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/16/2026