Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 789%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
 
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Private Credit.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 789%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Private Credit.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AVBH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in August 2025 and subsequent financial disclosures, Avidbank (AVBH) experienced significant developments that could influence its stock performance. These factors collectively contribute to understanding stock movements in the approximate timeframe of August 31, 2025, to early December 2025. 1. Avidbank completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in August 2025, raising substantial capital.

This event involved issuing 3,001,500 shares at $23.00 per share, generating net proceeds of $61.3 million. An IPO typically brings increased liquidity and investor attention, which can lead to notable stock movements. 2. Strong Q2 2025 financial results, announced in August 2025, showcased operational growth.

The company reported a net income of $5.8 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2025, an increase from previous quarters. Key highlights included net interest margin expansion to 3.60%, 15% annualized loan growth ($70.5 million), and 15% annualized deposit growth ($73.3 million). Positive financial results often drive investor confidence and stock price appreciation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AVBH Return-29%43%-18%3%2%20%6%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVBH Win Rate25%83%33%50%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVBH Max Drawdown-47%0%-20%-33%-14%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAVBHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven455 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1085 days120 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Avidbank's stock fell -48.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -48.9% loss requires a 95.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Avidbank (AVBH)

Better Bets than Avidbank (AVBH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Avidbank Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AVBH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Avidbank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVBHNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAvidbank NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price26.4311.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap0.20.30.2--84.20.2
Rev LTM452696090268,96775
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM--52020-843,6574
FCF 3Y Avg--22916-52,31710
CFO LTM--51920-443,9414
CFO 3Y Avg--22818-52,50612

Growth & Margins

AVBHNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAvidbank NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM788.7%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg322.0%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%31.6%
Rev Chg Q1,367.9%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM83.7%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM--193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%17.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%25.5%
FCF/Rev LTM--193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%15.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%22.7%

Valuation

AVBHNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAvidbank NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.20.30.2--84.20.2
P/S3.41.12.7--7.43.0
P/EBIT-------
P/E15.84.911.6--28.813.7
P/CFO--0.67.9--16.87.9
Total Yield6.3%20.2%13.5%--3.5%9.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--76.1%9.6%--4.3%4.3%
D/E1.12.60.2--0.00.6
Net D/E0.21.8-4.5---0.4-0.1

Returns

AVBHNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameAvidbank NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn0.7%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn5.5%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn32.8%10.7%29.3%--46.1%31.0%
12M Rtn19.5%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%26.0%
3Y Rtn25.9%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%17.3%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-0.7%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn18.1%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%16.3%
12M Excs Rtn6.0%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%13.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.9%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-52.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity45,942
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.4%
Average Daily Volume17,801
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.58
Basic Shares Quantity7,534,264
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025918202510-Q 6/30/2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Scott Robert HMgng Dir. Strat. Relationships8112025Buy23.0043510,005315,077Form
1BIORN KRISTOFER W.8112025Buy23.0075017,250598,759Form
2POLSTER BRYAN C.8112025Buy23.0050,0001,150,0001,459,672Form
3BENEDICT TAMI LAURAEVP, Chief of Staff8112025Buy23.0075017,250531,645Form
4BUTNER GEOFFREY EVANEVP, Chief Credit Officer8112025Buy23.004009,200763,094Form