Tearsheet

Atomera (ATOM)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $2.17 | Market Cap: $67.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Atomera (ATOM)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $2.17
Market Cap: $67.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -110%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -56271%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Nanomaterials, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1778x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -50%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38624%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38716%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 262%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 125%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Nanomaterials, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -110%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -56271%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1778x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -94%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -50%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38624%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38716%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 262%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 125%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ATOM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -56.6% stock movement for Atomera (ATOM) from 7/31/2025 to 11/15/2025:

1. Atomera reported worse-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results, with a net loss of $5.6 million, or -$0.17 per share, which was wider than the analyst estimate of -$0.13 per share. Revenue also significantly missed estimates, coming in at $11,000 against an estimated $0.10 million.

2. The company experienced an increased net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss in Q3 2025 compared to the prior year. The net loss grew to $5.6 million from $4.6 million in Q3 2024, and the adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $4.4 million from $3.9 million in the same period a year earlier.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATOM Return422%25%-69%13%65%-80%-25%
Peers Return62%62%-35%74%-3%55%343%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATOM Win Rate75%42%33%50%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate67%71%33%62%42%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATOM Max Drawdown-17%-16%-71%-18%-65%-78% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-1%-50%-2%-11%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER, ENTG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATOMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-89.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven809.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven37 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven190.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven505 days120 days

Compare to LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER, ENTG


In The Past

Atomera's stock fell -89.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -89.0% loss requires a 809.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Atomera (ATOM)

Better Bets than Atomera (ATOM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATOM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Atomera

Financials

ATOMLRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameAtomera Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
Mkt Price2.17148.26226.011,134.32169.9778.28159.12
Mkt Cap0.1187.5180.4149.527.011.988.2
Rev LTM019,59228,61312,5242,8603,2237,873
Op Inc LTM-216,4668,6235,2315394122,885
FCF LTM-155,5505,8233,8734573312,165
FCF 3Y Avg-144,9646,4573,4134272201,920
CFO LTM-156,3847,7054,2486756802,464
CFO 3Y Avg-145,5317,7883,7376116072,174

Growth & Margins

ATOMLRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameAtomera Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
Rev Chg LTM-94.3%25.7%6.6%22.1%4.5%0.6%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4,315.7%4.0%4.4%8.7%-4.3%3.8%4.2%
Rev Chg Q-50.0%27.7%7.7%13.0%4.3%-0.1%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-22.4%6.3%1.9%3.0%1.1%-0.0%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM-56,271.1%33.0%30.1%41.8%18.8%12.8%24.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-154,966.9%30.2%29.4%38.9%19.4%13.6%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-14,658.8%1.0%0.5%0.5%-0.4%-0.4%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-38,623.7%32.6%26.9%33.9%23.6%21.1%25.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-110,648.3%32.5%28.5%34.0%22.0%18.2%25.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-38,715.8%28.3%20.4%30.9%16.0%10.3%18.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-110,972.4%29.3%23.7%31.1%15.4%6.8%19.5%

Valuation

ATOMLRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameAtomera Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
Mkt Cap0.1187.5180.4149.527.011.988.2
P/S1,777.69.66.311.99.43.79.5
P/EBIT-3.328.019.728.951.323.025.5
P/E-3.332.326.435.360.841.233.8
P/CFO-4.629.423.435.239.917.526.4
Total Yield-30.2%3.7%4.5%3.5%1.9%2.7%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.3%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.7%4.4%4.4%3.6%2.2%1.5%2.9%
D/E0.00.00.00.00.00.30.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-0.00.0-0.00.3-0.0

Returns

ATOMLRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameAtomera Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
1M Rtn-57.3%2.4%-0.7%4.4%20.5%-17.2%0.9%
3M Rtn-36.0%49.3%39.7%29.9%55.5%1.6%34.8%
6M Rtn-71.0%76.4%37.3%44.0%106.0%0.3%40.7%
12M Rtn-63.5%100.3%22.8%77.6%60.3%-22.5%41.5%
3Y Rtn-77.4%212.4%110.3%202.5%78.3%-1.3%94.3%
1M Excs Rtn-55.8%2.6%-2.3%1.6%20.4%-15.0%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-37.9%45.8%33.8%24.0%49.7%-4.5%28.9%
6M Excs Rtn-84.0%63.4%24.3%31.0%93.0%-12.8%27.6%
12M Excs Rtn-75.9%85.4%9.8%59.7%45.1%-38.6%27.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-153.7%174.6%66.5%167.1%24.5%-57.4%45.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment    1
Total    1


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment24273639 
Total24273639 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,016,916
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-8.2%
Average Daily Volume953,793
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.21
Basic Shares Quantity31,128,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-2.5%-12.6% 
8/5/2025-22.9%-19.3%-29.6%
5/6/202518.5%41.6%19.7%
2/11/2025-38.5%-26.9%-37.2%
10/29/202428.2%34.5%75.4%
7/30/202413.2%-4.5%-12.6%
4/25/2024-17.1%-17.1%-21.4%
1/10/20244.6%1.0%15.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111011
# Negative131413
Median Positive13.2%25.0%19.7%
Median Negative-12.6%-14.4%-22.3%
Max Positive32.8%87.9%81.4%
Max Negative-38.5%-28.6%-40.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mears Robert JChief Technology Officer6132025Sell6.134,19625,7211,210,117Form
1BIBAUD SCOTT A.CEO and President6042025Sell6.009005,4003,197,508Form
2Mears Robert JChief Technology Officer6042025Sell6.007674,6021,226,250Form
3Laurencio FrancisCFO6042025Sell6.001,0136,0781,108,776Form
4Mears Robert JChief Technology Officer3052025Sell5.917554,4621,236,461Form