Atkore (ATKR)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $64.1 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Atkore (ATKR)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $64.1Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -103%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 147x |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.0%, FCF Yield is 14% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% | |
| Key risksATKR key risks include [1] an ongoing Department of Justice grand jury investigation concerning the pricing of its PVC products and [2] related price-fixing and securities fraud lawsuits. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.0%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -103%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 147x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% |
| Key risksATKR key risks include [1] an ongoing Department of Justice grand jury investigation concerning the pricing of its PVC products and [2] related price-fixing and securities fraud lawsuits. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ATKR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ATKR Return | 2% | 170% | 2% | 41% | -47% | -22% | 63% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 69% | 1% | 42% | 19% | 22% | 269% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ATKR Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 67% | 42% | 60% | 65% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ATKR Max Drawdown | -70% | 0% | -36% | 0% | -48% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -4% | -23% | -4% | -9% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ETN, HUBB, NVT, NUE, AYI. See ATKR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ATKR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 261.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 363 days | 120 days |
Compare to NVT, ENS, VICR, BDC, BLDP
In The Past
Atkore's stock fell -42.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/6/2022. A -42.3% loss requires a 73.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Atkore Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Atkore Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| ATKR's 23% Decline in a Month Brings Valuations Into Focus - Is CHTR a Better Deal? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| ATKR Drops 23% in a Month, But Does WLFC Offer Better Fundamentals? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Atkore Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| Better Bet Than ATKR Stock: Pay Less Than Atkore To Get More From CHTR, IBKR | |||
| ATKR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Atkore Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -23.2% in 2025 and -5.5% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Atkore (ATKR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Atkore (ATKR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Should You Pick Atkore Stock At $90? | November 25th, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ATKR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| 08312024 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -33.6% | -36.5% | -43.8% |
| 09302022 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 80.5% | 91.7% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| 08312024 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -33.6% | -36.5% | -43.8% |
| 09302022 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 80.5% | 91.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Atkore
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 237.92 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.9 |
| Rev LTM | 5,016 |
| Op Inc LTM | 879 |
| FCF LTM | 469 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 631 |
| CFO LTM | 808 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 749 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 19.9 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 22.6 |
| P/E | 27.1 |
| P/CFO | 20.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 101.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 24.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrical | 2,355 | 2,675 | 3,014 | 2,230 | 1,268 |
| Safety & Infrastructure | 849 | 844 | 900 | 698 | 497 |
| Eliminations | -2 | -0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 3,202 | 3,519 | 3,914 | 2,928 | 1,765 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrical | 1,774 | 1,715 | 1,525 | 1,123 | 795 |
| Safety & Infrastructure | 770 | 754 | 618 | 483 | 256 |
| Unallocated | 478 | 466 | 456 | 604 | 508 |
| Total | 3,021 | 2,935 | 2,599 | 2,210 | 1,559 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/20/2025 | 6.3% | 12.9% | |
| 8/5/2025 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.8% |
| 4/21/2025 | 10.5% | 11.9% | 20.8% |
| 2/4/2025 | 2.3% | 11.1% | 1.3% |
| 11/21/2024 | 5.3% | 10.8% | -2.3% |
| 8/6/2024 | -4.6% | -6.4% | -15.8% |
| 5/7/2024 | 2.1% | 0.8% | -8.0% |
| 2/1/2024 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 16.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -3.9% | -3.6% |
| Max Positive | 10.5% | 16.7% | 27.0% |
| Max Negative | -8.6% | -8.1% | -15.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11262025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2042025 | 10-Q 12/27/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11212024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11172023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-Q 12/30/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11182022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/24/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/25/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1312022 | 10-Q 12/24/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |