Atkore (ATKR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $63.76 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Atkore (ATKR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $63.76Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.1% | Key risksATKR key risks include [1] an ongoing Department of Justice grand jury investigation concerning the pricing of its PVC products and [2] related price-fixing and securities fraud lawsuits. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Renewable Energy Equipment, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6% |
| Key risksATKR key risks include [1] an ongoing Department of Justice grand jury investigation concerning the pricing of its PVC products and [2] related price-fixing and securities fraud lawsuits. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ATKR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Atkore (ATKR) experienced significant stock movements between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. The stock saw a notable decline following its fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings release, where it reported a net loss and weaker guidance for fiscal year 2026. This downward pressure was partially offset by strategic initiatives and a resilient Safety & Infrastructure segment. Here are the key points for Atkore's stock movement: **1. Weak Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Fiscal 2025 Financial Results.** Atkore announced its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 results on November 20, 2025, reporting a net loss of $54.4 million for the quarter, a significant drop from a net income of $73.1 million in the prior year. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company recorded a net loss of $15.2 million, compared to a net income of $472.9 million in fiscal 2024. This substantial decline in profitability, driven by lower operating income and non-cash impairment charges, negatively impacted investor sentiment. **2. Missed Analyst Expectations for Earnings Per Share and Weak 2026 Guidance.** The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69 for Q4 2025 fell significantly short of analyst expectations of $1.26. Additionally, Atkore's guidance for fiscal year 2026, with an expected adjusted EPS of $5.05 to $5.55, trailed the analyst consensus of $5.41. This weaker outlook contributed to a negative market reaction, with the stock declining by 6.4% on the day of the earnings release. **3. Declining Net Sales and Compressed Margins.** Net sales for the fourth quarter of 2025 decreased by 4.6% to $752.0 million compared to the prior-year period. Gross margins also saw a notable decrease, falling to 19.7% from 27.4% in the prior year, primarily due to lower average selling prices and higher raw material costs. These factors indicated significant financial pressure on the company's core business. **4. Strategic Review and Divestitures.** Atkore announced it is evaluating strategic alternatives to focus on its core electrical infrastructure operations, including the potential divestiture of its HDPE pipe and conduit business. This strategic review, along with implemented headcount reductions and planned facility consolidations in 2026, aimed to improve the company's cost structure and position it for future success. However, the uncertainty surrounding these strategic initiatives contributed to investor caution. **5. Resilient Safety & Infrastructure Segment.** Despite overall challenges, Atkore's Safety & Infrastructure segment showed some resilience, with net sales increasing by 4.0% and Adjusted EBITDA surging by 80.0% in the fourth quarter of 2025. This positive performance in one of its segments, driven by volume growth and lower input costs, provided a partial offset to the weaker results in the larger Electrical segment.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ATKR Return | 2% | 170% | 2% | 41% | -47% | -22% | 63% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 69% | 1% | 42% | 19% | 24% | 277% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ATKR Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 67% | 42% | 60% | 65% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ATKR Max Drawdown | -70% | 0% | -36% | 0% | -48% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -4% | -23% | -4% | -9% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ETN, HUBB, NVT, NUE, AYI. See ATKR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ATKR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 261.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 363 days | 120 days |
Compare to NVT, ENS, BDC, VICR, BLDP
In The Past
Atkore's stock fell -42.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/6/2022. A -42.3% loss requires a 73.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Atkore Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Atkore Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| ATKR's 23% Decline in a Month Brings Valuations Into Focus - Is CHTR a Better Deal? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| ATKR Drops 23% in a Month, But Does WLFC Offer Better Fundamentals? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Atkore Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| Better Bet Than ATKR Stock: Pay Less Than Atkore To Get More From CHTR, IBKR | |||
| ATKR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Atkore Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -41.4% in 2024 and 0.2% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Atkore (ATKR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Atkore (ATKR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Should You Pick Atkore Stock At $90? | November 25th, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ATKR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 08312024 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -33.6% | -36.5% | -43.8% |
| 09302022 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 80.5% | 91.7% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 08312024 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -33.6% | -36.5% | -43.8% |
| 09302022 | ATKR | Atkore | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 80.5% | 91.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Atkore
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 238.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.1 |
| Rev LTM | 5,016 |
| Op Inc LTM | 879 |
| FCF LTM | 469 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 631 |
| CFO LTM | 808 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 749 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 19.1 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 23.7 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 20.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 102.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrical | 2,355 | 2,675 | 3,014 | 2,230 | 1,268 |
| Safety & Infrastructure | 849 | 844 | 900 | 698 | 497 |
| Eliminations | -2 | -0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 3,202 | 3,519 | 3,914 | 2,928 | 1,765 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrical | 1,774 | 1,715 | 1,525 | 1,123 | 795 |
| Safety & Infrastructure | 770 | 754 | 618 | 483 | 256 |
| Unallocated | 478 | 466 | 456 | 604 | 508 |
| Total | 3,021 | 2,935 | 2,599 | 2,210 | 1,559 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/20/2025 | 6.3% | 12.9% | |
| 8/5/2025 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.8% |
| 4/21/2025 | 10.5% | 11.9% | 20.8% |
| 2/4/2025 | 2.3% | 11.1% | 1.3% |
| 11/21/2024 | 5.3% | 10.8% | -2.3% |
| 8/6/2024 | -4.6% | -6.4% | -15.8% |
| 5/7/2024 | 2.1% | 0.8% | -8.0% |
| 2/1/2024 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 16.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -3.9% | -3.6% |
| Max Positive | 10.5% | 16.7% | 27.0% |
| Max Negative | -8.6% | -8.1% | -15.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11262025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2042025 | 10-Q 12/27/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11212024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11172023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-Q 12/30/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11182022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/24/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/25/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1312022 | 10-Q 12/24/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |