Ardent Health (ARDT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.95 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities
Ardent Health (ARDT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.95Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11% | Key risksARDT key risks include [1] significant adverse accounting adjustments to revenue and liability reserves, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Key risksARDT key risks include [1] significant adverse accounting adjustments to revenue and liability reserves, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ARDT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As such, I am unable to provide information regarding the stock movement of Ardent Health (ARDT) for this period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARDT Return | � | � | � | � | � | -48% | � |
| Peers Return | 51% | 64% | -30% | 13% | 12% | 24% | 170% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARDT Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 40% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 65% | 45% | 55% | 55% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARDT Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -52% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -6% | -53% | -19% | -11% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCA, THC, UHS, CYH, SGRY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ARDT has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1100 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Ardent Health Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Ardent Health Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| How Does ARDT Stock Compare With Its Peers Right Now? | |||
| Day 8 of Gains Streak for Ardent Health Stock with 24% Return (vs. -26% YTD) [8/13/2025] | Notification | ||
| Ardent Health (ARDT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Ardent Health (ARDT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Ardent Health (ARDT) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Ardent Health (ARDT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Ardent Health (ARDT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Ardent Health (ARDT) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Ardent Health Stock To $12? | November 14th, 2025 | ||
| How Does ARDT Stock Compare With Its Peers Right Now? | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| ARDT Stock Up 24% after 8-Day Win Streak | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ARDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ardent Health
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 105.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.5 |
| Rev LTM | 14,818 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,516 |
| FCF LTM | 572 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 470 |
| CFO LTM | 1,221 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 983 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.5 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 5.7 |
| P/E | 9.2 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 9.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 68.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 9.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | -33.8% | -38.6% | -36.7% |
| 8/5/2025 | 6.1% | 17.1% | 20.8% |
| 2/26/2025 | 8.2% | 9.4% | -6.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| 8/14/2024 | 6.1% | 5.7% | 13.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 7.0% | 7.5% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -33.8% | -38.6% | -21.4% |
| Max Positive | 8.2% | 17.1% | 20.8% |
| Max Negative | -33.8% | -38.6% | -36.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 7182024 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
| 12312018 | 3062019 | S-1/A 12/31/2018 |
| 12312017 | 12212018 | S-1/A 12/31/2017 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |