Amplitude (AMPL)
Market Price (4/21/2026): $7.01 | Market Cap: $938.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Amplitude (AMPL)
Market Price (4/21/2026): $7.01Market Cap: $938.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Digital Transformation. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Product Analytics, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -96 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% Key risksAMPL key risks include [1] heavy dependence on its single analytics product and ability to retain/grow its customer base, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Digital Transformation. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Product Analytics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -96 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Key risksAMPL key risks include [1] heavy dependence on its single analytics product and ability to retain/grow its customer base, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Amplitude (AMPL) stock has lost about 40% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Weaker-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings and widening operating losses. Amplitude reported its fourth quarter 2025 results on February 18, 2026, with a diluted EPS of -$0.13, missing analyst estimates of approximately $0.046. While total revenue increased by 13.35% year-over-year to $88.6 million, it also fell short of the consensus estimate of $92.2 million. More significantly, the company's operating loss widened by 211.19% year-over-year to -$110.5 million, raising concerns about its profitability.
2. Disappointing 2026 financial outlook and sustained profitability concerns. The company's guidance for the first quarter of 2026 projected a non-GAAP operating loss between -$4.5 million and -$2.5 million. Furthermore, the full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating margin was forecast to be less than 5%, which is notably below the SaaS peer median of 23%, indicating persistent challenges in achieving robust profitability.
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1. Weaker-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings and widening operating losses. Amplitude reported its fourth quarter 2025 results on February 18, 2026, with a diluted EPS of -$0.13, missing analyst estimates of approximately $0.046. While total revenue increased by 13.35% year-over-year to $88.6 million, it also fell short of the consensus estimate of $92.2 million. More significantly, the company's operating loss widened by 211.19% year-over-year to -$110.5 million, raising concerns about its profitability.
2. Disappointing 2026 financial outlook and sustained profitability concerns. The company's guidance for the first quarter of 2026 projected a non-GAAP operating loss between -$4.5 million and -$2.5 million. Furthermore, the full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating margin was forecast to be less than 5%, which is notably below the SaaS peer median of 23%, indicating persistent challenges in achieving robust profitability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.5% change in AMPL stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -41.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.58 | 7.01 | -39.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 330 | 343 | 4.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.7 | 2.7 | -41.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 133 | 134 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -39.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPL | -39.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 7.4% | 28.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -34.6% change in AMPL stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.72 | 7.01 | -34.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 317 | 343 | 8.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.4 | 2.7 | -38.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 131 | 134 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -34.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPL | -34.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 31.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 9.9% | 27.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.2% change in AMPL stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.19 | 7.01 | -31.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 299 | 343 | 14.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.4 | 2.7 | -37.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 128 | 134 | -4.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPL | -31.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 49.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 50.5% | 47.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -43.6% change in AMPL stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.44 | 7.01 | -43.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 238 | 343 | 44.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.9 | 2.7 | -53.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 113 | 134 | -15.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -43.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AMPL | -43.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 44.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 108.9% | 41.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMPL Return | -3% | -77% | 5% | -17% | 10% | -39% | -87% |
| Peers Return | 32% | -56% | 90% | 66% | 22% | -25% | 68% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 89% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMPL Win Rate | 25% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 35% | 62% | 47% | 47% | 20% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMPL Max Drawdown | -10% | -79% | -26% | -39% | -27% | -52% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -62% | -8% | -23% | -29% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ADBE, DDOG, SNOW, HUBS, PLTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMPL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 843.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ADBE, DDOG, SNOW, HUBS, PLTR
In The Past
Amplitude's stock fell -89.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -89.4% loss requires a 843.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Amplitude (AMPL)
Amplitude, Inc. provides a digital optimization system to analyze customer behavior within digital products in the United States and internationally. It offers Amplitude analytics for insights of customer behavior; Amplitude Recommend, a no-code personalization solution that helps to increase customer engagement by adapting digital products and campaigns to every user based on behavior; Amplitude Experiment, an integrated solution that enables teams to determine and deliver the product experiences for their customers through A/B tests and controlled feature releases; Amplitude Behavioral Graph, a proprietary database for deep, real-time interactive behavioral analysis, and behavior-driven personalization instantly joining, analyzing, and correlating any customer actions to outcomes, such as engagement, growth, and loyalty; and data management, a real-time data layer for planning, integrating, and managing data sources to create a foundation with identity resolution, enterprise-level security, and privacy solutions. The company also provides customer support services related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support, and application training. It delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service model. The company was formerly known as Sonalight, Inc. and changed its name to Amplitude, Inc. in December 2014. Amplitude, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Amplitude:
- Amplitude is like Google Analytics for digital products.
- It's similar to Optimizely, but with built-in deep behavioral analytics and personalization for product experiences.
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Major Products and Services of Amplitude (AMPL):
- Amplitude Analytics: Provides insights into customer behavior within digital products.
- Amplitude Recommend: A no-code personalization solution that adapts digital products and campaigns to increase customer engagement.
- Amplitude Experiment: An integrated solution enabling teams to determine and deliver optimal product experiences through A/B tests and controlled feature releases.
- Amplitude Behavioral Graph: A proprietary database for deep, real-time interactive behavioral analysis and behavior-driven personalization.
- Data Management: A real-time data layer for planning, integrating, and managing data sources, including identity resolution, security, and privacy solutions.
- Customer Support Services: Provides support for initial implementation, ongoing assistance, and application training.
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Amplitude (AMPL) sells its digital optimization system primarily to other companies, operating on a business-to-business (B2B) software-as-a-service (SaaS) model. Its customers are typically companies across various industries that have digital products and services and seek to analyze customer behavior to improve engagement, growth, and loyalty. While Amplitude serves a broad range of organizations, some prominent companies that have been publicly identified as users or customers through Amplitude's own case studies, press releases, or industry reports include:- Atlassian (NASDAQ: TEAM)
- NBCUniversal (part of Comcast, NASDAQ: CMCSA)
- Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ: PTON)
- Shopify (NYSE: SHOP)
- T-Mobile US (NASDAQ: TMUS)
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Spenser Skates, Chief Executive Officer
Spenser Skates is the co-founder and CEO of Amplitude. He co-founded Amplitude (originally Sonalight) with Curtis Liu. Prior to Amplitude, Skates founded Sonalight, a voice recognition app that allowed users to text hands-free, which was backed by Y Combinator. The team later pivoted from Sonalight to found Amplitude. Amplitude has received funding from various venture capital firms including Benchmark, Battery, IVP, Sequoia, and GIC.
Andrew Casey, Chief Financial Officer
Andrew Casey joined Amplitude as Chief Financial Officer on August 1, 2024. He is responsible for leading Amplitude's financial strategy and operations. Prior to joining Amplitude, Casey served as CFO for Lacework, Inc., and WalkMe Ltd., where he led WalkMe's Initial Public Offering (IPO) and Lacework's successful acquisition by Fortinet. He has also held senior finance roles at prominent technology firms such as ServiceNow, Hewlett-Packard, NortonLifeLock (formerly Symantec), Oracle, and Sun Microsystems.
Curtis Liu, Chief Technology Officer
Curtis Liu is the co-founder and Chief Technology Officer of Amplitude. He co-founded Amplitude with Spenser Skates. He was also involved with their previous venture, Sonalight, a voice recognition app.
Nathaniel Crook, Chief Commercial Officer
Nathaniel Crook, currently the Chief Revenue Officer, is transitioning into the newly created role of Chief Commercial Officer. In this new position, he will take on many of the responsibilities previously held by the President, focusing on driving the company's commercial initiatives.
Thomas Hansen, President
Thomas Hansen serves as the President of Amplitude. He is scheduled to step down from his role on March 31, 2026, and will continue to assist the company in an advisory capacity until April 1, 2027.
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```htmlHere are the key risks to Amplitude's business:
- Data Privacy Concerns and Litigation: Amplitude faces ongoing class-action lawsuits alleging that its technology embedded in popular mobile apps surreptitiously collects and shares millions of consumers' geolocation and other sensitive data without consent. These lawsuits claim that Amplitude's business model relies on collecting and sharing this sensitive first-party consumer data with marketing platforms, which could result in significant legal costs and management distraction.
- Intense Competitive Pressure: The digital analytics and optimization market is highly competitive, with Amplitude facing rivals such as Google Analytics (especially Google Analytics 4, which could bundle advanced product analytics into a free tier), Mixpanel, Heap, and Adobe Analytics. This intense competition, coupled with broader volatility across growth equities and valuation reassessment cycles in the software sector, poses a structural risk to Amplitude's enterprise pricing power and market share.
- Path to Profitability and High Operating Expenses: Despite solid revenue growth, Amplitude has a history of widening net losses, with high operating expenses, particularly in sales and marketing (consuming over 50% of revenue in some quarters), posing a significant challenge to achieving consistent profitability. While the company has shown some positive non-GAAP operating income in recent periods and is targeting GAAP profitability, sustained losses and the need to manage escalating costs for data ingestion and infrastructure remain key financial risks.
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The continuous integration and enhancement of advanced behavioral analytics, experimentation, and personalization capabilities by large, diversified technology companies (such as Google, Adobe, and Salesforce) into their existing, widely adopted enterprise platforms. This trend could lead to a scenario where customers increasingly opt for consolidated solutions from a single vendor, diminishing the perceived value or necessity of a specialized, standalone digital optimization system like Amplitude.
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Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) operates within several significant addressable markets related to its digital optimization system. The company's management estimates its total addressable market (TAM) to be $37 billion. Key addressable markets for Amplitude's main products and services include:- Digital Optimization System: Amplitude's management estimates its total addressable market at $37 billion.
- Personalization Software Market: The global personalization software market was valued at USD 1.16 billion and is projected to reach USD 5.14 billion by the end of 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.7%. Other estimates indicate the market was approximately USD 11.98 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 45.07 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 20.83%. The U.S. Personalization Software Market represents approximately 42% of total software implementations worldwide.
- A/B Testing Software Market: The global A/B testing software market size was valued at approximately $1.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $3.8 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 13.5%. Another report estimates the global market at USD 8180 million in 2024, anticipated to reach USD 25816.9 million by 2032, with a CAGR of 15.45%. North America is identified as the largest regional market for A/B testing software.
- Behavior Analytics Market (including Customer Behavior Analytics): The global behavior analytics market size was estimated at USD 4.13 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 16.68 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 26.5%. Another projection sees the market expanding from USD 5.5 billion in 2024 to USD 13.4 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 19.5%. North America is the largest market for Customer Behavior Analytics, holding approximately 45% of the global share.
- Customer Data Platform (CDP) Market: The global customer data platform market size was estimated at USD 8.26 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 58.41 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 27.8%. Another source estimates the global market at USD 3.28 billion in 2025, growing to USD 17.03 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 19.60%. North America dominates the global customer data platform market.
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Amplitude (symbol: AMPL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Expansion within the Enterprise Customer Base and Multi-Product Adoption: Amplitude is focused on growing its enterprise customer base, defined as customers with Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) over $100,000 and particularly those exceeding $1 million. The company is emphasizing the expansion of existing customer relationships through the adoption of multiple Amplitude products, such as Analytics, Recommend, and Experiment. This strategy is reflected in an increase in dollar-based net retention rates and a significant portion of gross ARR being driven by expansions.
- Advancements in AI-driven "Agentic Analytics" and New AI Product Offerings: A significant driver is Amplitude's strategic push into AI, particularly through its "agentic analytics" platform. This includes the introduction of global and specialized AI agents, as well as the Model Context Protocol (MCP), which enables AI tools to interact directly with Amplitude's data for deeper insights. The company views AI as a structural tailwind and is investing in new AI-native capabilities, exemplified by its acquisition of InfiniGrow to enhance AI-native marketing analytics.
- New Pricing and Packaging Strategy: Amplitude has implemented a new pricing and packaging approach designed to simplify the customer experience and provide greater cost transparency and certainty. This approach retains events as the core billing metric while monetizing other products as an uplift on the core platform charge, aiming to reduce friction and encourage broader platform adoption.
- Continued Product Innovation and Platform Strategy: Beyond specific AI offerings, Amplitude is committed to ongoing product innovation and a comprehensive platform strategy. This involves enhancing its existing digital optimization system and launching new features that provide deeper insights into customer behavior. The company aims to consolidate the platform, enabling teams to move from insight to action more efficiently.
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Share Repurchases
- Amplitude announced a $50 million share repurchase program in the first quarter of 2025.
- On February 18, 2026, the board approved an additional $100 million share repurchase authorization, following $30.7 million of repurchases made in 2025.
- The $100 million share repurchase authorization represents up to 11.8% of Amplitude's outstanding shares.
Share Issuance
- Stock-based compensation expense and related employer payroll taxes amounted to $95.6 million for the full year 2025, compared to $102.6 million in 2024.
- For the first quarter of 2025, stock-based compensation expense and related employer payroll taxes were $21.8 million.
- Share dilution from stock-based compensation has been noted, with shares outstanding increasing from 110 million to 132 million over four years, representing approximately 5.5% annual dilution.
Outbound Investments
- Amplitude acquired InfiniGrow, an AI marketing analytics platform.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the most recent trailing twelve months were -$1.62 million.
- In the most recent quarter, capital expenditures totaled -$0.19 million.
- Capital expenditures primarily focus on purchases of property and equipment and capitalized internal-use software costs.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 150.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 49.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,951 |
| Op Inc LTM | -16 |
| FCF LTM | 1,016 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 840 |
| CFO LTM | 1,136 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 935 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 24.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 11.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 49.1 |
| P/S | 7.7 |
| P/Op Inc | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 92.1 |
| P/E | 115.9 |
| P/CFO | 37.1 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -30.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -14.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -32.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -37.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -84.9% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/28/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -47.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.95 | $9.95 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 0.8% | -29.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 68.5% | 54.4% |
| Downside Capture | 1.22 | 1.06 |
| Upside Capture | 134.53 | 146.00 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 26.3% | 40.8% |
AMPL Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.55 | 1.54 | 1.40 | 1.32 | 1.45 | 1.47 |
| Up Beta | -0.05 | -1.48 | 0.01 | 0.78 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| Down Beta | 0.10 | 1.16 | 0.48 | 0.71 | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Up Capture | 37% | 153% | 85% | 103% | 137% | 152% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 15 | 20 | 53 | 113 | 363 |
| Down Capture | 96% | 239% | 256% | 185% | 146% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 26 | 42 | 72 | 135 | 376 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMPL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPL | -17.5% | 54.6% | -0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 61.4% | 20.8% | 2.20 | 39.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.7% | 12.7% | 1.52 | 44.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.4% | 27.5% | 1.25 | -11.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.4% | 16.2% | 1.25 | -1.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 14.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.7% | -0.14 | 21.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMPL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPL | -34.2% | 64.1% | -0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.9% | 24.7% | 0.65 | 47.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 49.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.1% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 35.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.8% | 56.4% | 0.29 | 29.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AMPL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMPL | -18.9% | 64.1% | -0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.8% | 24.3% | 0.85 | 47.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 49.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 35.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 29.2% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/18/2026 | -0.3% | -7.2% | 0.4% |
| 11/5/2025 | 2.8% | 14.5% | 15.6% |
| 8/6/2025 | 3.1% | -4.7% | -6.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | 11.5% | 30.7% | 35.2% |
| 2/19/2025 | 21.9% | 7.8% | -0.5% |
| 11/7/2024 | -5.7% | -4.0% | 9.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | -0.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% |
| 5/9/2024 | -1.5% | -1.3% | -9.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.7% | -9.3% | -10.0% |
| Max Positive | 21.9% | 30.7% | 35.2% |
| Max Negative | -58.9% | -48.0% | -56.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 91.70 Mil | 92.70 Mil | 93.70 Mil | 3.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 90.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss) | -4.50 Mil | -3.50 Mil | -2.50 Mil | -177.8% | Lower New | Guidance: 4.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income (Loss) Per Share | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -133.3% | Lower New | Guidance: 0.04 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 390.00 Mil | 394.00 Mil | 398.00 Mil | 15.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 341.80 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss) | 7.00 Mil | 10.00 Mil | 13.00 Mil | 566.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income (Loss) Per Share | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.13 | 50.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.07 for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 89.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 91.00 Mil | 4.6% | Higher New | Actual: 86.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 3.50 Mil | 4.50 Mil | 5.50 Mil | Higher New | Actual: -0.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | ||
| Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Net Income Per Share | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 350.0% | Higher New | Actual: 0.01 for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue | 340.80 Mil | 341.80 Mil | 342.80 Mil | 1.5% | Higher New | Actual: 336.70 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 0.50 Mil | 1.50 Mil | 2.50 Mil | 200.0% | Higher New | Actual: 0.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Non-GAAP Net Income Per Share | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 16.7% | Higher New | Actual: 0.06 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skates, Spenser | Chief Executive Officer | Spouse | Sell | 12302025 | 12.00 | 100 | Form | ||
| 2 | Skates, Spenser | Chief Executive Officer | Spouse | Sell | 12292025 | 12.01 | 42,743 | Form | ||
| 3 | Schultz, Erica | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 10.88 | 10,000 | 108,758 | 1,249,695 | Form | |
| 4 | Schultz, Erica | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 10.23 | 10,000 | 102,295 | 1,098,710 | Form | |
| 5 | Skates, Spenser | Chief Executive Officer | Spouse | Sell | 11132025 | 10.99 | 400,000 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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