Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $217.12 | Market Cap: $353.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $217.12Market Cap: $353.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 86x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 80x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.4 Bil | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.4 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 86x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 80x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Record-breaking Financial Performance in Q2 and Q3 2025.
Advanced Micro Devices reported strong financial results in both the second and third quarters of 2025. The second quarter saw record revenue of $7.7 billion, a 32% year-over-year increase, driven by robust demand in server and PC processor sales, alongside record free cash flow. In the third quarter, the company continued this momentum with record revenue of $9.25 billion, marking a 36% year-over-year increase and exceeding analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. This growth was notably fueled by its data center, client, and gaming segments.
2. Strategic Partnership with OpenAI.
A significant catalyst for AMD's stock was the announcement on October 6, 2025, of a strategic multi-year, multi-generation agreement with OpenAI. This partnership involves supplying 6 gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs for OpenAI's next-generation AI infrastructure, with the first 1-gigawatt deployment of MI450 Series GPUs expected in the second half of 2026. This collaboration is viewed as a pivotal move to significantly increase AMD's share in the competitive AI market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMD Return | 100% | 57% | -55% | 128% | -18% | 79% | 371% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 31% | -31% | 78% | 8% | 36% | 219% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMD Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 43% | 28% | 55% | 40% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMD Max Drawdown | -16% | -20% | -61% | -4% | -19% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -6% | -39% | -3% | -29% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, INTC, MCHP, QRVO, AMBQ. See AMD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 189.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 461 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 128 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1030.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3556 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NVDA, INTC, MCHP, QRVO, AMBQ
In The Past
Advanced Micro Devices's stock fell -65.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -65.4% loss requires a 189.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312021 | AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -48.8% | -55.0% | -61.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312021 | AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -48.8% | -55.0% | -61.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Advanced Micro Devices
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 183.8 |
| Rev LTM | 18,120 |
| Op Inc LTM | 260 |
| FCF LTM | 644 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,807 |
| CFO LTM | 3,625 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,461 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 183.8 |
| P/S | 8.2 |
| P/EBIT | 53.2 |
| P/E | 44.5 |
| P/CFO | 41.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 31.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 19.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -27.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Center | 6,496 | 6,043 | 3,694 | ||
| Gaming | 6,212 | 6,805 | 5,607 | ||
| Embedded | 5,321 | 4,552 | 246 | ||
| Client | 4,651 | 6,201 | 6,887 | ||
| Computing and Graphics | 6,432 | 4,709 | |||
| Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom | 3,331 | 2,022 | |||
| Total | 22,680 | 23,601 | 16,434 | 9,763 | 6,731 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embedded | 2,628 | 2,252 | 44 | ||
| Data Center | 1,267 | 1,848 | 991 | ||
| Gaming | 971 | 953 | 934 | ||
| Client | -46 | 1,190 | 2,088 | ||
| All Other | -4,419 | -4,979 | -409 | -288 | -209 |
| Computing and Graphics | 1,266 | 577 | |||
| Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom | 391 | 263 | |||
| Total | 401 | 1,264 | 3,648 | 1,369 | 631 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-K 12/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
