AH Realty Trust (AHRT)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $5.78 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs
AH Realty Trust (AHRT)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $5.78Market Cap: $-Sector: Real EstateIndustry: Diversified REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, and ESG REITs. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% | Key risksAHRT key risks include [1] direct exposure to facility operational performance for over half its portfolio through its RIDEA structures and [2] tenant financial viability being tied to government healthcare reimbursement programs. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, and ESG REITs. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110% |
| Key risksAHRT key risks include [1] direct exposure to facility operational performance for over half its portfolio through its RIDEA structures and [2] tenant financial viability being tied to government healthcare reimbursement programs. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic portfolio repositioning through significant asset sales created near-term market uncertainty. AH Realty Trust announced an agreement to sell an 11-asset multifamily portfolio for $562 million, and separately completed the sale of two multifamily real estate financing investments for an aggregate of $63 million, with proceeds primarily allocated to debt reduction and share repurchases. This substantial divestiture, impacting a core segment of the company's holdings, could have introduced investor apprehension regarding the future composition and revenue streams of its portfolio.
2. Negative performance within key real estate sectors impacted investor sentiment. While the broader U.S. REIT market saw mixed results in Q1 2026, the apartment REIT index experienced a 7.6% decline, and the office REIT index, another of AH Realty Trust's segments, declined significantly by 12.8%. These sector-specific downturns likely contributed to the downward pressure on AH Realty Trust's stock, given its exposure to these property types.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AHRT | -9.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 20.3% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 7.6% | 40.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AHRT | -12.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 17.8% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 4.2% | 41.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AHRT | -14.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 43.4% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 6.6% | 55.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AHRT | -37.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 41.1% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 27.9% | 59.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AHRT Return | 42% | -20% | 15% | -11% | -30% | -10% | -27% |
| Peers Return | 55% | -14% | -8% | 16% | -13% | 17% | 44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AHRT Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 45% | 45% | 58% | 42% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AHRT Max Drawdown | -4% | -30% | -9% | -18% | -38% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -2% | -24% | -24% | -15% | -28% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CTO, GOOD, PINE, NXDT, OLP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/15/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AHRT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -7.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 120 days |
Compare to CTO, GOOD, PINE, NXDT, OLP
In The Past
AH Realty Trust's stock fell -35.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -35.2% loss requires a 54.4% gain to breakeven.
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About AH Realty Trust (AHRT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Imagine a company like Simon Property Group, but instead of shopping malls and retail centers, they own hospitals, doctor's offices, and senior living facilities.
They're similar to Marriott International, but for healthcare properties rather than hotels, owning the real estate and sometimes managing the senior care operations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Leasing Medical Office Buildings (MOBs): Providing specialized commercial real estate spaces for healthcare providers under lease agreements.
- Operating Integrated Senior Health Campuses: Managing and operating facilities that offer a continuum of senior care, from independent living to skilled nursing, predominantly through RIDEA structures.
- Operating Senior Housing Facilities (SHOP): Managing and operating various senior housing options, including independent living, assisted living, and memory care, through RIDEA structures.
- Leasing Senior Housing Facilities: Providing senior housing properties to third-party operators under triple-net lease agreements.
- Leasing Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNFs): Providing specialized facilities for skilled nursing and rehabilitative care to third-party operators under triple-net lease agreements.
- Leasing Hospital Properties: Providing acute care, long-term acute care, specialty, and rehabilitation hospital facilities to tenants or operators under triple-net lease structures.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AH Realty Trust (AHRT) primarily serves individuals within its Integrated Senior Health Campuses and Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) segments, which together comprise over 53% of its portfolio by aggregate contract purchase price. In these segments, utilizing RIDEA structures, the company participates in the operational performance, and services are primarily paid for by residents or their private insurance.
The up to three categories of individual customers it serves are:
- Independent Living residents: Individuals who are generally self-sufficient but seek the amenities and community of senior housing.
- Assisted Living residents: Individuals who require assistance with daily activities such as eating, bathing, dressing, and/or medication management.
- Residents requiring specialized care: This category includes individuals needing memory care due to cognitive impairments, as well as those requiring 24-hour skilled nursing care for rehabilitation or complex medical needs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
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Key Risks to AH Realty Trust (AHRT)
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Direct Exposure to Healthcare Facility Operational Risks through RIDEA Structures: For a significant portion of its portfolio, including Integrated Senior Health Campuses (35.5%) and SHOP (17.9%), AH Realty Trust utilizes RIDEA structures. This arrangement means the company directly participates in the operational performance of these healthcare facilities, bearing the risk of any decline in their operating performance. This exposes AHRT to fluctuations in occupancy rates, staffing costs, regulatory changes, competition, and other operational challenges inherent in managing healthcare facilities.
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Reliance on Government Reimbursement Programs: Tenants in AH Realty Trust's Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNFs) (5.5%) and Hospitals (3.2%) segments derive a substantial portion of their revenue from government reimbursement programs such as Medicare and Medicaid. Consequently, AHRT is exposed to the risk of changes in government healthcare policies, reimbursement rates, and funding levels. Any adverse revisions to these programs could significantly impact the financial viability of its tenants, potentially affecting their ability to meet lease obligations.
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Tenant Default and Lease Non-Renewal Risk: Across its triple-net leased properties, including MOBs, Senior Housing—Leased, SNFs, and Hospitals, AH Realty Trust faces the risk of tenant defaults or non-renewal of leases. Factors such as a tenant's financial performance, increased competition, or adverse changes in the healthcare operating environment could lead to an inability to pay rent or a decision not to extend lease agreements. Additionally, the fixed annual rent escalations (historically 2% to 3% per year) in many of its leases may not always keep pace with inflation or market rate increases, potentially impacting future revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Clear emerging threats for AH Realty Trust (AHRT) include:
- Expansion of Telehealth and Virtual Care: This trend reduces the necessity for in-person visits to medical offices and hospitals, potentially decreasing demand for physical space in their Medical Office Buildings (MOBs) and hospitals.
- Accelerated Shift to Home-Based Healthcare: A growing preference and capability to deliver skilled nursing and post-acute care in patients' homes, rather than in institutional settings, could diminish the demand for Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNFs) and certain hospital services.
- Advancements in Aging-in-Place Technologies and In-Home Support Services: Innovations that allow seniors to live independently and safely in their own homes for longer periods may reduce the demand for dedicated senior housing facilities, including integrated senior health campuses, SHOP, and senior housing—leased properties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Addressable Market Sizes for AH Realty Trust's Main Products and Services
United States
- Overall Healthcare Real Estate: The U.S. healthcare real estate industry is projected to reach an estimated revenue of US$2,270.4 million by 2030. North America, which includes the U.S., accounted for 50.03% of the global healthcare real estate market in 2025.
- Medical Office Buildings (MOBs): The U.S. medical office buildings market generated a revenue of USD 14,083.8 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 22,042.6 million by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.6% from 2024 to 2030. There are approximately 42,260 MOBs in the United States, representing 1.6 billion square feet. Investment in the U.S. medical office sector rebounded to $14.4 billion in 2024.
- Senior Living/Senior Housing (including Integrated Senior Health Campuses, SHOP, and Senior Housing—Leased): The U.S. senior living market size was valued at USD 943.90 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1.33 trillion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.47% from 2026 to 2033. The construction of senior living and retirement communities in the U.S. healthcare real estate sector is projected to expand at a robust CAGR of 9.6% from 2026 to 2033. Senior living transaction volume reached just over $24 billion by year-end 2025.
- Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNFs): The U.S. skilled nursing facilities market size was estimated at USD 199.72 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 290.02 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.39% from 2025 to 2033. The U.S. skilled nursing facility and rehabilitation market size was exhibited at USD 254.95 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 388.42 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 4.3% during the forecast period 2026 to 2035.
- Hospitals: Hospital real estate accounted for a market share of 32.80% in the global healthcare real estate market in 2025. There are 7,273 hospitals in the United States, comprising 1.9 billion square feet.
United Kingdom
- Medical Office Buildings (MOBs): The medical office buildings market in the UK is expected to reach a projected revenue of US$3,797.1 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.5% from 2024 to 2030.
- Senior Housing (Care Homes): Care home occupancy rates in the UK reached 88.3% in 2024, an increase from 86.4% in 2023. The total pipeline of seniors homes across the UK is 30,000 homes, with nearly 13,000 currently under construction. Investment in UK care homes rose 356% year-on-year in Q4 2025.
Isle of Man
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AI Analysis | Feedback
AH Realty Trust (AHRT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Acquisitions of Healthcare Real Estate Properties: As a self-managed REIT that acquires, owns, and operates a diversified portfolio of clinical healthcare real estate, AHRT's management team has a long-standing track record of overseeing significant healthcare real estate investments. This ongoing strategy of acquiring high-quality, well-positioned assets with growth potential is a fundamental driver of increasing revenue.
- Fixed Annual Rent Escalations: A significant portion of AHRT's portfolio, including Medical Office Buildings (MOBs), Senior Housing—Leased facilities, and Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNFs), operates under leases that typically include fixed annual rent escalations, historically ranging from 2% to 3% per year. These contractual increases provide a stable and predictable source of revenue growth.
- Improved Operational Performance of RIDEA-structured Properties: For its Integrated Senior Health Campuses and SHOP (Senior Housing Operating Portfolio) segments, AHRT utilizes a RIDEA (REIT Investment Diversification and Empowerment Act) structure. This arrangement allows the company to participate in the upside from improved operational performance, meaning increased occupancy, higher rates, and efficient management in these facilities can directly translate into revenue growth.
- New Leasing and Rent Commencements: Even within existing properties, new leasing activity and the commencement of rent for new or renewed leases contribute to revenue expansion. For example, in Q4 2025, retail same-store Net Operating Income (NOI) saw an increase driven by new leasing and rent commencements, along with positive renewal spreads. This indicates an ongoing ability to generate growth from their existing portfolio through leasing efforts.
- Future Developments and Construction Business: AHRT's forward-looking statements mention its "construction business" as contributing to future performance. Additionally, for its integrated senior health campuses, the company has exclusive rights to future opportunities identified by the Trilogy Manager, including future developments. This suggests that developing new facilities or expanding existing ones will add to the revenue-generating asset base.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | SBAC | SBA Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| 03132026 | HIW | Highwoods Properties | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.1% |
| 03062026 | ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.8% |
| 03062026 | VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -3.5% | -3.5% | -8.3% |
| 02272026 | KRC | Kilroy Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 97 |
| Op Inc LTM | 33 |
| FCF LTM | 38 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 41 |
| CFO LTM | 38 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 41 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 32.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 42.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 13.7 |
| P/E | 18.8 |
| P/CFO | 10.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 6.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| D/E | 1.3 |
| Net D/E | 1.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 31.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -40.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.87 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/07/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.94 | $6.36 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.2% | -7.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.2% | 29.8% |
| Downside Capture | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| Upside Capture | -81.89 | 26.08 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 17.8% | 32.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.70 | 0.42 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| Up Beta | -1.18 | 1.55 | 1.23 | 0.94 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| Down Beta | 1.35 | 1.22 | 1.39 | 1.05 | 0.88 | 0.85 |
| Up Capture | -37% | -96% | -45% | -18% | 23% | 22% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 118 | 362 |
| Down Capture | 108% | 71% | 49% | 35% | 79% | 96% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 32 | 65 | 121 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AHRT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHRT | -4.8% | 29.8% | -0.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 14.7% | 13.8% | 0.76 | 50.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.0% | 12.9% | 1.36 | 34.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.0% | 27.5% | 1.44 | -5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.0% | 16.1% | 1.38 | 0.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.3% | 13.7% | 0.92 | 54.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.6% | -0.14 | 15.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AHRT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHRT | -8.7% | 27.5% | -0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 4.8% | 19.0% | 0.16 | 64.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.9% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 50.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.9% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 16.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 68.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.1% | 56.5% | 0.31 | 19.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AHRT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHRT | -0.6% | 33.5% | 0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.6% | 20.4% | 0.28 | 67.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 53.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 20.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 72.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 15.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/17/2026 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -46.6% |
| 11/3/2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8/4/2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2/19/2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11/4/2024 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5/9/2024 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Median Negative | -31.2% | -29.0% | |
| Max Positive | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Negative | -31.2% | -46.6% | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbush, Frederick Blair | Direct | Buy | 3042026 | 6.19 | 10,000 | 61,900 | 239,459 | Form | |
| 2 | Wimbush, Frederick Blair | Direct | Buy | 1202026 | 6.63 | 328 | 2,173 | 190,066 | Form | |
| 3 | Wimbush, Frederick Blair | Direct | Buy | 10062025 | 6.97 | 520 | 3,627 | 183,749 | Form | |
| 4 | Apperson, Eric E | President of Construction | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 7.12 | 48,837 | 347,902 | 75,850 | Form |
| 5 | Wimbush, Frederick Blair | Direct | Buy | 7092025 | 6.94 | 475 | 3,299 | 166,239 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
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| FinViz |
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