Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $7.045 | Market Cap: $564.7 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs
Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $7.045Market Cap: $564.7 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Diversified REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 278% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -49% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | Key risksAHH key risks include [1] challenges refinancing upcoming debt maturities at potentially unfavorable rates, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include ESG REITs, Green Building Certification, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include ESG REITs, Green Building Certification, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 278% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -49% |
| Key risksAHH key risks include [1] challenges refinancing upcoming debt maturities at potentially unfavorable rates, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AHH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH) experienced a -2.2% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. This period included the company's third-quarter 2025 earnings report and several dividend announcements.
Here are key points explaining the stock's movement:
1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report: Armada Hoffler Properties reported normalized funds from operations (FFO) of $0.29 per diluted share for Q3 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company also reported strong occupancy rates across its retail, office, and multifamily segments. However, the GAAP net loss was $0.04 per diluted share. While operational metrics were strong, the financial health indicators, such as a low Altman Z-Score and high debt-to-equity ratio, suggested potential financial risks, which could have contributed to investor caution.
2. Decline in Normalized FFO Year-over-Year and Increased Interest Expense: Despite exceeding Q3 expectations, the normalized FFO of $0.29 per diluted share for Q3 2025 represented a decline from $0.35 in the prior year. This decrease was primarily attributed to a reduction in gross profit from general contracting and real estate services, alongside an increase in interest expense. This suggests that while core operations were performing well, external factors and other business segments faced headwinds.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AHH Return | -36% | 42% | -20% | 15% | -11% | -27% | -45% |
| Peers Return | � | 47% | -30% | 1% | 10% | -15% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AHH Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 72% | 35% | 47% | 55% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AHH Max Drawdown | -60% | -4% | -30% | -9% | -18% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -9% | -40% | -26% | -20% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALEX, GOOD, OLP, PINE, SQFT. See AHH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AHH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 191 days | 120 days |
Compare to ALEX, GOOD, OLP, PINE, SQFT
In The Past
Armada Hoffler Properties's stock fell -35.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -35.2% loss requires a 54.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AHH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Armada Hoffler Properties
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.92 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 126 |
| Op Inc LTM | 45 |
| FCF LTM | 45 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 42 |
| CFO LTM | 51 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 55 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 29.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 44.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 33.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 9.6 |
| P/E | 15.9 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| D/E | 1.5 |
| Net D/E | 1.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -23.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -7.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -35.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -77.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General Contracting and Real Estate Services | 413 | 235 | 92 | 217 | 106 |
| Retail Real Estate | 100 | 86 | 79 | 73 | 78 |
| Office Real Estate | 83 | 74 | 47 | 43 | 33 |
| Multifamily Real Estate | 56 | 59 | 66 | 50 | 40 |
| Real Estate Financing | 14 | 16 | |||
| Other | 1 | ||||
| Interest income | 1 | ||||
| Total | 667 | 471 | 284 | 384 | 257 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Real Estate | 12 | ||||
| General Contracting and Real Estate Services | 12 | ||||
| Real Estate Financing | 9 | ||||
| Multifamily Real Estate | 7 | ||||
| Office Real Estate | -14 | ||||
| Other | -20 | ||||
| Total | 8 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -0.9% | -3.9% | 0.2% |
| 8/4/2025 | -0.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | -1.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| 2/19/2025 | -1.6% | -0.3% | -15.2% |
| 11/4/2024 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| 8/7/2024 | -0.5% | -1.5% | 3.1% |
| 5/9/2024 | -0.6% | 0.4% | -5.1% |
| 2/22/2024 | -1.8% | -5.9% | -3.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 16 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.2% | -3.8% | -5.9% |
| Max Positive | 3.1% | 12.6% | 18.3% |
| Max Negative | -4.7% | -13.4% | -17.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Apperson Eric E. | President of Construction | 8192025 | Sell | 7.12 | 48,837 | 347,902 | 75,850 | Form |
| 1 | Wimbush Frederick Blair | 7092025 | Buy | 6.94 | 475 | 3,299 | 166,239 | Form | |
| 2 | KIRK A RUSSELL | 4072025 | Buy | 7.24 | 954 | 6,904 | 363,788 | Form | |
| 3 | Wimbush Frederick Blair | 4072025 | Buy | 7.42 | 183 | 1,360 | 158,194 | Form | |
| 4 | KIRK A RUSSELL | 3272025 | Buy | 7.73 | 50,000 | 386,300 | 922,716 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |