Tearsheet

Advantage Solutions (ADV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.9587 | Market Cap: $312.5 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising

Advantage Solutions (ADV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.9587
Market Cap: $312.5 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Advertising

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 1.0
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.82
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 296%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.82
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 1.0
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 296%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ADV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Missed Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Estimates. Advantage Solutions (ADV) reported a significant miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue for the third quarter of 2025. The company announced an EPS of $0.06, substantially lower than the consensus analyst estimate of $0.24. Additionally, quarterly revenue came in at $915.0 million, falling short of analyst projections of $933.56 million to $942.9 million.

2. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook. Following the third-quarter results, Advantage Solutions reaffirmed its revenue guidance but modestly lowered its Adjusted EBITDA outlook for the full fiscal year 2025. The company cited the impact of its Acxion divestiture and a challenging macroeconomic environment as reasons for this reduced profitability expectation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ADV Return27%-39%-74%74%-19%-69%-91%
Peers Return94%12%-23%25%16%-28%73%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ADV Win Rate58%25%25%67%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate50%51%40%58%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ADV Max Drawdown-21%-47%-77%-45%-24%-69% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-18%-43%-14%-19%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventADVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1059.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven43 days148 days

Compare to DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI


In The Past

Advantage Solutions's stock fell -91.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2021. A -91.4% loss requires a 1059.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Advantage Solutions (ADV)

Better Bets than Advantage Solutions (ADV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ADV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Advantage Solutions

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ADVDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameAdvantag.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
Mkt Price0.9610.8238.6171.00-14.3814.38
Mkt Cap0.31.818.813.89.02.15.5
Rev LTM3,5037332,79116,06510,3457033,147
Op Inc LTM27805282,1411,45086307
FCF LTM-31416781,668840161420
FCF 3Y Avg771236001,297790164382
CFO LTM311768811,826959222551
CFO 3Y Avg1201517311,411948215473

Growth & Margins

ADVDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameAdvantag.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
Rev Chg LTM-4.5%14.9%20.8%4.1%-5.2%6.3%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.1%20.1%23.5%4.0%-1.3%7.7%5.9%
Rev Chg Q-2.6%11.2%17.7%4.0%-6.4%10.8%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%2.7%4.2%1.0%-1.6%2.6%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM0.8%10.9%18.9%13.3%14.0%12.2%12.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.1%12.7%14.6%14.1%13.5%-5.2%13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%-0.9%1.2%-0.6%0.6%1.1%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM0.9%24.0%31.6%11.4%9.3%31.7%17.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.3%23.6%32.0%9.1%8.9%32.8%16.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.1%19.2%24.3%10.4%8.1%22.9%14.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.1%19.2%26.6%8.4%7.4%25.0%13.8%

Valuation

ADVDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameAdvantag.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
Mkt Cap0.31.818.813.89.02.15.5
P/S0.12.68.61.00.94.41.8
P/EBIT-3.723.045.37.29.736.716.4
P/E-2.043.454.511.820.453.731.9
P/CFO16.111.027.18.79.414.012.5
Total Yield-48.9%2.3%1.8%11.9%10.4%1.9%2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%3.5%5.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.0%4.7%1.8%7.6%7.3%10.0%7.5%
D/E3.40.10.00.40.50.20.3
Net D/E3.0-0.1-0.00.20.30.00.1

Returns

ADVDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameAdvantag.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
1M Rtn-24.4%-3.6%-21.4%-2.8%--18.9%-18.9%
3M Rtn-43.2%-32.2%-28.2%-8.4%--41.4%-32.2%
6M Rtn-23.2%-26.5%-49.2%1.6%--13.8%-23.2%
12M Rtn-73.6%-47.3%-72.3%-29.2%--15.7%-47.3%
3Y Rtn-60.1%-60.8%-29.1%-0.4%-13.6%-29.1%
1M Excs Rtn-24.3%-3.5%-21.4%-2.7%--18.9%-18.9%
3M Excs Rtn-50.1%-34.4%-31.0%-14.9%--47.5%-34.4%
6M Excs Rtn-37.9%-41.3%-64.0%-13.1%--28.5%-37.9%
12M Excs Rtn-86.6%-60.3%-83.5%-43.4%--27.9%-60.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-131.9%-129.7%-94.0%-72.5%--29.9%-94.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Branded Services1,758    
Experiential Services1,159    
Retailer Services982    
Marketing 1,5431,2781,0951,830
Sales 2,5072,3242,0611,955
Total3,9004,0503,6023,1563,785


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Branded Services27    
Retailer Services16    
Experiential Services3    
Marketing -11648486
Sales -1,32318363128
Total47-1,43923067214


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,279,317
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.4%
Average Daily Volume672,571
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.82
Basic Shares Quantity325,921,176
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023301202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KILTS JAMES M 6102025Buy1.299,70012,4851,767,806Form
1KILTS JAMES M 6062025Buy1.295,4947,1031,742,727Form
2KILTS JAMES M 6042025Buy1.2116,49119,8731,589,788Form
3KILTS JAMES M 6022025Buy1.2811,40014,5701,639,929Form
4KILTS JAMES M 5292025Buy1.2710,00312,7061,436,050Form