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Axcelis Technologies (ACLS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $86.33 | Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Axcelis Technologies (ACLS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $86.33
Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 114%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  Key risks
ACLS key risks include [1] over-reliance on a potentially peaking SiC/EV ion implant supercycle, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 114%
7 Key risks
ACLS key risks include [1] over-reliance on a potentially peaking SiC/EV ion implant supercycle, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACLS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Axcelis Technologies reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations for both earnings per share and revenue.

The company announced non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.21, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.02, and reported revenue of $213.6 million, outperforming the analyst forecast of $204.1 million. This strong performance led to a positive market reaction, with shares advancing by nearly 3.8% in pre-market trading following the announcement on November 4, 2025. 2. The announcement of a merger with Veeco Instruments served as a significant catalyst for the stock.

On November 4, 2025, Axcelis revealed its merger with Veeco Instruments, an strategic move anticipated to leverage powerful industry trends such as artificial intelligence (AI) and electrification. This merger is expected to establish a leading semiconductor equipment company with enhanced capabilities and a strong financial foundation for sustainable growth. 3. Axcelis Technologies provided a positive outlook and guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025 and anticipated a market recovery in 2026.

Following its strong third-quarter results, the company projected revenues of approximately $215 million for the fourth quarter ending December 31, 2025. Management also expressed expectations for a recovery in the memory market during 2026, driven by increased investments in DRAM and HBM, further boosting investor confidence. 4. A substantial institutional investor purchase by REINHART PARTNERS, LLC. during the third quarter of 2025 indicated strong institutional confidence.

An SEC filing dated October 28, 2025, disclosed that REINHART PARTNERS, LLC. acquired 91,788 shares of Axcelis Technologies, representing an estimated trade value of approximately $7.39 million. This significant investment made Axcelis Technologies the fund's largest holding, signaling strong belief in the company's future prospects. 5. The stock experienced periods of volatility and broader market sentiment influenced its movement during the period.

While the Q3 earnings and merger news led to an upward surge, the stock had experienced declines in the month leading up to the November 4th announcement. For instance, as of October 27, 2025, shares were down 7.6% for the year, and on December 15, 2025, the overall sentiment was bearish with 4.99% price volatility over the preceding 30 days.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACLS Return21%156%6%63%-46%24%258%
Peers Return41%76%-31%81%-0%58%386%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACLS Win Rate67%67%42%58%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%72%35%68%47%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACLS Max Drawdown-44%-2%-36%-1%-47%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%0%-46%-2%-10%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, VECO, ONTO. See ACLS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACLSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven164 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven109 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven160.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven568 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4723.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5117 days1480 days

Compare to ACA, RUN, GFF, ENOV, AZTA


In The Past

Axcelis Technologies's stock fell -41.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/24/2022. A -41.9% loss requires a 72.1% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Axcelis Technologies (ACLS)

Better Bets than Axcelis Technologies (ACLS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
ACLS_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025ACLSAxcelis TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.5%27.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
ACLS_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025ACLSAxcelis TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.5%27.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Axcelis Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACLSAMATLRCXKLACVECOONTOMedian
NameAxcelis .Applied .Lam Rese.KLA Veeco In.Onto Inn. 
Mkt Price81.68248.43155.021,172.8929.23147.59151.31
Mkt Cap2.6162.9196.0154.51.87.280.9
Rev LTM85328,36819,59212,5246811,0026,763
Op Inc LTM1388,4706,4665,231691692,700
FCF LTM1245,6985,5503,873552612,067
FCF 3Y Avg1666,9264,9643,413472051,809
CFO LTM1387,9586,3844,248732892,269
CFO 3Y Avg1828,4455,5313,737682331,985

Growth & Margins

ACLSAMATLRCXKLACVECOONTOMedian
NameAxcelis .Applied .Lam Rese.KLA Veeco In.Onto Inn. 
Rev Chg LTM-20.7%4.4%25.7%22.1%-3.9%6.4%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.6%3.2%4.0%8.7%2.0%1.4%2.6%
Rev Chg Q-16.7%-3.5%27.7%13.0%-10.2%-13.5%-6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.8%-0.9%6.3%3.0%-2.7%-3.3%-1.8%
Op Mgn LTM16.1%29.9%33.0%41.8%10.1%16.8%23.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.1%29.2%30.2%38.9%10.5%17.7%24.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.7%-0.3%1.0%0.5%-1.7%-2.1%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM16.1%28.1%32.6%33.9%10.7%28.9%28.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.9%30.9%32.5%34.0%10.0%24.8%27.9%
FCF/Rev LTM14.5%20.1%28.3%30.9%8.0%26.1%23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.4%25.4%29.3%31.1%7.0%21.7%23.5%

Valuation

ACLSAMATLRCXKLACVECOONTOMedian
NameAxcelis .Applied .Lam Rese.KLA Veeco In.Onto Inn. 
Mkt Cap2.6162.9196.0154.51.87.280.9
P/S3.65.78.611.42.76.36.0
P/EBIT18.8-25.327.534.137.527.5
P/E22.523.329.133.637.136.231.4
P/CFO22.220.526.533.525.121.923.6
Total Yield4.4%5.1%4.1%3.7%2.7%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.7%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.3%-4.4%3.6%2.7%2.8%3.6%
D/E0.0-0.00.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.1--0.00.0-0.1-0.2-0.1

Returns

ACLSAMATLRCXKLACVECOONTOMedian
NameAxcelis .Applied .Lam Rese.KLA Veeco In.Onto Inn. 
1M Rtn1.4%8.6%5.3%3.5%2.4%15.9%4.4%
3M Rtn-10.3%39.7%27.6%18.7%7.7%27.2%23.0%
6M Rtn22.1%44.4%68.7%35.2%44.5%52.2%44.5%
12M Rtn9.2%47.3%101.1%80.6%4.4%-14.3%28.2%
3Y Rtn0.3%143.7%260.3%213.3%50.8%107.3%125.5%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%7.9%4.6%2.7%1.7%15.2%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-16.8%29.8%21.8%10.9%1.6%18.3%14.6%
6M Excs Rtn9.7%32.0%56.3%22.8%32.1%39.8%32.1%
12M Excs Rtn-2.6%37.1%94.1%69.9%-5.5%-22.8%17.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.5%64.9%177.3%132.8%-14.6%21.9%43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ion implantation systems and services1,111898646457326
Other systems and services1922171817
Total1,131920662475343


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,071,565
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.7%
Average Daily Volume469,204
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.68
Basic Shares Quantity31,287,000
Short % of Basic Shares13.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-2.7%5.7%7.7%
8/5/202510.1%10.0%11.0%
5/6/20255.0%19.3%18.0%
2/10/2025-12.3%-6.1%-12.1%
11/6/2024-1.0%-9.4%-15.6%
7/31/2024-10.7%-18.7%-13.4%
5/1/20244.9%9.6%10.6%
2/7/2024-7.0%-8.3%-14.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121315
# Negative12119
Median Positive6.1%9.6%10.6%
Median Negative-5.1%-8.3%-12.6%
Max Positive12.8%21.7%37.3%
Max Negative-13.8%-18.7%-16.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KURTZWEIL JOHN T5212025Sell61.931,682104,1662,170,646Form