Tearsheet

Archer Aviation (ACHR)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $8.225 | Market Cap: $5.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Archer Aviation (ACHR)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $8.225
Market Cap: $5.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and EV Manufacturing.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -619 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
3   Short seller report
Grizzly Reports report on 8/27/2025.
4   Key risks
ACHR key risks include [1] its pre-revenue status with high cash burn, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and EV Manufacturing.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -619 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
7 Short seller report
Grizzly Reports report on 8/27/2025.
8 Key risks
ACHR key risks include [1] its pre-revenue status with high cash burn, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACHR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Archer Aviation (ACHR) stock moved by -8.8% between August 31, 2025, and December 20, 2025:

1. Regulatory Delays for UAE Commercial Operations: Reports in October 2025 indicated that full certification for passenger flights in the UAE, a crucial market for Archer, was likely to be delayed until 2026 due to longer-than-anticipated regulatory review times. Such delays in the Type Inspection Authorization (TIA) process significantly impacted Archer's 2025 launch timeline, creating volatility for investors.

2. Continued Significant Operating Losses: As a pre-revenue company, Archer Aviation continued to report substantial operating losses. In its Q2 2025 earnings report (issued August 11, 2025), the company reported a GAAP net loss of $206.0 million. Furthermore, for Q3 2025 (reported November 6, 2025), while meeting EPS consensus, the projected Adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter was between $110 million and $130 million, indicating a sustained high capital burn rate.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACHR Return-40%-69%228%59%-20%
Peers Return50%-2%30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACHR Win Rate42%25%67%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate42%50%33%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACHR Max Drawdown-46%-73%-3%-53%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-49%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JOBY, EVEX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACHRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven951.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven12 days148 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, APEX, BETA, GE


In The Past

Archer Aviation's stock fell -90.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/18/2021. A -90.5% loss requires a 951.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Archer Aviation (ACHR)

Better Bets than Archer Aviation (ACHR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACHR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Archer Aviation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACHRJOBYEVEXMedian
NameArcher A.Joby Avi.Eve  
Mkt Price8.1614.224.808.16
Mkt Cap5.412.01.65.4
Rev LTM02300
Op Inc LTM-619-663-198-619
FCF LTM-487-533-183-487
FCF 3Y Avg-398-434-133-398
CFO LTM-408-477-173-408
CFO 3Y Avg-337-387-129-337

Growth & Margins

ACHRJOBYEVEXMedian
NameArcher A.Joby Avi.Eve  
Rev Chg LTM-1,934.5%-1,934.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg----
Rev Chg Q-80,521.4%-80,521.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-23,006.1%-23,006.1%
Op Mgn LTM--2,926.6%--2,926.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg----
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-647,806.1%-647,806.1%
CFO/Rev LTM--2,107.5%--2,107.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----
FCF/Rev LTM--2,352.7%--2,352.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg----

Valuation

ACHRJOBYEVEXMedian
NameArcher A.Joby Avi.Eve  
Mkt Cap5.412.01.65.4
P/S-530.4-530.4
P/EBIT-8.7-18.1-8.2-8.7
P/E-8.6-11.4-7.8-8.6
P/CFO-13.2-25.2-9.0-13.2
Total Yield-11.6%-8.8%-12.8%-11.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-21.0%-8.0%-10.6%-10.6%
D/E0.00.00.10.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.1-0.2-0.2

Returns

ACHRJOBYEVEXMedian
NameArcher A.Joby Avi.Eve  
1M Rtn9.2%4.0%24.0%9.2%
3M Rtn-17.2%-14.2%20.0%-14.2%
6M Rtn-18.7%66.5%-8.7%-8.7%
12M Rtn-3.1%96.7%3.9%3.9%
3Y Rtn318.5%312.2%-36.1%312.2%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%1.1%21.1%6.3%
3M Excs Rtn-16.7%-12.4%14.7%-12.4%
6M Excs Rtn-31.8%53.7%-24.7%-24.7%
12M Excs Rtn-23.2%59.6%-13.8%-13.8%
3Y Excs Rtn215.7%211.2%-107.9%211.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment55457476842
Total55457476842


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity91,273,703
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.6%
Average Daily Volume49,258,520
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.85
Basic Shares Quantity660,887,146
Short % of Basic Shares13.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-7.9%-10.4%-2.8%
8/11/20257.4%3.2%-13.5%
5/12/202522.9%25.4%34.0%
2/11/2025-8.9%4.6%-26.7%
11/7/202411.1%22.6%123.4%
8/8/2024-8.8%-6.5%-17.8%
5/9/2024-3.2%1.1%-12.5%
2/26/2024-2.4%-8.9%-2.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive796
# Negative869
Median Positive11.1%4.6%30.1%
Median Negative-4.3%-7.7%-13.5%
Max Positive22.9%52.9%123.4%
Max Negative-8.9%-11.2%-26.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021