Tearsheet

Accel Entertainment (ACEL)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $11.055 | Market Cap: $936.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Accel Entertainment (ACEL)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $11.055
Market Cap: $936.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
Key risks
ACEL key risks include [1] adverse regulatory and tax changes in its key states, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Markets & Betting, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Regulated Gaming, and Experiential Retail.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Markets & Betting, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Regulated Gaming, and Experiential Retail.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
4 Key risks
ACEL key risks include [1] adverse regulatory and tax changes in its key states, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACEL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Accel Entertainment's Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss

Accel Entertainment reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.16, which missed analyst expectations of $0.20 or $0.21. This earnings miss led to an immediate 0.6% after-hours stock decline to $9.99 on November 4, 2025, indicating investor concern despite a 9.1% increase in revenue.

2. Analyst Concerns Over Slowing Growth in Illinois

On December 16, 2025, Truist Securities initiated coverage of Accel Entertainment with a 'Hold' rating, citing expectations of slowing growth in Illinois, which represents 75% of the company's revenue base. This cautious outlook from analysts can contribute to negative stock sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACEL Return-19%29%-41%33%4%5%-10%
Peers Return19%104%-14%10%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACEL Win Rate33%67%25%58%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%67%44%56%53%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACEL Max Drawdown-55%-7%-44%0%-7%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-79%-11%-38%-21%-19%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GDEN, LNW, INSE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven173 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-5.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven8 days120 days

Compare to CHDN, BYD, MCRI, FLL, LVS


In The Past

Accel Entertainment's stock fell -47.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2022. A -47.1% loss requires a 89.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Accel Entertainment (ACEL)

Better Bets than Accel Entertainment (ACEL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.3%13.3%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.4%15.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.7%16.7%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.3%13.3%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.4%15.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.7%16.7%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Accel Entertainment

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACELGDENLNWINSEMedian
NameAccel En.Golden E.Light & .Inspired. 
Mkt Price11.0428.05-9.1311.04
Mkt Cap0.90.77.20.30.8
Rev LTM1,3076433,221310975
Op Inc LTM99408303870
FCF LTM39543891846
FCF 3Y Avg5240266846
CFO LTM1339567758114
CFO 3Y Avg13410253745118

Growth & Margins

ACELGDENLNWINSEMedian
NameAccel En.Golden E.Light & .Inspired. 
Rev Chg LTM8.0%-12.2%1.9%4.9%3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.5%-15.9%10.3%5.4%7.9%
Rev Chg Q9.1%-4.0%2.9%11.7%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%-1.0%0.8%3.0%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM7.6%6.3%25.8%12.3%9.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.3%8.2%23.3%11.5%9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.5%1.1%1.1%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM10.2%14.8%21.0%18.6%16.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%12.3%17.3%14.6%13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%8.4%12.1%5.7%7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.3%4.9%8.5%2.4%4.6%

Valuation

ACELGDENLNWINSEMedian
NameAccel En.Golden E.Light & .Inspired. 
Mkt Cap0.90.77.20.30.8
P/S0.71.02.20.90.9
P/EBIT9.417.38.87.59.1
P/E21.5113.217.74.819.6
P/CFO7.06.510.44.76.8
Total Yield4.7%5.2%5.7%21.0%5.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.5%5.2%3.6%2.6%4.4%
D/E0.60.80.71.40.8
Net D/E0.30.70.71.20.7

Returns

ACELGDENLNWINSEMedian
NameAccel En.Golden E.Light & .Inspired. 
1M Rtn7.5%-6.9%-17.4%7.5%
3M Rtn1.1%16.2%--1.0%1.1%
6M Rtn-1.5%2.3%-21.9%2.3%
12M Rtn-3.2%-12.8%-0.7%-3.2%
3Y Rtn43.9%-20.8%--27.0%-20.8%
1M Excs Rtn6.5%-7.9%-16.4%6.5%
3M Excs Rtn-2.6%13.9%--3.5%-2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-15.2%-11.4%-8.2%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-19.0%-24.2%--12.5%-19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.7%-96.0%--98.2%-96.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Distributed gaming1,170    
Amusement 2117910
Automated teller machine (ATM) fees and other 161278
Manufacturing 8   
Net gaming 925706301411
Total1,170970735316429


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Distributed gaming46    
Total46    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,576,290
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.7%
Average Daily Volume336,978
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.68
Basic Shares Quantity84,719,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20252.1%3.4%5.4%
8/5/2025-15.3%-9.0%-7.3%
2/27/2025-8.0%-13.2%-14.9%
7/30/202410.1%-4.7%4.9%
5/8/2024-14.6%-15.3%-12.5%
2/28/20247.4%6.4%11.8%
11/7/20235.7%7.1%-3.4%
8/3/20237.7%1.7%6.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12108
# Negative7911
Median Positive4.1%4.1%7.1%
Median Negative-14.6%-9.0%-7.3%
Max Positive16.6%24.2%61.0%
Max Negative-21.1%-35.6%-20.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ruttenberg David W. 9162025Sell11.1112,500138,8302,755,887Form
1Ruttenberg David W. 8182025Sell11.1012,500138,7542,893,127Form
2Rubenstein Andrew H.CEO and President7302025Sell13.0815,000196,14651,886,292Form
3Rubenstein Andrew H.CEO and President7212025Sell12.5515,000188,31950,004,143Form
4Ruttenberg David W. 7172025Sell12.0912,500151,1713,303,213Form