Tearsheet

Accel Entertainment (ACEL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.6 | Market Cap: $898.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Accel Entertainment (ACEL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.6
Market Cap: $898.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Markets & Betting, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Regulated Gaming, and Experiential Retail.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Markets & Betting, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Regulated Gaming, and Experiential Retail.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACEL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Accel Entertainment (ACEL) stock moved by -10.2% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss: Accel Entertainment reported diluted earnings per share of $0.16 for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, falling short of the consensus estimate of $0.214. This miss on profitability could have contributed to negative investor sentiment, despite the company also reporting strong revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth for the quarter.

2. Miss on Adjusted Operating Income Estimates for Q3 2025: In addition to the EPS miss, Accel Entertainment also did not meet analysts' adjusted operating income estimates for the third quarter of 2025. This indicates that while revenue increased, the company's operating efficiency or profitability at that level did not align with market expectations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACEL Return-19%29%-41%33%4%-3%-17%
Peers Return23%54%-7%3%3%5%98%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACEL Win Rate33%67%25%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%40%48%53%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACEL Max Drawdown-55%-7%-44%0%-7%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-66%-15%-32%-16%-18%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CHDN, BYD, MCRI, FLL, LVS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven173 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-5.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven8 days120 days

Compare to CHDN, BYD, MCRI, FLL, LVS


In The Past

Accel Entertainment's stock fell -47.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2022. A -47.1% loss requires a 89.0% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Accel Entertainment (ACEL)

Better Bets than Accel Entertainment (ACEL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Accel Entertainment

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACELCHDNBYDMCRIFLLLVSMedian
NameAccel En.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Full Hou.Las Vega. 
Mkt Price10.42113.3081.3896.182.7166.3773.87
Mkt Cap0.98.06.61.80.145.34.2
Rev LTM1,3072,8844,07154030012,2642,096
Op Inc LTM9972594110232,817414
FCF LTM39265412122-61,215194
FCF 3Y Avg52124504113-931,389118
CFO LTM133804963164132,734484
CFO 3Y Avg134722940158132,715440

Growth & Margins

ACELCHDNBYDMCRIFLLLVSMedian
NameAccel En.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Full Hou.Las Vega. 
Rev Chg LTM8.0%8.0%5.9%4.6%7.4%8.4%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.5%20.2%5.0%4.8%21.1%51.6%17.3%
Rev Chg Q9.1%8.7%4.5%3.6%3.0%24.2%6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%1.9%1.1%0.9%0.8%5.6%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM7.6%25.1%23.1%19.0%1.0%23.0%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.3%25.0%25.1%21.3%3.4%21.0%21.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.2%-0.6%0.4%1.0%1.1%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM10.2%27.9%23.7%30.5%4.3%22.3%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%27.2%24.3%30.6%4.7%25.4%24.8%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%9.2%10.1%22.7%-2.2%9.9%9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.3%4.3%13.1%21.9%-40.7%13.0%8.6%

Valuation

ACELCHDNBYDMCRIFLLLVSMedian
NameAccel En.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Full Hou.Las Vega. 
Mkt Cap0.98.06.61.80.145.34.2
P/S0.72.41.73.60.43.02.0
P/EBIT9.48.22.718.9-2,069.912.88.8
P/E21.517.03.723.4-2.923.619.2
P/CFO7.08.57.311.89.113.48.8
Total Yield4.7%5.9%27.0%5.4%-34.6%6.4%5.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%1.1%0.0%2.2%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.5%1.6%8.0%7.7%-61.5%3.8%4.7%
D/E0.60.70.40.04.60.40.5
Net D/E0.30.70.3-0.04.30.30.3

Returns

ACELCHDNBYDMCRIFLLLVSMedian
NameAccel En.Churchil.Boyd Gam.Monarch .Full Hou.Las Vega. 
1M Rtn4.9%14.4%2.5%7.4%12.4%8.3%7.8%
3M Rtn-9.3%11.1%-5.7%-7.0%-21.0%20.9%-6.3%
6M Rtn-6.3%18.0%11.6%15.9%-12.3%66.3%13.7%
12M Rtn-13.8%-20.1%9.9%12.0%-40.0%24.2%-1.9%
3Y Rtn23.0%3.7%42.5%30.9%-62.8%45.7%27.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.7%13.2%1.2%6.1%11.2%7.0%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn-15.0%4.8%-11.5%-11.1%-26.1%18.3%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn-21.8%2.5%-3.9%0.5%-27.8%50.9%-1.7%
12M Excs Rtn-24.7%-33.9%-3.9%0.8%-54.6%9.9%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.6%-70.6%-33.5%-45.1%-136.9%-17.6%-47.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Distributed gaming1,170    
Amusement 2117910
Automated teller machine (ATM) fees and other 161278
Manufacturing 8   
Net gaming 925706301411
Total1,170970735316429


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Distributed gaming46    
Total46    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,477,146
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202513.8%
Average Daily Volume349,081
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.23
Basic Shares Quantity84,719,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ruttenberg David W. 9162025Sell11.1112,500138,8302,755,887Form
1Ruttenberg David W. 8182025Sell11.1012,500138,7542,893,127Form
2Rubenstein Andrew H.CEO and President7302025Sell13.0815,000196,14651,886,292Form
3Rubenstein Andrew H.CEO and President7212025Sell12.5515,000188,31950,004,143Form
4Ruttenberg David W. 7172025Sell12.0912,500151,1713,303,213Form