TTD Stock Falls -26% In 8-day Losing Spree On Wave Of Analyst Target Cuts
Trade Desk (TTD) – a cloud-based platform for managing data-driven digital advertising campaigns – hit a 8-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to -26%. The company’s market cap has crashed by about $4.7 Bil over the last 8 days and currently stands at $13 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 28.4% compared to 1.1% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Multiple Analyst Price Target Cuts and Downgrades
- Cash Machine Trading Cheap – Trade Desk Stock Set to Run?
- PepsiCo Stock Pays Out $38 Bil – Investors Take Note
- AT&T Stock Pays Out $58 Bil – Investors Take Note
- Caterpillar Stock Shares $38 Bil Success With Investors
- S&P Global Stock Hits Key Support – Buying Opportunity?
- Aptiv Stock Testing Price Floor – Buy Now?
- Keybanc Slashed Price Target by 55% to $40
- CFRA Downgraded Rating to Hold
- Impact: Sharp Increase in Selling Pressure, Stock Price Hit New 52-Week Lows
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in TTD stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Considering stock’s Moderate valuation, we think it is Attractive (For details, see Buy or Sell TTD).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -26% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for TTD stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | TTD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -8.6% | -0.8% |
| 8D (Current Streak) | -26.2% | 0.1% |
| 1M (21D) | -27.9% | 0.9% |
| 3M (63D) | -45.9% | 1.1% |
| YTD 2026 | -28.4% | 1.1% |
| 2025 | -67.7% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 63.3% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 60.5% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: TTD Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 79 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 57 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 29 | 23 |
| 4D | 31 | 9 |
| 5D | 15 | 7 |
| 6D | 1 | 11 |
| 7D or more | 3 | 7 |
| Total >=3 D | 79 | 57 |
Key Financials for Trade Desk (TTD)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.9 Bil | $2.4 Bil |
| Operating Income | $200.5 Mil | $427.2 Mil |
| Net Income | $178.9 Mil | $393.1 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $694.0 Mil | $739.4 Mil |
| Operating Income | $116.8 Mil | $161.2 Mil |
| Net Income | $90.1 Mil | $115.5 Mil |
The losing streak TTD stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.