How Will JB Hunt Transport Services Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
JB Hunt Transport Services (NASDAQ:JBHT) is set to report its earnings on Thursday, January 15, 2026. The company has $20 Bil in current market capitalization. Revenue over the last twelve months was $12 Bil, and it was operationally profitable with $826 Mil in operating profits and net income of $573 Mil. While the post-earnings stock reaction will depend on how the results and outlook stack up against investor expectations, a detailed look at historical results can aid you if you are an event-driven trader.
Here is how: either understand the historical odds and position yourself prior to the earnings announcement, or look at the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns post earnings and enter a trade one day after the announcement.
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JB Hunt Transport Services’s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
- There are 20 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 13 positive and 7 negative one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 65% of the time.
- However, this percentage decreases to 50% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5.
- Median of the 13 positive returns = 1.7%, and median of the 7 negative returns = -7.4%
Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below.
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/15/2025 | 22.1% | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| 7/15/2025 | 1.7% | 2.1% | -1.7% |
| 4/15/2025 | -7.7% | -3.5% | 9.8% |
| 1/16/2025 | -7.4% | -8.7% | -6.2% |
| 10/15/2024 | 3.1% | 0.6% | 8.6% |
| 7/16/2024 | -6.9% | -6.2% | -6.8% |
| 4/16/2024 | -8.1% | -8.4% | -8.2% |
| 1/18/2024 | 0.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% |
| 10/17/2023 | -8.8% | -11.9% | -7.0% |
| 7/18/2023 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| 4/17/2023 | -1.0% | -0.1% | -3.0% |
| 1/18/2023 | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% |
| 10/18/2022 | 0.0% | -0.4% | 7.7% |
| 7/19/2022 | -0.8% | -2.9% | 8.4% |
| 4/18/2022 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.6% |
| 1/18/2022 | 0.1% | -2.3% | -4.5% |
| 10/15/2021 | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.9% |
| 7/19/2021 | 2.9% | 3.7% | 9.7% |
| 4/15/2021 | 1.4% | -0.1% | 4.1% |
| 1/19/2021 | 1.0% | -3.4% | -0.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| # Negative | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.7% | 4.7% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -3.4% | -5.4% |
| Max Positive | 22.1% | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| Max Negative | -8.8% | -11.9% | -8.2% |
Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns
A relatively less risky strategy (though not useful if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, find a pair that has the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For example, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves “long” for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
| History | 1D_5D Returns | 1D_21D Returns | 5D_21D Returns |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5Y History | 0.2% | -27.1% | -30.6% |
| 3Y History | -4.7% | -40.5% | -40.6% |
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