CMG’s 13% Decline in a Day Brings Valuations Into Focus – Is QSR a Better Deal?
QSR offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation.
- QSR’s quarterly revenue growth was 21.3%, vs. CMG’s 6.4%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 22.4%, ahead of CMG’s 12.6%.
- QSR leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 26.4% and 3-year average of 29.2%.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| CMG | QSR | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 30.6 | 9.9 | QSR |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 6.4% | 21.3% | QSR |
| Last 12 Months | 12.6% | 22.4% | QSR |
| Last 3 Year Average | 13.7% | 14.1% | QSR |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 17.6% | 26.4% | QSR |
| Last 3 Year Average | 16.6% | 29.2% | QSR |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 69.7% | 48.5% | CMG |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: CMG Revenue Comparison | QSR Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: CMG Operating Income Comparison | QSR Operating Income Comparison
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Historical Market Performance
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| CMG Return | 66% | 26% | -21% | 65% | 32% | -12% | 234% | <=== | |
| QSR Return | -0% | 3% | 11% | 25% | -14% | 11% | 28% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 94% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| CMG Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 54% | ||
| QSR Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 51% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| CMG Max Drawdown | -44% | -6% | -31% | -2% | -3% | -24% | -18% | ||
| QSR Max Drawdown | -55% | -9% | -22% | -6% | -15% | -7% | -19% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year