Better Bet Than Salesforce Stock: Pay Less To Get More From YOU, IDCC

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Trefis
CRM: Salesforce logo
CRM
Salesforce

YOU, IDCC are CRM’s peers in Application Software industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/EBIT) compared to CRM
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying YOU, IDCC stocks vs. CRM

Key Metrics Compared

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Metric CRM YOU IDCC
P/OpInc* 31.2x 20.3x 12.5x
LTM OpInc Growth 20.2% 132.5% 126.9%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 475.5% 91.5% 72.5%
LTM Revenue Growth 8.0% 21.6% 33.5%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 11.4% 40.8% 22.9%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/EBIT = Price To Operating Income Ratio

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Salesforce stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Salesforce in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Salesforce would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric CRM YOU IDCC
P/OpInc* 30.8x 15.1x 7x
LTM OpInc Growth 27.8% 511.7% 98.3%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 163.2% 205.0% 65.9%
LTM Revenue Growth 8.7% 25.6% 58.0%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 12.7% 46.0% 28.6%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric CRM YOU IDCC
P/S 6.4x 3.5x 7.1x
Market Cap (Current) $ 247.3 Bil $ 2.8 Bil $ 5.8 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 38.59 Bil $ 802.81 Mil $ 815.48 Mil
LTM Opinc $ 7.93 Bil $ 136.91 Mil $ 467.61 Mil
LTM Op Margin 20.5% 17.1% 57.3%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.