How Will Altria Perform In Q2 2016?

+5.60%
Upside
43.30
Market
45.73
Trefis
MO: Altria Group logo
MO
Altria Group

Altria (NYSE:MO) is expected to announce its second quarter results on July 27, 2016.

Altria Q2 Pre Earnings

Key Factors That May Affect The Quarter:

1) Solid Tone Set In Q1 2016

  • Revenue, net of excise increased 6%.
  • Impressive growth in the smokable products segment resulted in a growth of 5.3%, benefiting from cost cutting measures and higher pricing.
  • Despite moderate cigarette industry volumes declines, Altria managed to increase volumes, due to market share gains and an additional shipping day.
  • Higher net pricing and greater volume helped in the growth of the smokeless products segment.
  • The national expansion of Copenhagen Mint also aided in higher volumes. Copenhagen was the fastest-growing smokeless brand and the largest, growing its retail share by 1.1 percentage points to 32.4%.

Altria Q1 Segment Information

2) Growth Expected In The E-Cigarette Market

  • Altria has become a significant player in this arena.
  • However, despite big brands like MarkTen and Green Smoke, revenue from this segment is very small.
  • The company has expanded the distribution of such products in several lead markets, which should drive sales.
  • Partnership with Philip Morris may help to promote products which use the heat-not-burn technology.

3) Minimal Impact Of Foreign Currency Fluctuations

  • In the aftermath of the Brexit, a number of companies that have a high exposure to the UK or the EU were faced with massive currency headwinds.
  • As Altria only conducts domestic sales, it is immune to the strengthening of the dollar, or weakening of the pound or euro.
  • Furthermore, given the clout of the tobacco lobbies, it will be difficult to pass laws such as the plain packaging ones in the US. As a result, Altria is less susceptible to the risk plaguing a number of its competitors with international operations.
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Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Altria.
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