Xometry Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go?

XMTR: Xometry logo
XMTR
Xometry

Xometry (XMTR) stock is down 6.0% in 5 trading days. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around elusive profitability and stretched valuation in its AI marketplace, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Xometry stands today.

  • Size: Xometry is a $3.0 Bil company with $643 Mil in revenue currently trading at $59.47.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 22.4% and operating margin of -7.5%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.32
  • Valuation: Xometry stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of -48.1 and P/EBIT multiple of -52.0
  • Has returned (median) 2.5% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See XMTR Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Moderate operational performance, alongside Moderate valuation – making the stock Fairly Priced. For details, see Buy or Sell XMTR Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is XMTR stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose XMTR stock falls another 20-30% to $42 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

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2022 Inflation Shock

  • XMTR stock fell 85.6% from a high of $87.39 on 30 June 2021 to $12.58 on 4 May 2023 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
  • The highest the stock has reached since then is $66.39 on 10 November 2025 , and currently trades at $59.47

  XMTR S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -85.6% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery Not Fully Recovered 464 days

 
Feeling jittery about XMTR stock? Consider portfolio approach.

Portfolios Over Individual Stock Picks

Individual stocks can soar or tank but one thing matters: staying invested. The right portfolio can help you stay invested, capture upside and mitigate the downside associated with any individual stock.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.