Warner Music vs Netflix: Which Stock Could Rally?
Warner Music fell -5.6% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Netflix gives you more. Netflix (NFLX) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Warner Music (WMG) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in NFLX
- NFLX’s quarterly revenue growth was 17.2%, vs. WMG’s 8.7%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 15.4%, ahead of WMG’s 1.4%.
- NFLX leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 29.1% and 3-year average of 24.4%.
These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how WMG’s fundamentals stack up against those of NFLX on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.
Valuation & Performance Overview
| WMG | NFLX | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 60.1 | 35.9 | NFLX |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 8.7% | 17.2% | NFLX |
| Last 12 Months | 1.4% | 15.4% | NFLX |
| Last 3 Year Average | 3.7% | 11.4% | NFLX |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 13.7% | 29.1% | NFLX |
| Last 3 Year Average | 13.7% | 24.4% | NFLX |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | -3.7% | 267.0% | NFLX |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: WMG Revenue Comparison | NFLX Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: WMG Operating Income Comparison | NFLX Operating Income Comparison
See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell NFLX Stock and Buy or Sell WMG Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.
Historical Market Performance
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| WMG Return | – | 15% | -17% | 4% | -11% | -4% | -15% | ||
| NFLX Return | 67% | 11% | -51% | 65% | 83% | 20% | 231% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| WMG Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 42% | 60% | 53% | ||
| NFLX Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 83% | 60% | 60% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | 64% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| WMG Max Drawdown | – | -16% | -47% | -30% | -22% | -15% | -22% | ||
| NFLX Max Drawdown | -8% | -10% | -72% | -1% | -4% | -7% | -17% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/24/2025 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read NFLX Dip Buyer Analyses and WMG Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.
Still not sure about WMG or NFLX? Consider portfolio approach.
Portfolios Win When Stock Picks Fall Short
Individual picks can be volatile but staying invested is what matters. A diversified portfolio helps you stay the course, capture upside and reduce downside
The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.