Viasat Stock (+13%): EPS Surprise & Gov’t Wins Fuel Rally

Viasat (VSAT) surged +13% on aggressive volume, ostensibly driven by a significant fiscal Q2 adjusted EPS beat that overshadowed a slight revenue miss. The move was sharp and decisive, breaking through recent consolidation. But with insiders consistently selling and a mixed retail narrative, is this a sustainable re-rate on fundamental strength or a speculative liquidity grab?

The fundamental narrative is shifting from a simple satellite operator to a key government contractor with improved profitability. This is underpinned by a major defense contract and early signs of successful Inmarsat integration.

• A $568M, 5-year GSA contract to support Special Operations Forces was announced.
• Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.09 decisively beat estimates of a -$0.06 loss, signaling cost controls are taking hold.

But here is the interesting part. You are reading about this 13% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. High Quality Portfolio has flagged 5 new opportunities that haven not surged yet.

Trade Mechanics & Money Flow

Trade Mechanics: What Happened?

The mechanics of the move suggest a combination of short-covering and a chase for upside exposure, evident in the elevated volume and options structure.

• Trading volume on January 6th was approximately 2.8M shares, a significant increase over the prior day’s 1.36M.
• With a short float of roughly 9-12% and days-to-cover around 9.4, the sharp price increase likely forced some shorts to cover.
• January 2026 options show significant open interest in both calls and puts, indicating a polarized view.

How Is The Money Flowing?

The footprint reveals a battle between institutional accumulation and insider distribution, with retail investors caught in the middle of a powerful technical breakout.

• Institutions like BlackRock have been adding to their positions.
• Conversely, insiders, including the CEO and SVP, have been notable sellers in recent months.
• The stock has gained over 300% in the past year, likely attracting significant retail attention.

Understanding trade mechanics, money flow, and price behavior can give you and edge. See more.

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What Next?

FOLLOW. The combination of a significant government contract win and tangible progress on the Inmarsat integration provides a solid fundamental underpinning to the recent price action, suggesting this is more than just a short-term squeeze. While insider selling warrants caution, the institutional buying and improving profitability metrics indicate a potential re-rating of the stock. Watch for the $45.00 level, which aligns with the median analyst price target and represents a key psychological resistance. A sustained break above this level could signal a new leg up as the market prices in the long-term earnings power of the combined Viasat-Inmarsat entity.

That’s for now, but so much more goes into evaluating a stock from long-term investment perspective. We make it easy with our Investment Highlights

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