Viavi Solutions Stock Climbs 24% On An 11-Day Winning Streak

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Viavi Solutions (VIAV) stock is on an 11-day winning streak, up 24.2% since the run began. That added about $2.0 billion to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $10.0 billion. The stock closed at $41.92 on Wednesday, September 30, 24.2% below its 52-week high of $55.33 and 241.6% above its low of $12.27.

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How The Streak Stacks Up Against The S&P 500

Returns for VIAV and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Wednesday, September 30 and including dividends:
 

Return Period VIAV S&P 500
1 Day 0.2% -0.2%
11 Days (Current Streak) 24.2% 0.9%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 15.5% -0.3%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) -10.9% 2.5%
Year To Date 135.2% 12.7%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 234.2% 16.2%

Is This Move About Viavi Solutions Or The Market?

The market explains little of this: the S&P 500 gained 0.9% over the same 11 sessions, including dividends, against Viavi Solutions’ +24.2%. Over the past three months the stock is down 10.9%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 52 sessions of that window it was down 28.3%.

Do The Fundamentals Support The Run?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 40.0% over the last twelve months, against a median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Information Technology stocks; and its operating margin is 8.0%, versus a median of 21.6%. Viavi Solutions does not have positive trailing earnings, so there is no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple to compare. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median on one side, margins below the median on the other.

If you are looking for strength with more behind it than a hot tape, our Guidance Momentum screen surfaces the names where management raised its own outlook.

Momentum Is A Tailwind, Not A Plan

Riding a stock that rises every day feels effortless, and that is precisely the danger: the same momentum that built this run can reverse without notice, and one name’s reversal should never be able to reset your whole year.

That is what the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio is for: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive momentum’s mood swings, held with rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Watch the runs; own the resilience.