United States Antimony Stock Pre-Market (-9.5%): US Govt. Backs Off Critical Mineral Price Guarantees

UAMY, a mining and manufacturing company that produces and sells antimony, zeolite, and precious metals, is trading down sharply after reports the US government is shelving plans for critical mineral price floors, a significant sector headwind. This macro shock is overshadowing positive company-specific news on a new Bolivian processing facility. Will the structural fear dominate the session?

The sell-off is not driven by company-specific news but by a structural, sector-wide catalyst. A report from Reuters indicates the US administration is abandoning plans to guarantee minimum prices for critical minerals.

• This directly impacts the long-term profitability thesis for UAMY and peers, removing a key government backstop.
• The market is ignoring a positive January 28th announcement of a new Bolivian hydromet facility coming online.
• This policy shift introduces significant uncertainty into future revenue and margin projections for domestic projects.

But here is the interesting part. You are reading about this -9.5% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.

Playbook On Market Open

The session will be a battle between the negative macro catalyst and the company’s positive underlying fundamentals. The key is whether the government price floor news is confirmed or walked back.

• BULL CASE (Gap & Go): The government report is nuanced or downplayed, causing a reversal. Buyers step in, focusing on the strong operational news from the new Bolivian facility, and the stock reclaims its opening losses.
• BEAR CASE (Gap & Fade): The price floor removal is confirmed, leading to analyst downgrades for the sector. The pre-market gap down holds, and any rally attempts are sold into as investors re-price the stock on lower margin outlook.
• Volume will be key; high volume on a continued sell-off would confirm the bear case, while a bounce on heavy volume could signal a reversal.

Verdict

FADE THE GAP: PIVOT at $9.00. If the price reclaims and holds above $9.00, the initial panic may be fading, and we can look to play a recovery. If it breaks and stays below, the macro headwind is in control, and we fade any bounces.
Understanding price behavior can give you an edge. See more.

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