TRI Stock Falls -25% In A 7-day Losing Spree On Major Analyst Price Target Cut
Thomson Reuters (TRI) – a provider of legal, tax, accounting, and news services. – hit a 7-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to -25%. The company’s market cap has crashed by about $14 Bil over the last 7 days and currently stands at $41 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 30.3% compared to 1.1% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] National Bankshares Price Target Reduction
- Kraft Heinz Stock Delivers Strong Cash Yield – Upside Ahead?
- Stronger Bet Than Synopsys Stock: APP Delivers More
- FIX Looks Smarter Buy Than Quanta Services Stock
- Stronger Bet Than Nike Stock: TPR, RL Deliver More
- Better Value & Growth: TOST Leads ServiceNow Stock
- Stronger Bet Than Starbucks Stock: CMG, YUM Deliver More
- Price target cut to C$190 from C$300
- Stock traded as low as C$124.13
- Impact: Sharp single-day price decline of over 15%, Increased trading volume
[2] Pre-Earnings Institutional Selling
- Stock fell steadily in the week prior to the downgrade
- Q4 2025 earnings announcement scheduled for February 5, 2026
- Impact: Sustained price decline over multiple days, Negative market sentiment
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is a near-equal mix of good and bad in TRI stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. This is aligned with the stock’s Moderate valuation because of which we think it is Fairly Priced (For details, see Buy or Sell TRI).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -25% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for TRI stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | TRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -15.7% | -0.8% |
| 7D (Current Streak) | -25.5% | 0.0% |
| 1M (21D) | -27.2% | 0.9% |
| 3M (63D) | -39.7% | 1.1% |
| YTD 2026 | -30.3% | 1.1% |
| 2025 | -16.6% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 11.1% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 30.1% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: TRI Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 79 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 57 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 29 | 23 |
| 4D | 31 | 9 |
| 5D | 15 | 7 |
| 6D | 1 | 11 |
| 7D or more | 3 | 7 |
| Total >=3 D | 79 | 57 |
Key Financials for Thomson Reuters (TRI)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $6.8 Bil | $7.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.9 Bil | $1.9 Bil |
| Net Income | $2.7 Bil | $2.2 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.8 Bil | $1.8 Bil |
| Operating Income | $443.0 Mil | $598.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $313.0 Mil | $423.0 Mil |
The losing streak TRI stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.