Sezzle Stock Pre-Market (+16%): Blowout Q4 Earnings & Raised 2026 Guidance
Sezzle (SEZL) is surging +16% pre-market after delivering a strong Q4 earnings beat and raising its full-year 2026 outlook. The print showcases significant top and bottom-line growth, fueling bullish sentiment. Can this momentum clear prior resistance and signal a new leg up?
This is a structural catalyst. Sezzle reported Q4 EPS of $1.21, crushing the $0.98 consensus. Full-year 2025 revenue grew 66.1% to $450.3M. This isn’t a one-off beat; it’s an acceleration of the core business.
- Raised Guidance: Forecasts 25-30% revenue growth for 2026 and lifted adjusted EPS target to $4.70.
- Massive Buyback: Completed a $50M share repurchase and authorized a new $100M program.
- Margin Expansion: Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded to 44.9%, demonstrating increased profitability.
But here is the interesting part. You are reading about this 16% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. High Quality Portfolio has flagged 5 new opportunities that have not surged yet.
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Playbook On Market Open
The key is whether the market rewards this strong fundamental print with a sustained move or if it gets sold into as a ‘good news’ event. Watch the reaction at the opening bell around key technical levels.
- BULL CASE (Gap & Go): Hold above 50-day MA $68.77. Analyst upgrades confirm.
- BEAR CASE (Gap & Fade): Fail to hold gains; break below yesterday’s close $63.40.
- BEAR CASE (Gap & Fade): Volume dries up post-spike, indicating lack of institutional chasing.
Verdict
BUY THE OPEN / FADE THE GAP: Earnings and guidance are undeniably strong, shifting the fundamental thesis. Technicals are now key. The previous 200-day SMA was around $75.99. This level will be a major test. PIVOT: $76.00. If the price can break and hold above $76.00 within the first 30 mins, we chase the trend (BUY THE OPEN). If it rejects hard off this level or fails to reach it, we fade the move (FADE THE GAP), anticipating a fill of the pre-market gap.
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