Reddit Stock Extends A 5-Day Losing Streak To A 12% Loss

RDDTYTD-40.6%SPYYTD+13.5%XLCYTD-11.5%
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Reddit (RDDT) stock has fallen for 5 consecutive trading days, losing 12.3% over that stretch. That erased about $3.7 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $26.2 billion. The stock closed at $136.46 on Tuesday, October 27, 47.3% below its 52-week high of $258.93 and 12.0% above its low of $121.84.

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How The Streak Stacks Up Against The S&P 500

Returns for RDDT and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Tuesday, October 27 and including dividends:
 

Return Period RDDT S&P 500
1 Day -1.4% 0.6%
5 Days (Current Streak) -12.3% 0.1%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) -4.6% 0.6%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) -23.3% 5.8%
Year To Date -40.6% 13.9%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) -36.3% 15.0%

A Stock-Specific Slide, Or A Market Move?

The market explains little of this: the S&P 500 gained 0.1% over the same 5 sessions, including dividends, against Reddit’s -12.3%. 2 other S&P 500 stocks are currently on losing streaks of 5 days or longer. Over the past three months the stock is down 23.3%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 58 sessions of that window it was down 12.6%.

What The Numbers Say About The Slide

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 66.6% over the last twelve months, against a median of 6.8% for S&P 500 Communication Services stocks; its operating margin is 28.2%, versus a median of 20.1%; and the stock trades at 30.1 times trailing earnings against a median of 18.8. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median and margins above the median on one side, a multiple well above the median on the other.

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Falling Prices Test Conviction. Rules Do Not Flinch

A losing streak forces a choice on every holder: sell into weakness, average down, or freeze. All three are emotional answers to what should be an analytical question, and decisions made that way tend to be expensive ones.

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