Reddit (RDDT)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $234.68 | Market Cap: $44.1 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Reddit (RDDT)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $234.68Market Cap: $44.1 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 23x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 167x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 85x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 126x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% | ||
| Key risksRDDT key risks include [1] persistent monetization challenges, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 23x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 167x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 85x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 126x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% |
| Key risksRDDT key risks include [1] persistent monetization challenges, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RDDT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The current time is December 21, 2025. I will analyze Reddit's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, assuming the user's stated 3.6% movement is accurate and searching for news to explain it.
**Key Points for Reddit (RDDT) Stock Movement (8/31/2025 - 12/21/2025)**
Here are the key points for Reddit's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Stellar Q3 2025 Earnings Report: Reddit announced its Q3 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, reporting a significant beat on both EPS and revenue estimates. The company reported an EPS of $0.80, topping analysts' consensus of $0.50, and revenue grew 68% year-over-year to $585 million, exceeding the $546.65 million consensus. This strong financial performance likely contributed positively to investor sentiment.
2. Strong User Growth and Engagement: Reddit continued to demonstrate robust user growth. As of Q3 2025, Reddit reported 116 million daily active unique users (DAUq), a 19% increase year-over-year. Weekly active users also rose to 443.8 million, up from 365.4 million in Q3 2024. This sustained engagement and expanding user base are attractive to advertisers and investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RDDT Return | � | � | � | � | � | 42% | � |
| Peers Return | 134% | 5% | -57% | 76% | 7% | 8% | 112% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RDDT Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 55% | 30% | 65% | 50% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RDDT Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -18% | -65% | -12% | -21% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: META, GOOGL, PINS, SNAP, MTCH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
RDDT has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.
| Event | XLC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 602 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
Compare to
In The Past
The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Reddit Earnings Notes | |||
| With Reddit Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | ||
| Why Reddit Stock Moved: RDDT Stock Has Gained 43% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| RDDT Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Reddit (RDDT) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Why Reddit Stock Dropped? | September 26th, 2025 | ||
| RDDT Jumps 18% In A Month, Things To Be Wary Of When Buying The Stock | September 23rd, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 19th, 2025 | ||
| RDDT Leaps 40% In One Month, Should You Buy The Stock Despite Its High Valuation? | August 30th, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 16th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RDDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.6% | -5.6% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.1% | -3.1% | -5.1% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.7% | -27.7% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.6% | -5.6% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.1% | -3.1% | -5.1% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.4% | 2.4% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -27.7% | -27.7% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Reddit
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 133.10 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.8 |
| Rev LTM | 4,914 |
| Op Inc LTM | 556 |
| FCF LTM | 1,042 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 853 |
| CFO LTM | 1,080 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 890 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.8 |
| P/S | 6.6 |
| P/EBIT | 21.9 |
| P/E | 21.2 |
| P/CFO | 18.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -71.6% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 7.5% | -5.5% | 14.6% |
| 7/31/2025 | 17.5% | 31.9% | 40.2% |
| 5/1/2025 | -4.2% | -9.2% | -5.6% |
| 2/12/2025 | -5.3% | -19.0% | -40.8% |
| 10/29/2024 | 42.0% | 50.0% | 71.3% |
| 8/6/2024 | -6.8% | 0.3% | 8.0% |
| 5/7/2024 | 4.0% | 26.2% | 28.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 12.5% | 29.0% | 28.5% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -9.2% | -23.2% |
| Max Positive | 42.0% | 50.0% | 71.3% |
| Max Negative | -6.8% | -19.0% | -40.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 11092023 | DRS/A 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8192022 | DRS/A 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | DRS/A 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 11162022 | DRS/A 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 1282022 | DRS/A 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |