Tearsheet

Reddit (RDDT)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $231.0 | Market Cap: $43.4 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Reddit (RDDT)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $231.0
Market Cap: $43.4 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 23x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 164x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 124x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 23x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 164x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 124x
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RDDT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Reddit's third-quarter 2025 financial results, released on October 30, 2025, significantly surpassed analyst expectations, reporting a 68% year-over-year revenue increase to $585 million and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.80, considerably higher than the $0.52 forecast.

2. The company issued a positive financial outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025, estimating revenue in the range of $655 million to $665 million, which signaled continued growth potential to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RDDT Return-----36%36%
Peers Return43%24%-25%25%3%9%86%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RDDT Win Rate----67%60% 
Peers Win Rate27%35%18%35%27%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RDDT Max Drawdown------47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-12%-28%-8%-17%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

RDDT has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days

Compare to


In The Past

The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Reddit (RDDT)

Better Bets than Reddit (RDDT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RDDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.6%0.6%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.7%5.7%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.3%-22.3%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.6%0.6%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.0%4.0%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.7%5.7%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.3%-22.3%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Reddit

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RDDTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameReddit Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Price234.1174.045.3612.42126.61321.27100.33
Mkt Cap44.017.90.5--3,882.931.0
Rev LTM1,9052,483448--385,4772,194
Op Inc LTM263-90-27--124,077118
FCF LTM5101498--73,552329
FCF 3Y Avg17118756--68,998179
CFO LTM51441816--151,424466
CFO 3Y Avg17838766--120,990283

Growth & Margins

RDDTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameReddit Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Rev Chg LTM69.7%15.2%-10.1%--13.4%14.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg45.3%7.0%-20.7%--11.0%9.0%
Rev Chg Q67.9%16.4%-1.8%--15.9%16.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.2%4.0%-0.5%--3.8%3.9%
Op Mgn LTM13.8%-3.6%-6.1%--32.2%5.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-21.2%-8.5%3.6%--29.9%-2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.9%1.9%-0.4%---0.5%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM27.0%16.8%3.5%--39.3%21.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%17.8%10.9%--35.3%14.4%
FCF/Rev LTM26.8%6.0%1.8%--19.1%12.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%8.8%9.2%--20.5%9.0%

Valuation

RDDTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameReddit Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Cap44.017.90.5--3,882.931.0
P/S22.77.50.8--7.67.6
P/EBIT164.4-2,333.9-46.1--19.3-13.4
P/E123.9-583.5-8.5--23.67.6
P/CFO84.144.723.1--19.433.9
Total Yield0.8%-0.2%-11.8%--4.6%0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.4%5.6%--3.3%3.3%
D/E0.00.01.5--0.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.4---0.0-0.0

Returns

RDDTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameReddit Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
1M Rtn20.3%1.4%22.7%-36.1%-15.2%15.2%
3M Rtn-2.5%-15.8%8.9%--36.8%3.2%
6M Rtn93.0%5.3%-14.2%--85.4%45.4%
12M Rtn43.8%-9.9%-34.2%--84.7%16.9%
3Y Rtn-111.9%-66.7%--245.2%111.9%
1M Excs Rtn18.2%0.3%30.6%-32.6%-11.9%11.9%
3M Excs Rtn-4.0%-23.4%-0.7%--31.5%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn78.5%-9.2%-28.7%--70.9%30.9%
12M Excs Rtn42.7%-25.4%-50.3%--74.8%8.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-26.6%-136.0%--151.9%26.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,016,386
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.4%
Average Daily Volume5,402,633
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.33
Basic Shares Quantity188,041,632
Short % of Basic Shares9.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20257.5%-5.5%14.6%
7/31/202517.5%31.9%40.2%
5/1/2025-4.2%-9.2%-5.6%
2/12/2025-5.3%-19.0%-40.8%
10/29/202442.0%50.0%71.3%
8/6/2024-6.8%0.3%8.0%
5/7/20244.0%26.2%28.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive445
# Negative332
Median Positive12.5%29.0%28.5%
Median Negative-5.3%-9.2%-23.2%
Max Positive42.0%50.0%71.3%
Max Negative-6.8%-19.0%-40.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120233212024424B4 12/31/2023
1231202211092023DRS/A 12/31/2022
63020228192022DRS/A 6/30/2022
33120225132022DRS/A 3/31/2022
1231202111162022DRS/A 12/31/2021
93020211282022DRS/A 9/30/2021