Reddit (RDDT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $219.74 | Market Cap: $41.3 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Reddit (RDDT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $219.74Market Cap: $41.3 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 23x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 164x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 124x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms, Creator Economy Monetization, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 23x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 164x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 124x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RDDT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Based on the most recent available information regarding Reddit (RDDT) and general market dynamics, a -1.9% stock movement could be attributed to several factors.
1. Persistent Monetization Challenges: Despite efforts to increase advertising revenue, Reddit continues to face challenges in fully monetizing its large user base. This is due in part to a significant portion of its users being resistant to traditional advertising and concerns among advertisers about brand safety on the platform given the diverse and often unfiltered content. These ongoing difficulties can lead to investor apprehension regarding long-term revenue growth potential.
2. Growing Net Losses Amidst Increased Spending: While Reddit has shown strong revenue growth, it also reported a substantial net loss in 2024, significantly higher than the previous year, alongside increased spending on sales and marketing efforts. Investors may react negatively to a widening loss, even with revenue gains, if it signals a potentially unsustainable path to profitability or higher-than-expected costs of user acquisition and engagement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RDDT Return | - | - | - | - | - | 36% | 36% |
| Peers Return | 43% | 24% | -25% | 25% | 3% | 7% | 83% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RDDT Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 35% | 18% | 35% | 27% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RDDT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -12% | -28% | -8% | -17% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
RDDT has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.
| Event | XLC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 602 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
Compare to
In The Past
The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Is Reddit Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | ||
| Why Reddit Stock Moved: RDDT Stock Has Gained 35% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| RDDT Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Reddit (RDDT) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Reddit (RDDT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Why Reddit Stock Dropped? | September 26th, 2025 | ||
| RDDT Jumps 18% In A Month, Things To Be Wary Of When Buying The Stock | September 23rd, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 19th, 2025 | ||
| RDDT Leaps 40% In One Month, Should You Buy The Stock Despite Its High Valuation? | August 30th, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 16th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RDDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Reddit
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 110.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.0 |
| Rev LTM | 2,194 |
| Op Inc LTM | 118 |
| FCF LTM | 329 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 179 |
| CFO LTM | 466 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 283 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.0 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| P/EBIT | -13.4 |
| P/E | 7.6 |
| P/CFO | 33.9 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 47.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 96.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 32.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 42.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 11092023 | DRS/A 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8192022 | DRS/A 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | DRS/A 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 11162022 | DRS/A 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 1282022 | DRS/A 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |