6 Green Days In A Row: Rubrik Stock Is Up 19%

RBRKYTD+74.4%SPYYTD+12.8%QQQYTD+16.2%
Analyze RBRK →

Rubrik (RBRK) stock is on a 6-day winning streak, up 18.7% since the run began. That added about $4.3 billion to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $27.5 billion. The stock closed at $133.40 on Monday, October 26, its highest close of the past year.

Image from Pixabay

 
How The Streak Stacks Up Against The S&P 500

Returns for RBRK and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Monday, October 26 and including dividends:
 

Return Period RBRK S&P 500
1 Day 3.6% 0.7%
6 Days (Current Streak) 18.7% 0.2%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 21.8% -0.8%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 86.7% 3.6%
Year To Date 74.4% 13.2%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 73.6% 15.3%

A Stock-Specific Run, Or A Market Move?

Over the same 6 trading days, the S&P 500 returned +0.2% including dividends, so the run is mostly Rubrik’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is up 86.7%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 57 sessions of that window it was up 57.3%.

What The Numbers Say About The Rally

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 42.4% over the last twelve months, against a median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Information Technology stocks; and its operating margin is -18.3%, versus a median of 21.6%. Rubrik does not have positive trailing earnings, so there is no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple to compare. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median on one side, an operating loss on the other.

A climb like this is worth respecting, and worth testing. Our Guidance Momentum screen tracks the stocks whose companies just raised their own forward numbers.

Momentum Is A Tailwind, Not A Plan

Riding a stock that rises every day feels effortless, and that is precisely the danger: the same momentum that built this run can reverse without notice, and one name’s reversal should never be able to reset your whole year.

That is what the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio is for: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive momentum’s mood swings, held with rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Watch the runs; own the resilience.