Qorvo Stock Pre-Market (-11%) : Weak Q4 Guidance Annihilates Earnings Beat
QRVO is collapsing -11% pre-market despite beating Q3 EPS and revenue expectations. The culprit is a significant guide-down for Q4 revenue and profit, sparking fears of a demand slowdown. Can bulls defend the long-term margin story, or will the revenue gap be too large to ignore?
This is a structural reset. While the backward-looking Q3 was strong, the forward outlook points to a significant near-term revenue hole. The company is sacrificing top-line growth for profitability.
- Q4 revenue guidance of $775M – $825M massively missed the ~$904M consensus.
- Q4 EPS guidance of $1.05 – $1.35 also fell short of the $1.37 estimate.
- Management blames a seasonal decline at its largest customer and a strategic exit from low-margin Android business.
But here is the interesting part. You are reading about this -11% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Playbook On Market Open
Today’s session is a classic battle between a broken growth narrative and a potential margin improvement story. The reaction to the pivot level will determine the intraday trend.
- BULL CASE (Gap & Go): The market must reward the strategic pivot to higher margins, with analysts defending the long-term thesis. The stock must firmly hold the pre-market lows.
- BEAR CASE (Gap & Fade): The revenue shortfall proves too severe, sparking analyst downgrades. Any bounce toward the opening price is aggressively sold, confirming a sentiment shift.
- Watch for outsized options activity, which could signal institutional positioning for the next major move.
Verdict
PIVOT: $75.00. If the price reclaims and holds above $75.00, a relief bounce is possible. If it breaks and stays below, sellers are in full control, and we fade any rallies.
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