QCOM Stock Falls -12% With A 6-day Losing Spree On Mizuho Downgrade
Qualcomm (QCOM) – a developer of 3G/4G/5G integrated circuits and licensing – hit 6-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -12%. The company market cap has crashed by about $24 Bil over the last 6 days, and currently stands at $172 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 6.8% compared to 1.4% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Mizuho Downgrade to Neutral
- Price target cut to $175 from $200
- Cited handset headwinds and Apple modem business risk
- Impact: Sustained institutional selling, Sharp reversal from 2025 gains
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in QCOM stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Considering stock’s Moderate valuation, we think it is Attractive (For details, see Buy or Sell QCOM).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -12% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for QCOM stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | QCOM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -1.2% | -0.1% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | -12.3% | 0.3% |
| 1M (21D) | -9.5% | 2.1% |
| 3M (63D) | -2.3% | 4.7% |
| YTD 2026 | -6.8% | 1.4% |
| 2025 | 13.8% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 8.3% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 35.1% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: QCOM Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 102 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 49 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 38 | 16 |
| 4D | 17 | 11 |
| 5D | 22 | 12 |
| 6D | 0 | 5 |
| 7D or more | 25 | 5 |
| Total >=3 D | 102 | 49 |
Key Financials for Qualcomm (QCOM)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $39.0 Bil | $44.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $10.3 Bil | $12.4 Bil |
| Net Income | $10.1 Bil | $5.5 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ3 | 2025 FQ4 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $10.4 Bil | $11.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $2.8 Bil | $3.0 Bil |
| Net Income | $2.7 Bil | $-3.1 Bil |
The losing streak QCOM stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.