PayPal Stock Pays Out $25 Bil – Investors Take Note

PYPL: PayPal logo
PYPL
PayPal

In the last five years, PayPal (PYPL) stock has returned $25 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, PYPL stock has returned the 74th highest amount to shareholders in history.

PYPL S&P Median
Dividends $3.0 Bil
Share Repurchase $25 Bil $3.0 Bil
Total Returned $25 Bil $6.0 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 53.2% 16.6%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return

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Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $514 Bil 12.7% $75 Bil $439 Bil
GOOGL $296 Bil 7.2% $17 Bil $279 Bil
MSFT $223 Bil 7.2% $105 Bil $118 Bil
JPM $176 Bil 20.6% $71 Bil $105 Bil
META $159 Bil 9.6% $10 Bil $149 Bil
XOM $152 Bil 23.8% $79 Bil $73 Bil
BAC $125 Bil 32.3% $45 Bil $80 Bil
CVX $112 Bil 30.0% $57 Bil $55 Bil
WFC $105 Bil 41.7% $22 Bil $83 Bil
NVDA $96 Bil 2.0% $3.0 Bil $93 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for PYPL. (see Buy or Sell PayPal Stock for more details.)

PayPal Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 4.3% LTM and 6.4% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 16.8% free cash flow margin and 19.3% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for PYPL was 4.3%.
  • Valuation: PayPal stock trades at a P/E multiple of 8.9

 

PYPL S&P Median
Sector Financials
Industry Transaction & Payment Processing Services
PE Ratio 8.9 24.5

LTM* Revenue Growth 4.3% 6.9%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 6.4% 5.5%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 4.3% 0.6%

LTM* Operating Margin 19.3% 18.6%
3Y Average Operating Margin 18.0% 18.1%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 16.8% 14.2%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

The table gives a good overview of what you get from PYPL stock, but what about the risk?

PYPL Historical Risk

PayPal hasn’t been immune to big drops either. It lost about 20% during the 2018 correction, nearly 31% in the COVID crash, and a hefty 84% during the inflation shock. Even with strong fundamentals, the stock can take serious hits when the market turns sour. It’s a solid company, but the downside risk is definitely real in rough patches.

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read PYPL Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index, a less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.